Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$289

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

89.1%

Resolved

6,577

Trades

8,093

lifetime

Volume

$68.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 178 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 80% -$101

Other

3% 41% -$141

Politics

1% 62% +$30

Sports

1% 50% -$83

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		+13	$10	64¢	$8	-$1	10-12 14:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No		+13	$3	36¢	$5	+$2	10-18 21:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	101	$343	319	358	-39	Yes	+$2	01-21 14:53
will the us collect between 200b and 500b in revenue in 2025	129	$339	360	378	-18	No	-$3	01-27 18:54
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	42	$183	220	288	-69	Yes	-$19	01-30 13:03
will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	68	$171	200	200	+0	No	-$2	01-21 14:53
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	5	$118	65	65	+0	open	—	10-12 20:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 16:45 UTC	53	$106	135	105	+30	Down	-$4	01-30 16:56
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	28	$88	85	85	+0	Yes	+$0	01-21 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$87	90	0	+90	Up	+$3	10-23 08:29
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$87	88	0	+88	Down	+$2	10-23 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$85	89	0	+89	Down	+$4	10-25 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$84	88	0	+88	Up	+$4	10-25 07:54
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$84	91	0	+91	Up	+$7	10-23 08:44
Solana Up or Down - October 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$84	87	0	+87	Down	+$4	10-22 22:24
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$84	96	0	+96	Down	+$12	10-23 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$82	91	0	+91	Up	+$9	10-23 11:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$82	85	0	+85	Down	+$3	10-22 20:14
Solana Up or Down - October 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$81	84	0	+84	Up	+$3	10-22 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$81	84	0	+84	Down	+$2	10-22 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$81	90	0	+90	Down	-$81	10-25 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$81	83	0	+83	Up	+$3	10-22 13:59
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	14	$81	63	100	-37	No	-$1	01-27 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$80	88	0	+88	Up	+$8	10-23 00:54
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$80	1,569	0	+1,569	No	-$80	06-29 14:41
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$80	87	0	+87	Down	+$7	10-21 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$80	88	0	+88	Down	+$8	10-24 02:34
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	6	$79	80	80	+0	Yes	-$1	07-30 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$79	85	0	+85	Up	+$6	10-21 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$79	84	0	+84	Down	+$5	10-22 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$79	85	0	+85	Down	+$6	10-25 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$79	81	0	+81	Up	+$2	10-24 01:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:29:32	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0x861872…
10-29 16:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xfd5359…
10-29 14:29:38	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd8d4e6…
10-29 14:14:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xd874cc…
10-29 10:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	59¢	$16	0x1dc648…
10-29 09:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x7a6f5c…
10-29 07:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xfb6d5e…
10-29 06:59:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	84¢	$18	0x56a0da…
10-29 05:44:32	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x9a4677…
10-29 03:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x5aa493…
10-28 23:59:41	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xa17147…
10-28 20:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xa9c623…
10-28 19:29:34	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	77¢	$11	0xc0fd90…
10-28 18:29:34	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x8bc362…
10-28 18:14:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x6ae81e…
10-28 14:59:38	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x5cc0e9…
10-28 14:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x6fa574…
10-28 10:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x93fc83…
10-28 07:44:34	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0x5cbaab…
10-28 02:14:38	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xecf76c…
10-28 00:44:33	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8630f2…
10-27 23:44:53	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xc62b1b…
10-27 23:44:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x30e455…
10-27 23:29:39	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	94¢	$21	0xbc9092…
10-27 23:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x476f10…
10-27 22:29:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x850961…
10-27 22:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0x159567…
10-27 18:44:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0x73fb04…
10-27 18:14:33	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0xb51da2…
10-27 16:59:38	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x9360d9…
10-27 11:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x93815c…
10-27 11:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x0a00c7…
10-27 09:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	83¢	$22	0xcaeec8…
10-27 09:14:18	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x7d0572…
10-27 08:59:18	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0xd536fe…
10-27 08:14:18	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0x8ada6a…
10-27 07:44:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	80¢	$21	0x2d9391…
10-27 04:29:42	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xdfc7f4…
10-27 04:29:18	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	82¢	$26	0x0d4b5c…
10-27 04:14:18	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xd0f0d3…
10-27 03:59:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	79¢	$25	0x6dc294…
10-27 03:29:18	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x210fea…
10-27 02:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xa26296…
10-27 02:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x344fc6…
10-27 00:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xb9a4e4…
10-26 23:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x994bf7…
10-26 23:24:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0x77bf2a…
10-26 22:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	88¢	$43	0xa09de8…
10-26 22:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0xc10b37…
10-26 21:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x6d6b69…
10-26 20:14:39	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	73¢	$38	0x26ebe3…
10-26 19:39:41	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0x5198ca…
10-26 13:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	77¢	$30	0xea2a46…
10-26 12:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0xf40ca1…
10-26 12:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x4b993b…
10-26 11:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	64	92¢	$59	0x837281…
10-26 10:44:18	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0xb195a6…
10-26 09:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0xdef554…
10-26 09:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	56	97¢	$55	0x1797dc…
10-26 07:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0xf8cd51…
10-26 06:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	61	93¢	$57	0x452d0e…
10-26 05:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x5c4f43…
10-26 05:29:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0x503049…
10-26 04:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0xa715fc…
10-26 03:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	64	92¢	$59	0xc8e872…
10-26 03:29:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	69	94¢	$65	0x3f952e…
10-26 02:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc8052f…
10-26 00:44:18	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	67	96¢	$65	0xb5b94b…
10-26 00:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x8a2bb6…
10-25 21:14:33	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0xfe236e…
10-25 20:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0xe4af71…
10-25 18:29:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x72e30d…
10-25 16:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	66	98¢	$64	0xaf1784…
10-25 15:59:38	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0x9eeb37…
10-25 11:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	90	90¢	$81	0xe4e5e9…
10-25 10:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	89	95¢	$85	0xb7556a…
10-25 09:44:33	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x4c530d…
10-25 07:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	88	96¢	$84	0x6db50c…
10-25 06:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	90	81¢	$73	0x27abf4…
10-25 04:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	85	93¢	$79	0xf0af98…
10-25 04:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	85	90¢	$76	0x9bb571…
10-25 02:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	81	78¢	$63	0x025bac…
10-25 00:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0xf88056…
10-25 00:19:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0xe712a4…
10-24 23:14:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x65b1fc…
10-24 18:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	77	70¢	$54	0xd4729c…
10-24 14:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	77	97¢	$74	0x36c20a…
10-24 14:24:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	74	74¢	$55	0xb8a33b…
10-24 13:14:39	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0xc89ab4…
10-24 12:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	72	91¢	$66	0x151536…
10-24 12:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0x50cc95…
10-24 10:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	72	91¢	$65	0x594c13…
10-24 10:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x1476f3…
10-24 09:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	76	96¢	$73	0x5bc6da…
10-24 06:54:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xaa62bc…
10-24 06:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0xa224af…
10-24 06:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	73	85¢	$62	0x53fce5…
10-24 04:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x291f1a…
10-24 03:59:38	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	82	86¢	$70	0x1f1c5e…
10-24 02:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	88	91¢	$80	0xe0585b…