Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$467

Unrealized P&L

+$224

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$34.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$180

Open exposure

$157

1 position

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-15 13:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

72% 33% +$467

Politics

22% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-953	$-381	16¢	$-157	+$224	06-15 13:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	9	$3.5K	2,670	2,670	+0	open	—	04-12 01:38
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	5	$2.7K	1,770	1,770	+0	open	—	04-12 21:35
elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	5	$2.3K	2,154	2,154	+0	open	—	04-09 09:09
Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30?	3	$1.7K	929	929	+0	open	—	04-12 16:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$1.4K	778	778	+0	open	—	02-25 21:17
US bank failure by April 30?	3	$1.1K	714	714	+0	open	—	03-31 03:37
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	5	$1.0K	1,091	1,091	+0	open	—	04-12 08:50
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	2	$933	1,301	625	+676	Yes	+$543	04-13 09:09
col1 cdt dep 2026 04 18 cdt	4	$895	678	678	+0	open	—	03-25 17:53
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026	2	$785	503	503	+0	open	—	04-12 00:56
will the diplomat win best producer of a tv drama series at the 37th pga awards	2	$778	392	392	+0	open	—	02-19 08:57
will inter milan advance to the round of 16	4	$751	461	461	+0	open	—	02-12 23:33
will trump say rigged or stolen this week march 29	2	$725	474	474	+0	open	—	03-25 17:41
will the total number of tsa passengers for april 10 be between 2600000 and 2800000	3	$708	1,562	1,562	+0	open	—	04-13 10:16
will keir starmer say affordable or affordability during the next prime ministers questions	2	$649	941	0	+941	open	—	02-04 00:35
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 5 be greater than 2300000	3	$638	644	644	+0	open	—	02-03 23:08
Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?	6	$589	1,370	1,370	+0	open	—	04-11 08:32
will there be at least 1200 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 152 495 466 979 817	4	$577	401	401	+0	open	—	02-03 09:08
Will "Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-" win Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	2	$573	699	699	+0	open	—	04-11 19:13
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 6	3	$572	392	392	+0	open	—	02-03 09:52
Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	1	$543	953	0	+953	open	—	04-13 18:11
Will a team from England be the 2026 Conference League winner?	2	$529	401	401	+0	open	—	03-24 07:38
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	2	$491	294	294	+0	open	—	03-19 03:13
Wydad Athletic Club vs. AS FAR: Both Teams to Score	2	$467	486	486	+0	open	—	04-09 23:46
will israel strike lebanon on february 12 2026	5	$457	451	404	+47	open	—	02-09 13:27
critical discord incident by march 31 2026	3	$446	290	290	+0	open	—	02-16 06:08
will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	3	$445	250	250	+0	open	—	02-12 11:17
will stateside zara larsson pinkpantheress zara larsson be the 1 song on spotify this week	1	$422	843	0	+843	open	—	02-28 18:03
will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the united states in february 2026	3	$404	260	256	+4	open	—	02-14 11:24
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$381	0	953	-953	open	—	06-15 13:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 13:45:06	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	371	40¢	$148	0x56d738…
06-15 13:44:45	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	582	40¢	$233	0xf1467f…
04-14 01:17:41	kor uls seo 2026 03 07 seo	Yes	BUY	577	37¢	$213	0x5398a2…
04-13 18:11:45	Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	953	57¢	$543	0x9a561f…
04-13 10:16:19	will the total number of tsa passengers for april 10 be between 2600000 and 2800000	No	SELL	600	6¢	$36	0xa8382e…
04-13 09:09:45	Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	625	64¢	$400	0xf085b5…
04-13 05:21:03	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	378	16¢	$60	0x644fca…
04-13 05:18:57	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x8745be…
04-13 05:09:25	Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	632	30¢	$189	0x3f1801…
04-13 05:00:35	will the total number of tsa passengers for april 10 be between 2600000 and 2800000	No	SELL	962	8¢	$78	0xa36f7e…
