Realistic-Expansionism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$317

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

116

Trades

203

lifetime

Volume

$5.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-17 05:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

100% 71% -$319

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
tur gen gal 2026 04 18 gal	2	$316	163	163	+0	Yes	+$10	04-18 19:03
sea udi par 2026 04 18 udi	2	$305	153	153	+0	No	+$1	04-18 18:41
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	2	$210	111	111	+0	Under	+$11	07-07 23:06
fr2 bas ass 2026 04 18 bas	1	$163	369	0	+369	Yes	-$163	04-18 19:20
sea ver laz 2026 01 11 total 2pt5	2	$154	78	78	+0	Under	+$1	01-11 19:03
aus bri mct 2026 04 18 spread home 2pt5	1	$151	152	0	+152	Melbourne City FC	+$1	04-18 07:24
por nac cds 2026 01 11 cds	2	$150	76	76	+0	No	+$2	01-11 18:30
tur fen riz 2026 04 17 spread away 1pt5	1	$146	151	0	+151	Fenerbahçe SK	+$5	04-17 06:24
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?	2	$144	84	84	+0	Yes	+$23	05-10 21:24
uel not por1 2026 04 16 por1	1	$143	147	0	+147	No	+$4	04-16 19:57
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5	2	$119	89	89	+0	Over	-$48	05-10 23:09
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	2	$117	62	62	+0	FC Barcelona	+$5	05-10 20:14
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-10?	2	$103	53	53	+0	No	+$3	05-10 12:03
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-10?	2	$102	52	52	+0	Yes	+$2	05-10 10:38
spl hil nsr 2026 01 12 total 4pt5	3	$102	59	59	+0	Under	+$2	01-12 18:29
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?	2	$101	54	54	+0	Yes	+$1	05-10 12:24
Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)	2	$99	53	53	+0	US Cremonese	-$1	05-10 12:59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	2	$95	63	63	+0	Yes	+$18	05-10 17:22
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5	3	$95	70	33	+38	Over	+$3	05-20 14:12
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5	2	$79	41	41	+0	Under	+$3	05-17 21:30
sea int nap 2026 01 11 nap	1	$78	84	0	+84	No	+$7	01-11 20:02
ere her1 fey 2026 01 11 her1	1	$72	74	0	+74	No	+$2	01-11 12:56
epl tot cry 2026 03 05 spread away 2pt5	2	$70	49	49	+0	Tottenham Hotspur FC	-$24	03-05 20:52
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-09?	2	$68	49	49	+0	No	-$13	05-09 19:51
ere psv exc 2026 01 10 psv	1	$68	69	0	+69	Yes	+$1	01-10 19:30
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-10?	2	$68	39	39	+0	Yes	+$11	05-10 15:19
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	2	$58	30	30	+0	Tottenham Hotspur FC	+$2	05-19 21:03
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5	2	$56	29	29	+0	Under	+$2	05-16 11:58
spl hil nsr 2026 01 12 hil	2	$54	61	61	+0	Yes	-$50	01-12 19:20
spl haz njm 2026 01 12 haz	1	$54	72	0	+72	Yes	-$54	01-12 15:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 05:08:00	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd1d170…
07-17 03:39:34	Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-16?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x6a00b2…
07-17 03:38:55	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdcde1a…
07-17 03:24:48	Exact Score: Seattle Sounders FC 1 - 2 Portland Timbers?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb19dfd…
07-17 03:24:24	Exact Score: Seattle Sounders FC 0 - 3 Portland Timbers?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x0ad2d8…
07-12 03:52:25	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2b1797…
07-12 03:09:14	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xdafbee…
07-12 03:07:52	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa30265…
07-12 02:32:58	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x4f7175…
07-07 23:06:34	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x58cc70…
07-07 21:14:37	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x97f2ba…
05-22 11:06:17	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	Alter Ego	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6c9fd6…
05-22 10:59:14	Spread: FC Machida Zelvia (-1.5)	FC Machida Zelvia	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xa1a3e1…
05-21 18:39:51	Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf381c9…
05-21 18:37:17	Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x97c4b5…
05-21 14:34:19	Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-21?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd0b332…
05-21 11:23:04	Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-05-21?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xef2012…
05-20 14:12:33	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0x8eb2a8…
05-20 14:08:14	Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)	Wuhan San Zhen FC	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x9bec3e…
05-20 13:11:05	Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-20?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xfc6c9a…
05-20 11:56:15	Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)	Wuhan San Zhen FC	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x53f9eb…
05-20 11:55:12	Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-20?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x410e00…
05-20 11:47:05	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	33	92¢	$30	0xca8c43…
05-19 21:07:22	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x8048de…
05-19 21:03:26	Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	Tottenham Hotspur FC	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0xf87e35…
05-19 20:30:28	Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	Tottenham Hotspur FC	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x463062…
05-19 20:26:11	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x75652f…
05-19 14:34:24	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x2cb436…
05-19 14:31:36	Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf54301…
05-19 13:44:18	Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$2	0x7e8fc4…
05-19 13:43:37	Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc90568…
05-19 13:41:54	Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4d0ecf…
05-19 13:38:00	Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)	Beijing Guoan FC	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x9558c6…
05-19 11:17:39	Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)	Beijing Guoan FC	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x3b6556…
