Lawful-Stumbling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.6%

Resolved

237

Trades

660

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 09-28 19:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

91% 91% +$6

Sports

7% 81% -$41

Politics

1% 40% -$33

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl tot cry 2026 03 05 tot	4	$348	176	176	+0	No	+$1	03-05 21:25
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	10	$309	406	406	+0	No	$0	07-19 03:13
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	5	$272	200	200	+0	Yes	-$54	07-06 21:09
sea nap tor 2026 03 06 total 3pt5	9	$187	100	100	-0	Under	+$1	03-06 21:42
sea nap tor 2026 03 06 nap	2	$184	112	112	+0	Yes	+$2	03-06 21:00
nba dal orl 2026 03 05	2	$179	134	134	+0	Magic	+$4	03-06 00:25
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	8	$178	333	325	+8	Paraguay	+$11	06-29 22:57
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	2	$176	105	105	+0	Yes	+$1	08-12 23:34
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	5	$176	110	110	+0	Under	+$5	06-17 18:40
fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	10	$169	110	110	+0	Under	+$2	06-17 01:18
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 5 2026 26c	3	$165	85	85	+0	No	+$4	03-05 15:14
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	2	$165	91	91	+0	Yes	+$3	06-16 20:53
epl mac not 2026 03 04 mac	3	$160	98	98	+0	No	+$1	03-04 20:38
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 1pt5	7	$158	126	126	+0	Over	+$3	06-16 20:24
epl ast che 2026 03 04 ast	4	$157	135	135	+0	No	+$3	03-04 19:52
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5	6	$152	100	100	+0	Under	+$4	06-15 22:32
crint zaf nzl 2026 03 04	2	$152	88	88	+0	New Zealand	+$3	03-04 15:44
highest temperature in seoul on march 4 2026 6c	2	$148	75	75	+0	No	+$1	03-04 00:41
epl lee sun 2026 03 03 total 2pt5	3	$145	74	74	+0	Under	+$1	03-03 21:31
sea pis bol 2026 03 02 total 1pt5	3	$137	72	71	+1	Under	+$2	03-02 19:19
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5	3	$136	82	77	+5	Under	+$8	06-15 19:45
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 2 2026 30corbelow	2	$135	70	70	+0	No	+$1	03-02 18:05
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	8	$135	107	102	+5	Yes	+$7	07-05 21:47
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team total home 1pt5	10	$132	75	75	+0	Under	+$3	07-05 21:40
lol wb tes 2026 03 02	2	$128	70	70	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$6	03-02 13:20
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	8	$128	113	113	+0	No	-$53	06-18 17:46
bun hsv lei 2026 03 01 total 4pt5	2	$125	69	69	+0	Under	+$1	03-01 20:16
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 1pt5	7	$125	106	103	+3	Under	+$7	07-04 22:28
crint zwe zaf 2026 03 01	4	$120	62	62	+0	South Africa	+$1	03-01 12:36
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	2	$119	84	82	+2	Over	+$2	07-04 17:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 19:20:29	Belgium vs. France: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x9c6c9b…
09-26 20:37:20	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xbd7594…
09-26 08:26:50	Iwaki FC vs. Vegalta Sendai: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	67¢	$14	0x4ea866…
09-25 20:44:23	Will France win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x884f3f…
09-25 20:36:11	Will France win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xf6e80d…
09-24 20:28:42	Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xd003ad…
09-24 20:28:06	Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x7c3d3a…
09-24 20:22:47	Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xd8b135…
09-19 12:11:47	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xa5603a…
09-19 11:34:03	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0x39b929…
09-18 19:20:42	Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0xa3de80…
09-18 19:19:15	Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xa901d4…
09-17 17:43:27	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc6830b…
09-13 16:08:54	Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6a7647…
08-31 20:36:55	Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x428647…
08-29 19:26:00	bel1 cer lom 2026 08 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x08efe9…
08-29 13:59:09	1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	39	69¢	$27	0x420657…
08-29 11:57:18	Middlesbrough FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	54	64¢	$35	0x5b93bb…
08-29 10:16:15	Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	35	61¢	$21	0xfd7090…
08-28 18:59:09	AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x8f3d55…
08-28 18:58:52	AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x81ccae…
08-26 18:31:10	Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	SELL	70	24¢	$17	0xebae20…
08-26 18:24:06	Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	BUY	70	88¢	$62	0xd986fc…
08-25 18:50:16	Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	62	76¢	$47	0xdc4539…
08-23 15:32:40	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x759c1b…
08-23 15:32:40	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x227671…
08-23 15:32:15	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb4401a…
08-23 15:31:22	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x446690…
08-23 15:31:19	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x523023…
08-23 15:31:10	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x44d80b…
08-23 15:30:24	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	67¢	$8	0xa301db…
08-23 14:40:45	Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	35	91¢	$32	0x7e90e4…
08-23 14:32:58	Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	35	84¢	$29	0x8d5f8d…
08-22 16:24:51	Will AZ win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x8bfe54…
08-22 16:23:33	Will AZ win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb5d7bb…
08-22 16:15:18	Will AZ win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x4922b2…
08-22 10:47:16	jap san kaw 2026 08 22 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	28	74¢	$21	0xaf4ce4…
08-21 20:19:51	lal bet rso 2026 08 21 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0xec6034…
08-21 19:15:54	fl1 olm str 2026 08 21 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xce8a5b…
08-20 17:46:31	Will Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x5be94f…
