Stingy-Menorah — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$188

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

381

Trades

716

lifetime

Volume

$54.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-24 23:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

36% 48% +$966

Politics

25% 59% +$217

Crypto

23% 35% -$1,197

Sports

13% 48% -$74

Pop-Culture

3% 60% +$276

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	18	$2.3K	4,456	4,456	+0	Yes	+$55	03-06 09:03
will noah wyle win best actor in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	4	$2.0K	1,048	1,048	+0	Yes	-$34	03-01 17:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$1.9K	1,541	1,541	+0	No	+$312	04-23 11:30
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?	3	$1.5K	866	866	+0	No	+$136	01-20 19:24
bitcoin above 70k on march 24	6	$1.1K	1,165	1,149	+16	No	+$225	03-24 15:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	5	$1.0K	990	990	+0	Yes	-$165	04-10 11:10
bitcoin above 68k on april 7	5	$959	1,248	498	+750	Yes	-$154	04-07 17:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	4	$880	606	597	+9	Yes	+$134	04-12 16:09
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	4	$801	404	404	+0	No	+$1	01-11 18:33
will qatar strike iran by march 31	5	$752	1,317	1,317	+0	No	+$220	03-03 15:29
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	6	$676	894	894	+0	No	-$88	03-03 13:53
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	4	$674	396	396	+0	Yes	+$74	04-23 15:01
bitcoin above 68k on march 31	5	$664	601	591	+10	No	+$208	03-31 14:25
bitcoin above 72k on april 13	4	$654	647	624	+23	No	+$27	04-13 15:15
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$639	419	418	+0	No	+$39	03-18 16:01
ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	6	$638	487	479	+8	Josh Hokit	+$177	04-12 03:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$625	456	456	+0	No	+$205	05-24 23:27
will golden ejae and mark sonnenblick win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	5	$596	445	445	+0	No	+$164	02-02 03:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$566	352	352	+0	No	+$24	03-31 02:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$540	559	559	+0	No	+$130	04-14 15:11
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$523	323	323	+0	No	+$23	03-07 10:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$505	1,940	1,940	+0	Yes	-$60	02-28 21:26
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	6	$503	633	500	+133	Yes	+$157	01-10 15:51
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$501	540	540	+0	No	+$1	01-08 20:19
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	4	$493	263	363	-100	No	+$42	02-24 12:45
bitcoin above 70k on april 8	2	$482	486	470	+16	Yes	-$58	04-06 16:47
ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	3	$472	323	323	+0	Movsar Evloev	+$174	03-22 00:23
will uk strike iran by march 31	5	$460	801	801	+0	No	-$40	03-02 13:43
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$454	1,769	1,769	+0	Yes	+$54	04-05 00:17
ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 atm1	2	$453	289	289	+0	Yes	+$113	03-10 20:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 23:27:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	456	91¢	$415	0xbae990…
05-23 22:16:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	456	46¢	$210	0xf4781e…
05-23 22:16:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	242	87¢	$211	0x59bc6c…
05-21 12:40:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	242	82¢	$198	0x2c25ce…
05-17 00:27:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	255	44¢	$112	0xa49abe…
05-17 00:10:45	UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)	Nikolay Veretennikov	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0xd8c421…
05-16 10:43:33	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x5ddd5b…
05-13 15:30:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	255	36¢	$93	0x6ecdc7…
05-12 20:09:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	596	22¢	$131	0x518f6f…
05-12 16:51:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	145	91¢	$132	0x8ad93d…
05-11 22:51:27	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	65¢	$102	0xad1453…
05-11 12:40:29	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0xc1b3ad…
05-10 00:17:48	UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Pat Sabatini	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x996175…
05-10 00:17:45	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Roman Kopylov	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xd67031…
05-09 22:47:35	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Roman Kopylov	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x697f7b…
05-09 21:38:16	UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Pat Sabatini	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xd3aa99…
05-09 09:40:00	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	234	50¢	$117	0xb16b0d…
05-07 14:59:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xeb9249…
05-06 15:28:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	247	32¢	$79	0xbbb694…
05-06 13:27:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0xf8558f…
05-06 12:15:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xd5fb32…
05-04 15:26:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	2,670	2¢	$54	0x590233…
05-04 10:25:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	266	38¢	$100	0xcef95c…
05-03 12:36:28	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	272	40¢	$109	0x002779…
05-02 12:23:22	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jack Della Maddalena	BUY	555	51¢	$283	0x4e6eec…
05-02 10:46:10	UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)	Robert Bryczek	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0xe3bbd3…
05-02 10:17:14	UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card)	Gerald Meerschaert	BUY	138	24¢	$33	0xe5b090…
05-02 09:26:36	UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Vince Morales	BUY	67	43¢	$29	0x6aeb4d…
04-30 20:28:46	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	131	13¢	$17	0x8db9f0…
04-30 11:08:04	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	70	37¢	$26	0xaa0f54…
04-30 10:53:30	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	207	56¢	$116	0x4bca22…
04-29 16:06:16	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	909	23¢	$209	0x2a23da…
04-29 16:05:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	248	89¢	$220	0x3f6f79…
