Glaring-Way — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$341

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

2,525

Trades

4,070

lifetime

Volume

$6.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 08-03 21:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

93% 25% -$307

Crypto

4% 67% -$49

Politics

2% 89% +$10

Sports

1% 100% +$4

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 40 64	1	$594	625	0	+625	No	+$31	03-10 10:46
highest temperature in miami on march 12 2026 84 85f	2	$357	260	260	+0	Yes	+$157	03-13 02:02
highest temperature in miami on march 13 2026 78 79f	3	$103	183	5	+178	Yes	-$103	03-13 22:25
khl met adm 2026 02 22	2	$65	59	59	+0	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	-$35	02-22 13:23
scop liv ran 2026 02 22 liv	1	$50	54	0	+54	No	+$4	02-22 10:12
sea rom cre 2026 02 22 cre	1	$50	54	0	+54	No	+$4	02-22 10:09
sea mil par 2026 02 22 par	1	$50	55	0	+55	Yes	-$50	02-22 10:13
will the bank of israel decrease the bank of israel interest rate after the february decision	1	$50	56	0	+56	No	+$6	02-22 10:16
mls sea col 2026 02 22 col	1	$50	56	0	+56	No	+$6	02-22 19:31
epl tot ars 2026 02 22 tot	1	$50	57	0	+57	No	+$7	02-22 10:21
elc she swe 2026 02 22 she	1	$50	59	0	+59	Yes	+$9	02-22 10:28
bl2 h96 dyn 2026 02 22 dyn	1	$50	57	0	+57	No	+$7	02-22 10:23
will the bank of israel make no change to the bank of israel interest rate after the february decision	1	$50	56	0	+56	Yes	+$6	02-22 10:17
ere twe gro 2026 02 22 gro	1	$50	58	0	+58	No	+$8	02-22 10:25
por por rio 2026 02 22 por	1	$50	57	0	+57	Yes	+$7	02-22 10:19
tur fen kas 2026 02 23 kas	1	$50	53	0	+53	No	+$3	02-22 18:13
cwbb lasal rich 2026 02 22	1	$50	54	0	+54	Richmond Spiders	+$4	02-22 18:15
nba sac sas 2026 02 21	1	$50	54	0	+54	Spurs	+$4	02-21 05:47
ere fey tel 2026 02 22 tel	1	$50	54	0	+54	No	+$4	02-22 10:08
highest temperature in ankara on april 23 2026 8c	7	$40	43	0	+43	Yes	+$2	04-23 13:02
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	3	$20	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	03-15 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 8?	4	$17	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-08 07:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 21:35 UTC	3	$16	18	0	+18	Up	-$16	08-03 21:39
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 8?	4	$15	18	18	+0	No	-$5	06-08 17:49
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on April 29?	2	$14	20	0	+20	No	-$14	04-29 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10?	5	$13	17	11	+6	No	-$7	06-10 05:40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 8?	4	$13	12	12	+0	Yes	-$1	06-08 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	04-28 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	5	$13	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	04-28 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	5	$13	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	04-28 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 21:39:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x03eabb…
08-03 21:38:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x49bfae…
08-03 21:38:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb1a802…
07-27 04:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 27?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x81d076…
07-27 04:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 27?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xaa50a9…
07-23 04:20:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x1d836a…
07-23 04:18:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x414a23…
07-22 06:57:45	will trump say six seven during remarks in georgia 20260720190340728	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x4cc1bc…
07-22 06:56:27	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 7 2026 20260630182730885	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3e5889…
07-22 06:50:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xecd3d6…
06-10 05:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x954e4d…
06-10 05:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10?	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x26a433…
06-09 21:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x2f326a…
06-09 20:03:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 10?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x406fc6…
06-09 13:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x635b50…
06-09 11:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x3202c2…
06-09 08:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x2059cc…
06-09 07:38:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 10?	Yes	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x0af79b…
06-09 07:30:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 10?	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xf680d1…
06-09 05:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 9?	Yes	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x193a48…
06-09 05:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xf53381…
06-09 05:11:12	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xe19309…
06-09 04:02:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 10?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xd9a59a…
06-09 04:02:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 10?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc33fcc…
06-09 03:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xfab17c…
06-09 03:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x40d753…
06-09 03:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?	No	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x2919be…
06-09 03:24:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x57c054…
06-09 03:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x68f925…
06-09 01:56:54	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x2398e5…
06-09 01:55:37	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xb6fcac…
06-09 00:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x319bdd…
06-09 00:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xdb293a…
06-08 23:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe6f28f…
06-08 23:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x21d53a…
06-08 23:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x0b9429…
06-08 23:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x7c8c2c…
06-08 23:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x118724…
06-08 20:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x3f625b…
06-08 19:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 9?	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x423b74…
06-08 18:14:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xa02b99…
06-08 18:13:42	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x55ab61…
06-08 18:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9ff396…
06-08 17:53:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x8b9d9d…
06-08 17:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 8?	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x0eaf1b…
06-08 17:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 8?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xfa4ac5…
06-08 17:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x65d8d8…
06-08 17:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x1b40c6…
06-08 17:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x8df016…
06-08 17:30:04	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc6ea94…
06-08 17:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x54eec1…
06-08 17:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 8?	No	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x5a49b0…
06-08 17:21:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x5c3f1e…
06-08 17:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x09e19d…
06-08 16:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xe6e01a…
06-08 16:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x3b448e…
06-08 16:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 8?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xfc4371…
06-08 16:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x4814d7…
06-08 15:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 8?	No	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xcef504…
06-08 15:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xd56a0b…
06-08 15:07:31	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x670dc4…
06-08 14:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x097df9…
06-08 14:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x5e342c…
06-08 14:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x1af168…
06-08 13:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0xa6d1e5…
06-08 13:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x6dbdb1…
06-08 13:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 8?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x420b0d…
06-08 13:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xaa3a33…
06-08 13:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x64ab7e…
06-08 13:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x5ead08…
06-08 13:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xc2b6a8…
06-08 13:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xbc83b3…
06-08 13:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xf03c57…
06-08 13:32:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x92bbf5…
06-08 13:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 8?	No	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x9a5737…
06-08 12:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xed4492…
06-08 12:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xb62a48…
06-08 12:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x5391d4…
06-08 12:00:46	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7af0ad…
06-08 11:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xe4a187…
06-08 11:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x85ccb4…
06-08 11:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x0381d8…
06-08 10:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xcb1b02…
06-08 10:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 8?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x5dda20…
06-08 10:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x7ca378…
06-08 10:30:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xbc9f56…
06-08 10:30:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x92293c…
06-08 10:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xaa6547…
06-08 09:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 8?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x3a0526…
06-08 09:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x2b48f1…
06-08 09:05:01	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x36654b…
06-08 09:04:09	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x6f4a5b…
06-08 09:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xda6b52…
06-08 09:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x693d9b…
06-08 09:02:06	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xf9d480…
06-08 08:17:31	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa7a4a6…
06-08 08:17:27	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 8?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x70500d…
06-08 08:17:25	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xa905aa…
06-08 08:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x647e2b…
06-08 08:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x1f49d5…