04-13 01:29:29	will the total number of tsa passengers for april 10 be between 2600000 and 2800000	No	BUY	1,562	38¢	$594	0x0ad8b1…
04-13 00:35:11	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	478	16¢	$76	0x34904e…
04-12 23:53:03	Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	632	27¢	$169	0x03517b…
04-12 22:55:55	will usdai launch a token by april 30	No	BUY	1,202	14¢	$166	0x7ac1fa…
04-12 21:46:51	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	181	69¢	$125	0x181aa2…
04-12 21:35:21	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	607	76¢	$461	0xdeeb2e…
04-12 21:35:03	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	881	76¢	$670	0x31512a…
04-12 21:34:43	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	282	76¢	$214	0x288b07…
04-12 18:56:47	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	181	70¢	$127	0x3de55f…
04-12 18:39:17	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	881	74¢	$652	0xcbd7a5…
04-12 18:38:43	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	889	74¢	$658	0xf00c3a…
04-12 16:04:39	Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30?	Yes	SELL	847	96¢	$811	0xbb6719…
04-12 16:04:27	Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30?	Yes	SELL	82	96¢	$79	0xca4917…
04-12 08:50:33	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	No	SELL	502	77¢	$387	0x133f70…
04-12 01:38:15	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	183	40¢	$73	0xa22f73…
04-12 00:56:19	Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026	No	SELL	503	77¢	$387	0xd154d8…
04-11 22:09:29	Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30?	Yes	BUY	929	83¢	$769	0xc392ea…
04-11 21:34:03	Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026	No	BUY	503	79¢	$397	0x0d6d05…
04-11 21:22:49	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	183	39¢	$71	0xea760f…
04-11 20:05:51	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	No	BUY	502	78¢	$392	0x63f828…
04-11 19:13:17	Will "Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-" win Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	Yes	SELL	699	67¢	$468	0x049f4b…
04-11 17:26:19	elc por ips 2026 01 04 draw	Yes	SELL	71	25¢	$18	0x7740a4…
04-11 08:55:13	will bomb be said 100 times during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	SELL	439	9¢	$40	0x5d7ecf…
04-11 08:32:21	Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	675	21¢	$142	0x4668c0…
04-11 08:32:03	Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	665	21¢	$140	0xfb0bc0…
04-11 08:31:53	Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0xf80452…
04-11 06:28:27	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	Yes	SELL	505	22¢	$111	0x414831…
04-11 06:28:17	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	Yes	SELL	84	22¢	$18	0x8f5689…
04-11 03:23:11	Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	675	22¢	$148	0xe60265…
04-11 03:22:59	Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	665	22¢	$146	0x9f1924…
04-11 03:22:47	Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0xf7fc37…
04-11 02:52:35	itsb cat mod 2026 03 17 spread home 1pt5	US Catanzaro 1929	BUY	137	11¢	$15	0xc24af8…
04-11 02:52:19	itsb cat mod 2026 03 17 spread home 1pt5	US Catanzaro 1929	BUY	131	11¢	$14	0xfb2f6b…
04-10 23:34:27	elc por ips 2026 01 04 draw	Yes	BUY	184	28¢	$52	0x6c0011…
04-10 23:21:05	will bomb be said 100 times during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	BUY	439	12¢	$53	0x52813b…
04-10 22:04:01	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	Yes	BUY	589	22¢	$130	0xc0ebbe…
04-10 00:12:11	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	SELL	249	40¢	$100	0xb874d9…
04-09 23:46:35	Wydad Athletic Club vs. AS FAR: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	486	84¢	$408	0x037ba1…
04-09 23:41:03	Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	543	11¢	$60	0x3825f4…
04-09 20:22:13	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	BUY	249	46¢	$115	0xde7b65…
04-09 20:00:15	Will "Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-" win Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	Yes	BUY	699	15¢	$105	0x577a19…
04-09 19:59:39	Wydad Athletic Club vs. AS FAR: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	486	12¢	$58	0x3d4f40…
04-09 19:02:01	Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	543	11¢	$60	0xecf77a…
04-09 11:09:01	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	147	66¢	$97	0xee002a…
04-09 11:07:35	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	175	66¢	$116	0x99f8e5…
04-09 11:05:37	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	442	66¢	$292	0x0206e0…
