Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
5,583
lifetime
Volume
$28.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$5
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-25 15:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
99% 50% $-3
Other
1%
Politics
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $1 $1 +$0 06-25 11:59
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $1 $1 $-0 06-25 11:49
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $1 $1 +$0 06-25 11:59
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? Yes +100 $1 $1 +$0 06-24 10:40
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30? Yes +100 $1 $0 $-1 06-24 06:41
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +150 $1 $0 $-0 06-24 16:25
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Yes +100 $1 $0 $-0 06-24 06:36
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30? Yes +50 $0 $0 +$0 06-24 13:31
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? Yes +65 $0 $0 $-0 06-24 19:49
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30? Yes +36 $0 $0 $-0 06-23 18:51
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +50 $0 $0 $-0 06-24 16:07
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $1 $0 $-0 06-24 13:25
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? Yes +11 $0 $0 $-0 06-25 15:01