Quick-Witted-Terminology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$62

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

Trades

238

lifetime

Volume

$67.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$282

Open exposure

$92

1 position

First seen

2026-02-18

last 07-22 13:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

80% 100% +$97

Politics

19% 0% $-100

Sports

1% 0% $-59

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes		-430	$-98	22¢	$-92	+$6	06-11 18:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	4	$2.8K	2,742	2,742	+0	open	—	06-26 00:26
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	2	$2.6K	1,480	1,480	+0	open	—	06-24 23:34
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 team total away 1pt5	2	$2.4K	1,429	1,429	+0	open	—	06-26 20:03
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	2	$2.3K	1,299	1,299	+0	open	—	06-24 22:56
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	2	$2.3K	1,266	1,266	+0	open	—	06-25 20:22
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	2	$2.2K	1,420	1,420	+0	open	—	06-22 18:09
fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 team total away 1pt5	2	$2.2K	1,210	1,210	+0	open	—	06-25 23:12
fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	2	$2.2K	1,190	1,190	+0	open	—	06-26 00:25
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	2	$2.1K	1,136	1,136	+0	open	—	06-23 18:28
fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	2	$2.1K	1,136	1,136	+0	open	—	06-25 23:12
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 team total home 1pt5	2	$1.7K	964	964	+0	open	—	06-23 17:35
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	2	$1.5K	1,777	0	+1,777	open	—	06-26 20:35
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	2	$1.2K	714	714	+0	open	—	06-24 20:26
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 team total away 1pt5	1	$1.2K	1,558	0	+1,558	open	—	06-25 20:24
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396	3	$1.2K	870	870	+0	open	—	07-06 22:53
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	2	$1.1K	627	627	+0	open	—	07-11 22:03
fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 0pt5	1	$1.0K	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	06-23 23:59
fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 4pt5	1	$1000	1,449	0	+1,449	open	—	06-26 00:27
fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 first half team total away 0pt5	1	$991	1,274	0	+1,274	open	—	06-27 20:33
fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 team total away 1pt5	1	$811	1,267	0	+1,267	open	—	06-23 22:55
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 1pt5	1	$800	1,053	0	+1,053	open	—	06-22 18:11
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	3	$795	540	540	+0	open	—	06-14 21:35
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	2	$789	652	652	+0	open	—	06-14 21:35
will graham platner drop out by july 8	3	$761	821	821	+0	open	—	07-08 21:38
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 0pt5	2	$748	956	0	+956	open	—	06-23 21:47
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	2	$729	419	419	+0	open	—	07-07 17:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$716	455	455	+0	open	—	03-01 13:27
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	1	$700	1,186	0	+1,186	open	—	06-24 23:35
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	2	$694	388	388	+0	open	—	06-21 23:29
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 1pt5	1	$680	782	0	+782	open	—	06-22 21:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 13:24:43	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 27 2026 20260709223851529	Yes	BUY	90	45¢	$41	0x36c9e6…
07-22 13:23:24	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 24 2026 20260721160302714	Yes	BUY	754	18¢	$134	0xc338d4…
07-20 23:12:30	will alan campbell be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533221	Yes	SELL	154	97¢	$149	0x52d0a3…
07-20 20:36:51	will dan jarvis be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533213	Yes	BUY	114	57¢	$65	0xedd5e1…
07-20 14:35:34	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 20 2026 20260709223851528	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x74f94c…
07-20 11:39:10	will darren jones be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533207	Yes	BUY	43	72¢	$31	0x697159…
07-20 11:37:12	will alan campbell be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533221	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xe92347…
07-20 10:49:13	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	250	6¢	$15	0x4f81af…
07-17 21:40:19	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xea5eee…
07-15 18:05:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	372	67¢	$250	0xda3ef6…
07-15 10:38:59	will starmer say waiting list during the next pmq 20260702155400725	Yes	BUY	77	34¢	$26	0x3dd616…
07-15 10:35:29	will starmer say violent or violence during the next pmq 20260702155400711	Yes	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xc1f5e8…
07-15 10:33:07	will starmer say waiting list during the next pmq 20260702155400725	Yes	BUY	97	34¢	$33	0x8b030b…
07-14 20:34:43	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	504	36¢	$181	0x09bff3…
07-12 00:21:08	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	686	70¢	$479	0xcfcec2…
07-12 00:18:59	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xc6d230…
07-11 23:27:59	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0xcff195…
07-11 22:04:53	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	617	81¢	$500	0xa101a4…
07-11 22:03:29	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	627	100¢	$625	0x359896…
07-11 20:35:52	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	893	56¢	$500	0x063b77…
07-11 20:34:32	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	627	80¢	$500	0x9ab3c5…
07-11 20:31:44	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 shots declan rice gte1	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x7b413e…
07-09 23:40:47	graham platner divorce by october 31 20260706220148808	Yes	BUY	513	10¢	$50	0x0dbaa8…
07-09 17:53:40	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,056	55¢	$581	0xe147f9…
07-09 17:52:34	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	678	74¢	$500	0x5241a0…
07-08 21:38:43	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	SELL	821	55¢	$454	0xf4e74f…
07-08 18:21:19	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	BUY	308	52¢	$159	0x960a32…
07-08 12:36:59	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	BUY	227	66¢	$150	0xf516d6…
07-08 12:35:25	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	430	35¢	$150	0x7c687f…
07-08 12:09:40	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0xf56544…