04-09 09:09:15	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	Yes	SELL	927	55¢	$510	0x377965…
04-09 09:08:55	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	Yes	SELL	1,227	55¢	$675	0xef7bda…
04-07 20:46:25	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	Yes	BUY	817	54¢	$441	0x379df7…
04-07 20:46:13	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	Yes	BUY	810	54¢	$437	0x3bcc2b…
04-07 20:45:53	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	Yes	BUY	527	54¢	$285	0x5cd965…
04-07 18:36:59	Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	1,301	41¢	$533	0xaff6a3…
03-31 07:44:53	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	882	67¢	$591	0x7dce4c…
03-31 07:43:41	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	356	67¢	$239	0x22c477…
03-31 07:42:07	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	485	67¢	$325	0xeeebac…
03-31 03:37:49	US bank failure by April 30?	No	SELL	351	74¢	$260	0x698b6f…
03-31 03:36:01	US bank failure by April 30?	No	SELL	363	75¢	$272	0xafabec…
03-30 17:22:23	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	12¢	$10	0x360b8d…
03-29 20:14:20	US bank failure by April 30?	No	BUY	714	76¢	$543	0xdb3a59…
03-29 19:57:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0xc4368a…
03-29 18:19:04	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2,487	69¢	$1,716	0x57a3dd…
03-25 18:04:33	Will B8 qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	SELL	627	11¢	$69	0xb99d51…
03-25 17:53:11	col1 cdt dep 2026 04 18 cdt	Yes	SELL	487	69¢	$336	0x00169d…
03-25 17:52:57	col1 cdt dep 2026 04 18 cdt	Yes	SELL	191	69¢	$132	0x49cd19…
03-25 17:41:59	will trump say rigged or stolen this week march 29	Yes	SELL	474	82¢	$389	0xb70ad9…
03-25 05:44:57	col1 cdt dep 2026 04 18 cdt	Yes	BUY	323	63¢	$203	0xe29d9d…
03-25 05:44:39	col1 cdt dep 2026 04 18 cdt	Yes	BUY	355	63¢	$224	0x0a8ca5…
03-24 07:38:47	Will a team from England be the 2026 Conference League winner?	No	SELL	401	63¢	$253	0xe6bb47…
03-23 02:12:13	Will a team from England be the 2026 Conference League winner?	No	BUY	401	69¢	$277	0x537308…
03-22 18:11:31	Will B8 qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	627	23¢	$144	0xaaef3c…
03-21 01:54:43	will khamenei tweet again on march 21 2026 649 572	Yes	BUY	372	91¢	$339	0x047e4b…
03-21 00:46:09	will trump say rigged or stolen this week march 29	Yes	BUY	474	71¢	$337	0xcf2037…
03-19 14:59:21	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 12 achieve a successful splashdown 949 385 253 275 459 885 386 219 527 127 564 955	No	SELL	364	54¢	$197	0x9f0f9a…
03-19 03:13:21	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	No	SELL	294	83¢	$244	0xd19087…
03-17 03:30:19	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	No	BUY	294	84¢	$247	0xd2a8e4…
03-17 01:44:17	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 12 achieve a successful splashdown 949 385 253 275 459 885 386 219 527 127 564 955	No	BUY	364	47¢	$171	0x247928…
03-16 23:50:37	will trump post mutilization on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	650	25¢	$162	0x3e6642…
03-13 05:01:07	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	685	24¢	$164	0xe5fee6…
03-12 19:27:51	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	685	26¢	$178	0xb60b9e…
02-28 18:03:41	will stateside zara larsson pinkpantheress zara larsson be the 1 song on spotify this week	No	BUY	843	50¢	$422	0xdf6931…
02-25 21:17:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	173	87¢	$151	0x75bc8c…
02-25 21:16:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	272	87¢	$237	0x5ed13e…
02-25 21:15:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	333	87¢	$290	0xd1988b…
02-25 19:13:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	778	87¢	$677	0xdab387…
02-24 23:26:18	will intercontinental exchange self certify sports event contracts by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	248	38¢	$94	0x22b0d8…
02-23 00:15:10	will intercontinental exchange self certify sports event contracts by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	248	22¢	$55	0x9ebc22…
02-23 00:15:00	will intercontinental exchange self certify sports event contracts by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x7d4e2e…
02-22 17:17:48	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 btts	Yes	SELL	273	76¢	$207	0x8c7fb7…
02-22 16:29:18	col1 mif dep 2026 02 05 dep	No	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x410174…
02-21 19:40:28	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 btts	Yes	BUY	273	49¢	$134	0xc51270…