Improbable-Corduroy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$111

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-08 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 83% $-91

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 4h 1775520000	1	$281	2,008	+2,008	open	—	04-07 02:10
eth updown 4h 1775476800	1	$247	281	+281	open	—	04-06 15:31
btc updown 4h 1775433600	3	$220	247	+247	open	—	04-06 03:38
xrp updown 4h 1775390400	1	$205	220	+220	open	—	04-05 14:24
eth updown 4h 1775376000	1	$182	205	+205	open	—	04-05 11:10
btc updown 4h 1775347200	1	$167	182	+182	open	—	04-05 03:27
xrp updown 4h 1775332800	1	$155	168	+168	open	—	04-04 23:30
xrp updown 4h 1775275200	1	$146	154	+154	open	—	04-04 07:15
btc updown 4h 1775260800	1	$142	146	+146	open	—	04-04 03:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$134	140	+140	Up	$-134	05-08 07:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$123	134	+134	Down	+$11	05-08 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$117	124	+124	Down	+$7	05-07 22:08
bnb updown 4h 1775188800	1	$112	142	+142	open	—	04-03 07:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$109	117	+117	Up	+$8	05-07 06:55
btc updown 4h 1775174400	1	$108	112	+112	open	—	04-03 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$105	112	+112	Up	+$7	05-06 10:04
btc updown 4h 1775131200	1	$100	108	+108	open	—	04-02 15:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$94	105	+105	Down	+$10	05-05 22:52
btc updown 4h 1775116800	1	$93	100	+100	open	—	04-02 10:26
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$91	95	+95	open	—	04-24 23:24
xrp updown 4h 1775030400	1	$89	93	+93	open	—	04-01 11:44
btc updown 4h 1777032000	2	$86	91	+91	open	—	04-24 15:10
eth updown 4h 1775016000	1	$83	89	+89	open	—	04-01 06:00
btc updown 4h 1774987200	1	$79	83	+83	open	—	03-31 23:23
xrp updown 4h 1774958400	1	$73	79	+79	open	—	03-31 14:33
cs2 mnte 9ine 2026 03 25	2	$71	114	+114	open	—	03-25 14:36
btc updown 4h 1774958400	1	$22	316	+316	open	—	03-31 14:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 07:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	140	96¢	$134	0xf92bdd…
05-08 02:22:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	134	92¢	$123	0x41f2fd…
05-07 22:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	124	94¢	$117	0x4d4f95…
05-07 06:55:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	117	93¢	$109	0x8419e6…
05-06 10:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	112	94¢	$105	0x098679…
05-05 22:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	105	90¢	$94	0x20bf4c…
04-24 23:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	95	96¢	$91	0xf21069…
04-24 15:10:22	btc updown 4h 1777032000	Down	BUY	86	94¢	$81	0x8e528c…
04-24 15:09:42	btc updown 4h 1777032000	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5a6160…
04-07 02:10:17	btc updown 4h 1775520000	Up	BUY	2,008	14¢	$281	0x5f66a1…
04-06 15:31:31	eth updown 4h 1775476800	Up	BUY	281	88¢	$247	0x80ead7…
04-06 03:38:09	btc updown 4h 1775433600	Up	BUY	184	89¢	$163	0x55022f…
04-06 03:38:05	btc updown 4h 1775433600	Up	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0xd28090…
04-06 03:38:05	btc updown 4h 1775433600	Up	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xad487d…
04-05 14:24:33	xrp updown 4h 1775390400	Down	BUY	220	93¢	$205	0x183a05…
04-05 11:10:01	eth updown 4h 1775376000	Up	BUY	205	89¢	$182	0x496b3b…
04-05 03:27:01	btc updown 4h 1775347200	Down	BUY	182	92¢	$167	0x3e015d…
04-04 23:30:01	xrp updown 4h 1775332800	Down	BUY	168	92¢	$155	0x2f0ee6…
04-04 07:15:47	xrp updown 4h 1775275200	Up	BUY	154	95¢	$146	0xae97d6…
04-04 03:37:53	btc updown 4h 1775260800	Down	BUY	146	97¢	$142	0xe4e3f1…
04-03 07:59:55	bnb updown 4h 1775188800	Up	BUY	142	79¢	$112	0xaa1b2f…
04-03 02:39:29	btc updown 4h 1775174400	Down	BUY	112	96¢	$108	0xc3c0ab…
04-02 15:16:31	btc updown 4h 1775131200	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x7c5ced…
04-02 10:26:11	btc updown 4h 1775116800	Down	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x5389c4…
04-01 11:44:33	xrp updown 4h 1775030400	Down	BUY	93	96¢	$89	0x9fb65b…
04-01 06:00:19	eth updown 4h 1775016000	Up	BUY	89	93¢	$83	0xefa16f…
03-31 23:23:47	btc updown 4h 1774987200	Up	BUY	83	95¢	$79	0xde11a5…
03-31 14:33:07	xrp updown 4h 1774958400	Up	BUY	79	93¢	$73	0x15505f…
03-31 14:22:21	btc updown 4h 1774958400	Down	BUY	316	7¢	$22	0x218bdc…
03-25 14:36:59	cs2 mnte 9ine 2026 03 25	9INE	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x231ad2…
03-25 14:36:53	cs2 mnte 9ine 2026 03 25	9INE	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x0b576d…