08-20 17:46:30	Will Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	84¢	$21	0x758984…
08-20 17:45:01	Will Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x9809ac…
08-19 20:56:22	lal mad mala 2026 08 19 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xb7b6d3…
08-19 20:49:55	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. NK Celje end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0x497293…
08-19 20:49:55	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. NK Celje end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	83¢	$5	0x0516d0…
08-19 20:49:51	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. NK Celje end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x8bddf9…
08-19 20:46:52	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. NK Celje end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x7df1ed…
08-19 20:46:52	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. NK Celje end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x283670…
08-19 20:40:07	ucl cel lin2 2026 08 19 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x3e97ef…
08-19 20:34:01	ucl cel lin2 2026 08 19 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x286046…
08-18 20:41:43	ucl fen lyo 2026 08 18 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0xd81628…
08-18 20:38:00	ucl fen lyo 2026 08 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x07958d…
08-18 20:37:54	ucl fen lyo 2026 08 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	25	93¢	$24	0xa24634…
08-17 20:54:27	lal dep elc 2026 08 17 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x27aa6f…
08-17 20:43:31	lal dep elc 2026 08 17 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0x5f2ea8…
08-17 20:31:09	Will US Cremonese win on 2026-08-17?	Yes	SELL	46	89¢	$41	0x5797bf…
08-17 20:27:27	Will US Cremonese win on 2026-08-17?	Yes	BUY	24	87¢	$20	0x2cce43…
08-17 20:27:24	Will US Cremonese win on 2026-08-17?	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x55d822…
08-16 17:44:36	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x85e1f6…
08-16 17:43:39	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x517a86…
08-16 13:57:27	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0xe09af3…
08-16 12:10:39	kor inc san 2026 08 16 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	42	55¢	$23	0x77aac1…
08-16 12:08:39	ere ado gro 2026 08 16 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x6af4f7…
08-16 12:07:21	ere ado gro 2026 08 16 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x5350eb…
08-16 12:03:06	ere ado gro 2026 08 16 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0x3e5231…
08-15 21:40:04	Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	68	6¢	$4	0x0c55b0…
08-15 21:36:13	Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	68	87¢	$59	0xd37a33…
08-14 20:53:21	Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	57	90¢	$52	0x4d920d…
08-12 23:34:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	105	84¢	$89	0xf6f053…
08-12 22:15:00	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?	Yes	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x1686d2…
08-12 22:14:58	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?	Yes	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0xb4a38f…
08-12 19:16:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	SELL	105	30¢	$32	0xa5e561…
08-12 19:15:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	105	30¢	$32	0x12051f…
08-12 19:11:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	105	83¢	$87	0x513f10…
08-12 12:32:24	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?	Yes	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0xa9148f…
08-12 10:39:31	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x259f7c…
08-09 22:32:13	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	BUY	52	94¢	$48	0x20062f…
08-09 19:29:24	atp tien tirante 2026 08 10	Learner Tien	SELL	27	95¢	$25	0x2218e3…
08-09 19:29:21	atp tien tirante 2026 08 10	Learner Tien	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x35e7a3…
08-09 19:29:09	atp tien tirante 2026 08 10	Learner Tien	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xbf9d5a…
08-09 19:29:06	atp tien tirante 2026 08 10	Learner Tien	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x3637f9…
08-09 19:28:51	atp tien tirante 2026 08 10	Learner Tien	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x15a157…
08-09 19:22:07	atp tien tirante 2026 08 10	Learner Tien	BUY	51	87¢	$44	0x8d2c7f…
08-09 12:11:43	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x9ed86a…
08-09 12:11:42	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe938e4…
08-09 12:04:40	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0xdff647…
08-08 20:49:07	atp johnso ilagan 2026 08 08	Andre Ilagan	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x151033…
08-08 20:48:57	atp johnso ilagan 2026 08 08	Andre Ilagan	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x78470f…
08-07 01:23:57	Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?	Yes	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0x8e8428…
08-06 14:25:50	Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	25	26¢	$7	0x9da434…
08-06 09:22:38	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	Yes	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x15c91c…
08-06 09:11:57	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	Yes	SELL	43	87¢	$37	0x737f41…
08-05 22:20:39	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	Yes	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0xd7816f…
08-05 18:18:24	Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?	Yes	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0x6a8ba4…
08-04 22:10:56	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0x4a9adc…
08-04 20:06:50	will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	No	SELL	22	80¢	$18	0xbb4295…
08-04 19:47:18	will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	No	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0xe86383…
08-04 17:29:03	Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	25	26¢	$7	0xe9422c…
08-03 20:15:15	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-03?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4033a1…
08-03 20:15:00	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-03?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc6f923…