04-29 13:14:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	734	11¢	$80	0x6537de…
04-29 13:10:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	910	21¢	$189	0xf9a30d…
04-28 13:20:16	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	909	22¢	$200	0xa2182c…
04-25 23:05:48	UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Adrian Luna Martinetti	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x59f3b2…
04-25 23:05:34	UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Ryan Spann	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xd06a01…
04-25 21:31:26	UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Julia Polastri	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd2737c…
04-25 00:01:38	Will Drake feature Yeat on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	193	83¢	$161	0x273535…
04-23 17:53:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	SELL	179	15¢	$27	0x93dc9a…
04-23 17:49:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	255	60¢	$153	0xbab431…
04-23 15:01:36	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	95¢	$153	0xafbafe…
04-23 14:58:56	Will Drake feature Yeat on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	198	51¢	$100	0xb36a17…
04-23 14:53:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 29?	No	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x384b69…
04-23 13:56:16	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xb67bbd…
04-23 13:26:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	894	18¢	$161	0x57afbb…
04-23 11:30:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	380	3¢	$12	0x552430…
04-23 01:00:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	848	94¢	$798	0x9a6440…
04-22 11:42:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	380	10¢	$38	0x83f7db…
04-22 08:48:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x0490c7…
04-21 17:28:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x8bd817…
04-21 00:17:38	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	107	14¢	$15	0x5fa579…
04-21 00:17:24	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	SELL	47	63¢	$30	0xd6f73f…
04-20 13:43:30	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x6d69e5…
04-20 13:43:08	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x5505a3…
04-19 17:48:54	bitcoin above 74k on april 20	No	BUY	118	26¢	$31	0xbbcd8f…
04-19 01:19:14	ufc rob19 julleb 2026 04 18	Robert Valentin	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x45de87…
04-18 22:56:52	ufc rob19 julleb 2026 04 18	Robert Valentin	BUY	46	61¢	$28	0xa8fc87…
04-18 13:48:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x94dac9…
04-18 10:49:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	122	69¢	$84	0x784bc1…
04-17 19:31:56	bitcoin above 78k on april 21	Yes	SELL	566	39¢	$221	0x57b9b6…
04-17 13:43:10	bitcoin above 78k on april 21	Yes	BUY	592	38¢	$225	0x03bf80…
04-17 13:34:58	bitcoin above 78k on april 20	Yes	SELL	383	27¢	$103	0xba04ab…
04-17 13:31:20	bitcoin above 78k on april 20	Yes	BUY	404	28¢	$113	0xadb1e0…
04-17 13:30:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	263	43¢	$113	0x77a9fc…
04-17 13:29:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	327	41¢	$135	0x7760b6…
04-17 13:28:54	bitcoin above 78k on april 17	Yes	SELL	813	7¢	$53	0xd841df…
04-17 13:15:56	bitcoin above 78k on april 17	Yes	BUY	867	13¢	$114	0x984021…
04-17 00:30:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	263	59¢	$155	0x9d945c…
04-16 15:10:44	bitcoin above 74k on april 16	No	BUY	136	14¢	$19	0x9ca370…
04-15 12:29:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	SELL	169	67¢	$113	0xfc9ca0…
04-15 12:28:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x25723a…
04-14 15:11:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	559	60¢	$335	0x1796f3…
04-14 01:45:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	169	60¢	$101	0x05c02a…
04-13 19:40:23	epl mun lee 2026 04 13 mun	Yes	BUY	283	12¢	$34	0xf34d4f…
04-13 15:15:39	bitcoin above 72k on april 13	No	SELL	63	56¢	$35	0x97ce63…
04-13 14:59:49	bitcoin above 72k on april 14	No	BUY	183	41¢	$75	0x203f52…
04-13 14:57:53	bitcoin above 72k on april 13	No	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x88f6f9…
04-13 14:30:23	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	Yes	SELL	227	11¢	$25	0x4553de…
04-13 13:59:53	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	Yes	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0x5d3922…
04-13 13:37:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	559	37¢	$205	0xa04366…
04-12 16:09:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	313	88¢	$275	0x64f074…
04-12 16:09:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	597	85¢	$507	0xcde9e3…
04-12 14:58:41	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x5e2709…
04-12 14:53:59	bitcoin above 70k on april 12	No	BUY	340	5¢	$17	0x76a1f2…
04-12 03:31:39	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Josh Hokit	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x3d9a95…
04-12 03:31:21	will trump dance during ufc 327	Yes	SELL	203	12¢	$24	0xaacfae…
04-12 02:50:47	bitcoin above 72k on april 13	No	SELL	561	52¢	$294	0xcee379…
04-12 02:44:43	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Josh Hokit	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x5ce15b…
04-12 02:38:41	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Curtis Blaydes	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0xd23910…
04-12 02:38:13	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Curtis Blaydes	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xf9e819…
04-12 02:33:47	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Curtis Blaydes	SELL	428	86¢	$368	0x1f9af0…
04-12 02:32:19	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Curtis Blaydes	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0xea890e…
04-12 02:06:11	ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	Johnny Walker	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xe1774c…
04-12 01:59:53	ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	Johnny Walker	BUY	85	48¢	$41	0xee7ba5…
04-12 01:50:11	bitcoin above 70k on april 12	No	SELL	551	13¢	$70	0xc8d5d9…
04-12 01:42:01	bitcoin above 72k on april 13	No	BUY	581	52¢	$300	0xf151ee…
04-12 00:46:03	ufc pat3 aar8 2026 04 11	Patricio Pitbull	BUY	54	35¢	$19	0x3382c2…
04-11 22:04:47	boxing tyson fury vs arslanbek makhmudov	Fury	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xff914d…