Fair-Entertainment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$931

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

26.3%

Resolved

210

Trades

649

lifetime

Volume

$21.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$27

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 07-11 16:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

64% 48% -$327

Politics

35% 20% -$547

Crypto

1% 20% -$56

Sports

0% 67% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-500	-$12	4¢	$-19	-$7	05-06 02:00
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-1,476	-$18	1¢	$-8	+$10	05-06 02:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	38	$7.7K	0	15,960	-15,960	Yes	-$260	01-29 04:39
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	11	$3.4K	0	6,800	-6,800	Yes	-$16	02-26 05:35
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	25	$1.0K	800	2,600	-1,800	Yes	-$161	03-05 09:24
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	8	$1.0K	760	460	+300	Yes	-$249	02-28 05:02
will the state of the union be 130 minutes or longer 839	9	$622	400	400	+0	No	+$58	02-25 03:53
will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	9	$549	300	300	+0	Yes	+$3	02-27 02:30
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$475	500	0	+500	No	+$25	02-24 02:33
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	2	$450	300	300	+0	No	+$0	02-28 03:02
spx up or down on january 27 2026	4	$420	0	800	-800	Up	+$20	01-27 19:27
another us government shutdown by february 14	15	$400	0	800	-800	No	+$0	02-14 14:48
will zachxbt release his investigation on february 27	2	$394	200	200	+0	No	+$0	02-26 13:42
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$231	0	243	-243	Yes	-$12	02-24 09:37
will mrbeasts next video get between 37pt0 and 37pt5 million views on day 5	11	$215	350	50	+300	No	-$4	02-26 08:35
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$213	216	0	+216	No	+$3	02-14 16:33
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$205	500	500	+0	Yes	-$5	02-27 20:41
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	9	$200	400	0	+400	Yes	+$0	02-26 06:42
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	5	$180	400	400	+0	No	-$8	03-05 13:12
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$165	100	100	+0	Yes	+$5	02-28 11:12
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 11?	1	$136	137	0	+137	No	+$1	05-11 08:31
spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	1	$126	200	0	+200	Down	-$126	03-06 08:04
will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	5	$121	86	86	+0	Yes	+$47	02-24 13:55
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 10?	2	$106	110	0	+110	No	+$4	05-10 12:26
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	5	$106	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	03-01 12:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 14?	6	$100	53	53	+0	No	+$0	05-14 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on May 13?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-13 10:47
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on May 12?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-12 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 13?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-13 05:46
will the state of the union be 120 minutes or longer 132	2	$99	100	100	+0	No	+$1	02-25 03:39
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$86	60	60	+0	No	-$1	03-01 13:02
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$66	200	200	+0	No	+$0	03-02 04:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 16:27:22	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in June?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$25	0xfbe699…
07-11 16:25:19	Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?	Yes	SELL	97	3¢	$3	0x3a9589…
06-30 15:15:23	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?	Yes	BUY	89	12¢	$11	0xeac9c2…
06-30 15:15:07	Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?	Yes	BUY	98	4¢	$4	0x26bfa6…
06-30 06:34:35	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x422493…
05-26 13:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 26?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x142d8e…
05-26 13:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 26?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6c9441…
05-26 11:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 26?	No	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x63588e…
05-26 10:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x5bef06…
05-26 09:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xab7cd5…
05-26 09:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x52ce0b…
05-26 09:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xab483d…
05-26 09:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xf44f23…
05-25 13:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 25?	No	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0x5c07b1…
05-25 13:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 25?	No	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x129795…
05-25 11:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 25?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x5b2383…
05-25 11:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 25?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x2a8d17…
05-25 11:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x84db07…
05-25 11:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 25?	No	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x54dc44…
05-25 10:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0xe677ae…
05-25 10:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x748611…
05-25 03:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x5d0d4f…
05-25 03:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x3af5a5…
05-25 02:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0xec6572…
05-24 02:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 24?	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x525d19…
05-24 02:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 24?	No	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xa2eaf0…
05-23 15:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x985bf8…
05-23 14:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xae47b1…
05-23 13:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 23?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe3825e…
05-23 13:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 23?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x1cc611…
05-23 13:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 23?	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x4b2fe9…
05-23 13:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 23?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x4d6cdd…
05-23 13:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 23?	No	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0x04a4b3…
05-23 13:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 23?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x804467…
05-23 13:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x7d5c93…
05-23 12:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 23?	No	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0xacd64b…
05-23 10:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on May 23?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x6e2ea9…
05-23 09:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on May 23?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb49f7d…
05-23 09:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on May 23?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8cda29…
05-23 08:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x86d7f4…
05-23 08:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xce9e24…
05-23 05:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x080c72…
05-23 05:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xb4d7cb…
05-23 05:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x9f558d…
05-23 05:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x2defb2…
05-23 03:18:11	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x56e2a1…
05-23 02:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x5c7be5…
05-22 11:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 22?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xb70d10…
05-22 10:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 22?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$21	0x242128…
05-22 08:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	34	34¢	$12	0xe76b8b…
05-22 07:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 22?	No	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0xc2f1c0…
05-22 07:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 22?	No	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xee0568…
05-22 07:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 22?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x850bc9…
05-22 07:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 22?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x05f97c…
05-22 07:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 22?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x3e09de…
05-22 06:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x71fce1…
05-22 06:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 22?	No	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x00b158…
05-22 06:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 22?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x0cf8e5…
05-22 06:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 22?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x26f3a7…
05-22 06:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 22?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x647312…
05-22 06:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbad4b7…
05-22 06:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x511634…
05-22 05:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0xb6f910…
05-22 04:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x64160b…
05-22 03:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 22?	Yes	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0xf4824e…
05-22 03:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 22?	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x613604…
05-22 02:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x943b58…
05-22 02:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x0c604a…
05-22 02:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 22?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xc9fdbe…
05-22 01:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 22?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xab23b3…
05-22 01:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	32	18¢	$6	0xe1afe6…
05-22 01:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 22?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xea4d3b…
05-21 22:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	143	0¢	$0	0xf85513…
05-21 15:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x5f923a…
05-21 14:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 21?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcfde5a…
05-21 14:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 21?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x245aea…
05-21 13:59:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 21?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x128f85…
05-21 13:54:34	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xd9a66e…
05-21 13:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x715c24…
05-21 13:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb09f79…
05-21 11:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 21?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xea81ca…
05-21 11:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 21?	No	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0xc07915…
05-21 11:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 21?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x95edbe…
05-21 08:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x637cb0…
05-21 08:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x4e144d…
05-21 06:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb620c2…
05-21 01:57:20	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x49b753…
05-20 14:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 20?	Yes	SELL	19	82¢	$15	0xd68224…
05-20 14:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 20?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xc3c6e9…
05-20 14:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 20?	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x375f84…
05-20 13:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x333950…
05-20 13:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 20?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x42dca6…
05-20 12:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x6a62e5…
05-20 12:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 20?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x083619…
05-20 12:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 20?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x5959b8…
05-20 11:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0xe31240…
05-20 10:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2f0753…
05-20 10:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 20?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xb1a53a…
05-20 10:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xc6e8cc…
05-20 05:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd77e4c…