05-19 11:16:16	Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x925034…
05-18 21:53:00	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xd7ed71…
05-18 17:12:16	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	Yes	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0xcbc672…
05-18 17:10:52	Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Pharco FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xece2e1…
05-18 08:51:42	Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Pharco FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0x208907…
05-17 22:21:32	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xee8c99…
05-17 22:13:10	Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-05-17?	No	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x3a2d8e…
05-17 22:13:01	Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0x5abb3d…
05-17 21:37:31	Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-05-17?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x21be0b…
05-17 21:36:30	Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x786fec…
05-17 21:30:01	FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x594b88…
05-17 19:56:47	FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0x56eaf3…
05-17 19:55:42	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$23	0x92955c…
05-17 19:55:30	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17?	No	SELL	15	10¢	$1	0xcae39f…
05-17 19:55:24	Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-17?	No	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0xa1d6e3…
05-17 19:22:25	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x683884…
05-17 19:20:24	Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)	Kasımpaşa SK	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x29b01e…
05-17 18:27:02	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17?	No	BUY	15	84¢	$12	0x390768…
05-17 18:10:54	Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)	Eyüpspor	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xe7cf13…
05-17 16:25:47	Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)	Eyüpspor	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x3bdf61…
05-17 16:24:16	Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-05-17?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x8f62f1…
05-17 16:21:35	Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-05-17?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x997ab1…
05-17 15:54:00	Will Konyaspor win on 2026-05-17?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7c88c5…
05-17 15:04:14	Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)	Kasımpaşa SK	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0xc0ff30…
05-17 14:59:24	Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-17?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xcf8337…
05-17 14:47:45	Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-17?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x10444d…
05-17 14:47:35	Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)	AFC Ajax	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x817a84…
05-17 14:47:24	PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb78187…
05-17 13:46:01	Will Konyaspor win on 2026-05-17?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x5aa2a9…
05-17 13:33:51	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x02f8a0…
05-17 13:10:33	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x7ca1e5…
05-17 13:08:55	Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)	AFC Ajax	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x8b154a…
05-17 13:08:06	Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-17?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x07ef84…
05-17 12:59:28	PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xba3e45…
05-17 11:57:46	Spread: Gangwon FC (-2.5)	Ulsan HD FC	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x7c377f…
05-17 11:57:38	Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xa60c43…
05-17 09:43:35	Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x813f4a…
05-17 09:41:55	Spread: Gangwon FC (-2.5)	Ulsan HD FC	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x9fd7ad…
05-16 22:46:13	Orlando City SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xda00e1…
05-16 22:37:09	CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xbf9d71…
05-16 20:29:40	CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0x6cf412…
05-16 20:27:58	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xc1bd49…
05-16 19:08:14	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0x353439…
05-16 18:58:26	UD Almería vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x8be602…
05-16 16:39:39	UD Almería vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x129710…
05-16 16:33:35	Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x86abf4…
05-16 15:42:43	Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	23	68¢	$15	0xb16492…
05-16 15:27:21	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x2fc5c9…
05-16 15:09:25	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd3956f…
05-16 14:03:31	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	16	71¢	$11	0xd0ecbe…
05-16 14:01:29	Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xd838ac…
05-16 13:31:32	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x2a0c1e…
05-16 12:23:25	Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x5ad5e6…
05-16 11:58:50	Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x19234f…
05-16 10:17:13	Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	29	92¢	$27	0x2aa3a9…
05-15 20:48:43	CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3c3ac8…
05-15 20:03:24	CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x0379ea…
05-15 20:03:20	CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xe7f766…
05-15 20:03:20	CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x5c12e3…
05-15 20:03:20	CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0c3a5e…
05-15 19:30:24	CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0xe21194…
05-15 19:28:11	Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xc6eaea…
05-15 14:28:44	Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0xab80df…
05-15 13:43:39	Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)	Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf68204…
05-15 11:53:20	Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)	Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0xfecfe3…
05-15 11:50:06	Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x1762d3…