Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

95.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$263

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-28

last 11-14 05:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

52% 89% -$7

Politics

27% 100% +$1

Crypto

19% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No		+20	$5	42¢	$8	+$3	10-29 00:25
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	No		+20	$5	8¢	$2	-$4	10-28 16:06
Will Sato play for G2 Esports in 2027?	No	—	+15	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-28 14:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Muse Charm released by November 15, 2026?	1	$5	20	+20	open	—	10-28 16:10
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	1	$5	20	+20	open	—	10-28 16:06
Will the biggest earthquake on November 5, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	11-05 17:40
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	11-10 13:21
Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-30 05:52
Will the biggest earthquake on November 5, 2026 be under 5.3?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	11-05 17:40
Will the biggest earthquake on November 9, 2026 be under 5.3?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	11-09 09:06
Will the biggest earthquake on November 5, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	11-05 17:47
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up 0% to 3%?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-29 19:20
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down 3% to 7%?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-29 19:20
Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-30 05:53
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down more than 7%?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-29 19:19
Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-30 05:53
Will the biggest earthquake on November 6, 2026 be under 5.3?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	11-06 10:56
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744 be up 3% to 7%?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	11-14 05:08
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up 3% to 7%?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-29 19:20
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744 be down more than 7%?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	11-14 05:07
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	11-07 15:23
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-30 05:54
Will The Democrats win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-30 05:54
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-30 05:54
Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-30 05:53
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down 0% to 3%?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-29 19:20
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up more than 7%?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-29 19:20
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744 be down 3% to 7%?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	11-14 05:07
Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-30 05:53
Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-30 05:51
Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-30 05:53
Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-30 05:55
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-30 05:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 05:08:20	Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744 be up 3% to 7%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdcead4…
11-14 05:08:10	Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744 be down 0% to 3%?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x01f4c2…
11-14 05:07:58	Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744 be down 3% to 7%?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc7dcc4…
11-14 05:07:50	Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744 be down more than 7%?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x46fcc9…
11-10 13:21:12	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xadd0a3…
11-09 09:06:21	Will the biggest earthquake on November 9, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf21f48…
11-07 15:23:18	Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xea2796…
11-06 18:26:30	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfbf2c5…
11-06 10:56:03	Will the biggest earthquake on November 6, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x070959…
11-06 01:44:55	Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-04 House election?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3cf3bb…
11-05 19:40:23	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa177b2…
11-05 18:05:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-02 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x733433…
11-05 17:47:45	Will the biggest earthquake on November 5, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x37ec64…
11-05 17:40:19	Will the biggest earthquake on November 5, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6499bb…
11-05 17:40:07	Will the biggest earthquake on November 5, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x83bdde…
11-04 06:47:27	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x614d91…
11-04 06:28:03	Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x922001…
11-04 02:00:55	Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6779a8…
11-04 01:39:33	Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaa463f…
11-04 01:08:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-25 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfc7823…
11-04 01:02:46	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xdb7f62…
11-04 01:01:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-12 House election by 5% or more?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8aa095…
11-04 01:00:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-12 House election by 0%-5%?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8e601d…
11-04 01:00:31	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x20ca77…
11-04 01:00:22	Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa98e69…
11-04 00:48:27	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbb3bba…
11-04 00:47:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x77843c…
11-04 00:47:43	Will the Republican Party win the FL-17 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdd4d1f…
11-04 00:35:18	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x01af07…
10-30 05:55:00	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5824e8…
10-30 05:54:48	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbf722d…
10-30 05:54:37	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x984c7d…
10-30 05:54:25	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x56b0de…
10-30 05:54:15	Will The Democrats win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd4b6d8…
10-30 05:54:04	Will United Torah Judaism win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1c38af…
10-30 05:53:52	Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb43ded…
10-30 05:53:42	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb1108c…
10-30 05:53:30	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xffc9b4…
10-30 05:53:19	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaf0571…
10-30 05:53:07	Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x624f4c…
10-30 05:52:55	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2370ed…
10-30 05:52:45	Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf950da…
10-30 05:51:13	Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa78449…
10-29 19:20:46	Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up more than 7%?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf33664…
10-29 19:20:36	Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up 3% to 7%?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa67b2d…
10-29 19:20:24	Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up 0% to 3%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2917cc…
10-29 19:20:13	Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down 0% to 3%?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe2437c…
10-29 19:20:03	Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down 3% to 7%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x029045…
10-29 19:19:51	Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down more than 7%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3f3f9c…
10-29 01:07:32	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x191fd7…
10-29 01:01:22	Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x869d4c…
10-29 00:25:07	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xcb596f…
10-29 00:10:08	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x22abec…
10-28 16:10:59	Muse Charm released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9f13f7…
10-28 16:06:05	Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xebbe74…
10-28 15:46:08	Will Russell Westbrook play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x72cb95…
10-28 14:46:56	Will Sato play for G2 Esports in 2027?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xfc3fbb…
10-28 14:46:56	Will Sato play for G2 Esports in 2027?	No	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x741b5d…
10-28 14:46:56	Will Sato play for G2 Esports in 2027?	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x501fa8…