Impressive-Fiddle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

359

Trades

780

lifetime

Volume

$9.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-26 02:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Other

69% 76% +$0

Crypto

23% 86% +$0

Politics

5% 44% $0

Sports

2% 50% $0

Tech

1% 67% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	4	$108	54	54	+0	Yes	$0	07-28 01:56
will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	6	$107	53	53	+0	No	$0	08-01 13:05
Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?	4	$90	45	45	+0	Yes	$0	08-10 21:11
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	6	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$0	07-22 12:15
ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	4	$75	38	38	+0	No	+$0	07-21 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 4?	4	$75	38	38	+0	No	+$0	08-04 11:46
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more?	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	08-07 01:41
will ethereum dip to 1600 july 27 august 2 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	08-02 18:38
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 26?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-25 14:33
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 8?	7	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-07 19:29
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 3–4%?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-15 01:16
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 42°C on August 2?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-02 06:17
Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	08-23 19:18
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-24 00:59
bitcoin above 70k on august 6 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-06 12:57
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on August 14?	3	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-13 16:34
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-11 01:28
ethereum above 1800 on august 10 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	08-10 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 4?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-04 11:44
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-31 06:14
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 4?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-04 03:14
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-30 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 28?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-27 16:52
untitled market 1 20260629173130587	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-01 18:50
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C or higher on July 29?	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-29 05:38
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on May 30?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-30 11:53
bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	2	$55	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	07-25 23:40
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 8?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-08 18:06
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 10?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-10 15:43
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on July 28?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-28 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 02:24:24	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x74aeaa…
09-01 15:33:55	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5dfa89…
09-01 12:40:40	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6adfee…
09-01 07:16:24	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf19cd7…
09-01 04:20:45	Kash Patel out by August 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4ae86b…
09-01 02:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on September 1?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4516ed…
09-01 02:06:46	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x64ede1…
08-31 23:11:04	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa1afe5…
08-31 21:23:01	Kash Patel out by August 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x190aa4…
08-31 18:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on September 1?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdcdcec…
08-31 17:56:28	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x2b1ceb…
08-31 13:38:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x399755…
08-31 11:31:17	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x409b3b…
08-31 06:14:46	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x102f29…
08-31 01:55:19	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf92449…
08-30 22:56:49	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x42d9e6…
08-30 22:37:24	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xef339f…
08-30 22:19:36	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xaa9a31…
08-30 20:37:52	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1deb36…
08-30 19:50:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x17a206…
08-30 13:45:24	ethereum above 2600 on august 30 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6ddf7a…
08-30 12:51:19	ethereum above 2600 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd610a4…
08-30 03:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xae1b48…
08-29 10:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x66ccc1…
08-28 12:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 29?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x84ceaa…
08-28 11:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 29?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1c3470…
08-28 11:28:19	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x02626e…
08-28 05:19:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x49105b…
08-28 04:58:40	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0xa9e078…
08-28 04:13:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on August 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x46e687…
08-28 01:45:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x28c862…
08-27 23:42:36	will bitcoin dip to 76k on august 27 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x96b93e…
08-27 20:30:21	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xbdadb2…
08-27 18:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3b4789…
08-27 14:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 28?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x32f7b6…
08-27 12:00:01	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x198304…
08-27 11:18:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x8f5bd3…
08-27 10:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 28?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc1f51a…
08-27 07:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 27?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x684bc2…
08-27 07:26:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe50e9d…
08-27 05:08:54	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C or below on August 27?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf1ba07…
08-27 00:42:03	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5ae8cc…
08-26 23:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe6b019…
08-26 21:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x888837…
08-26 12:39:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 27?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe12d84…
08-26 09:11:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x66f901…
08-25 12:40:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe2abb6…
08-25 11:35:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb23f52…
08-25 10:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x368860…
08-25 03:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdc46c0…
08-24 11:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on August 25?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x808a7b…
08-24 07:07:52	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0f0e33…
08-24 05:50:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x25d6c3…
08-24 04:28:40	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x243e5a…
08-24 00:59:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x42f32f…
08-24 00:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x573dde…
08-23 22:20:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb7dc1f…
08-23 19:18:24	Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x72779d…
08-23 14:32:36	Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3191df…
08-23 12:15:25	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb89032…
08-15 01:16:42	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 3–4%?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x7e5c53…
08-14 18:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 14?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x96c2ee…
08-14 11:37:37	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 14?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x68e2ed…
08-14 11:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd5e250…
08-13 22:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa674f2…
08-13 22:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 14?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x4ceef6…
08-13 19:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 14?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd56e16…
08-13 17:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 14?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc1ec4c…
08-13 16:34:52	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on August 14?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xaa99af…
08-13 16:01:42	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on August 14?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x00a23b…
08-13 11:27:45	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on August 14?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5f8323…
08-13 06:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 13?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x1865f9…
08-13 06:50:28	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x91312c…
08-13 04:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x03d81b…
08-13 03:37:48	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x83c942…
08-13 03:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or below on August 13?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe1a43f…
08-13 03:00:43	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 12	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfd2ea2…
08-13 00:51:03	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 12	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x45c0ca…
08-12 20:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or below on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b1f55…
08-12 18:55:54	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 3–4%?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x28ce4a…
08-12 11:50:57	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xff4c34…
08-12 09:08:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 12?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xba4db0…
08-12 08:44:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 12?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0d1fc5…
08-12 08:35:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 12?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd5ca99…
08-12 08:35:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9fc135…
08-12 04:09:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 12?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3be933…
08-12 00:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 12?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x504ca2…
08-11 21:40:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x58b98b…
08-11 13:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or higher on August 11?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa81e57…
08-11 11:46:39	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe82146…
08-11 11:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or higher on August 11?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3bb12a…
08-11 10:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or higher on August 11?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xf69f50…
08-11 10:11:42	Will White House post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcee9cb…
08-11 09:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on August 11?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc05706…
08-11 09:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x962565…
08-11 09:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xfedbeb…
08-11 08:27:15	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa723e5…
08-11 06:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa977d1…
08-11 04:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on August 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6adf2a…
08-11 03:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7e27ec…