07-08 12:08:40	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	391	40¢	$157	0x0d1f88…
07-07 20:59:55	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	268	46¢	$123	0xc6dcd2…
07-07 20:18:35	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	667	60¢	$400	0xc3b120…
07-07 17:49:43	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	163	41¢	$67	0x9268e6…
07-07 17:42:10	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	265	19¢	$50	0xb26c64…
07-07 17:41:23	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	419	100¢	$419	0x4dc90c…
07-07 16:01:07	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	419	74¢	$310	0x06cadc…
07-07 15:58:04	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	SELL	107	81¢	$87	0x345273…
07-07 12:02:40	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	107	47¢	$50	0xbbbe8b…
07-06 23:38:02	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	277	77¢	$214	0x481e86…
07-06 23:13:38	will graham platner drop out by july 7	Yes	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x6b584b…
07-06 22:59:44	will graham platner drop out by july 7	Yes	BUY	427	70¢	$300	0xf69757…
07-06 22:55:20	will graham platner drop out by july 6	Yes	BUY	89	23¢	$20	0xa8a4f8…
07-06 22:53:26	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396	Yes	SELL	870	96¢	$837	0xe210b3…
07-06 19:33:59	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	637	39¢	$248	0xeae01e…
07-06 18:45:29	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	234	42¢	$98	0xa71971…
07-06 18:44:26	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	222	20¢	$44	0x03ae19…
07-01 13:23:29	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	222	21¢	$47	0xd82e1a…
06-30 20:41:58	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	246	9¢	$22	0xa4f980…
06-27 20:33:46	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 first half team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	1,274	78¢	$991	0x2f5bb8…
06-26 20:35:20	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	186	37¢	$69	0x4d3dfc…
06-26 20:05:04	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	1,591	88¢	$1,400	0x0ff520…
06-26 20:03:56	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 team total away 1pt5	Over	SELL	1,429	100¢	$1,427	0x736a2b…
06-26 18:11:37	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,429	70¢	$1,000	0x068520…
06-26 00:27:52	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	1,449	69¢	$1,000	0x8445e5…
06-26 00:26:17	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	Over	SELL	1,067	100¢	$1,066	0x67ed96…
06-26 00:25:58	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	1,190	100¢	$1,189	0x6279aa…
06-26 00:17:14	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	Under	SELL	1,675	25¢	$419	0x37f414…
06-25 23:56:11	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	1,675	21¢	$352	0x7b8687…
06-25 23:15:26	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	1,190	84¢	$1,000	0x80ddae…
06-25 23:14:50	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	1,067	94¢	$1,000	0x9ed6da…
06-25 23:12:38	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	1,136	100¢	$1,135	0xd89d5f…
06-25 23:12:22	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 team total away 1pt5	Over	SELL	1,210	100¢	$1,209	0xa694e7…
06-25 23:00:28	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0x0b91fb…
06-25 22:57:29	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,210	83¢	$1,000	0xe69f80…
06-25 20:24:02	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,558	77¢	$1,200	0xc2ee0d…
06-25 20:22:44	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	1,266	100¢	$1,265	0x787c7b…
06-25 19:59:47	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,266	79¢	$1,000	0x2d4568…
06-25 15:49:23	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	Yes	SELL	386	92¢	$354	0xa2043c…
06-25 00:39:50	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0x935e92…
06-25 00:34:41	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x0a8712…
06-24 23:35:08	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	1,186	59¢	$700	0xb4d79f…
06-24 23:34:11	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	1,480	100¢	$1,479	0xcad714…
06-24 22:57:37	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1,480	79¢	$1,165	0x9f7b8c…
06-24 22:56:26	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	1,299	100¢	$1,297	0x1dd323…
06-24 21:38:04	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,299	77¢	$1,000	0x09e9cc…
06-24 20:27:26	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	984	61¢	$600	0xdb5794…
06-24 20:26:28	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	714	100¢	$714	0xddcb93…
06-24 18:49:31	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	714	70¢	$500	0x596645…
06-24 11:05:52	will starmer say russia or ukraine during the next pmq 20260610160650650 952 899	Yes	BUY	155	65¢	$100	0x5ec241…
06-23 23:59:41	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1,250	80¢	$1,000	0xc7d72b…
06-23 22:55:41	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,267	64¢	$811	0x5a7427…
06-23 21:47:26	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	80	60¢	$48	0x868570…
06-23 21:03:25	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	876	80¢	$700	0x39f997…
06-23 19:41:22	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	649	77¢	$500	0x29f2e1…
06-23 18:29:53	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	704	71¢	$500	0xa5e37c…
06-23 18:28:34	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	1,136	100¢	$1,135	0x55c8e9…
06-23 18:04:52	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0x8b8fea…
06-23 18:02:19	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	Yes	BUY	386	78¢	$300	0xb458bc…
06-23 17:35:44	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	964	100¢	$963	0xeddf25…
06-23 16:52:35	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	964	81¢	$781	0x46dd78…
06-22 21:01:32	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	782	87¢	$680	0x26517d…
06-22 18:12:56	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	820	61¢	$500	0xbe6523…
06-22 18:11:35	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,053	76¢	$800	0x9050f9…
06-22 18:09:40	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,420	88¢	$1,246	0xf74f3c…
06-22 09:02:22	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,420	70¢	$1,000	0x8df3a9…
06-21 23:30:44	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	598	64¢	$383	0xcb6aa0…
06-21 23:29:44	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	388	100¢	$388	0x5e3da6…
06-21 23:05:22	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	388	79¢	$306	0xef26af…
06-21 23:04:10	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	379	82¢	$310	0x20bd5d…