Pale-Acceptance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-14 22:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 45% -$29

Other

5% 25% -$15

Politics

0% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$160	129	129	+0	Down	+$60	05-03 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$80	101	0	+101	Up	+$21	05-02 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$50	119	0	+119	Down	-$50	05-03 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$50	154	0	+154	Down	-$50	05-03 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$50	83	0	+83	Up	-$50	05-03 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$50	63	0	+63	Up	-$50	05-10 23:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$45	65	0	+65	Down	+$20	05-03 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$43	40	40	+0	Down	+$3	05-01 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$40	286	0	+286	Up	-$40	05-14 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$40	70	0	+70	Down	+$30	05-03 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$40	87	0	+87	Up	+$47	05-03 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$40	70	0	+70	Down	-$40	05-03 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$40	53	0	+53	Down	-$40	05-11 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$40	47	0	+47	Down	+$7	05-10 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$34	49	49	+0	Up	-$6	05-01 15:49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	1	$30	50	0	+50	Yes	+$20	05-10 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$30	40	0	+40	Down	+$10	05-10 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$30	83	0	+83	Down	+$53	05-01 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$30	68	0	+68	Down	+$38	05-01 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$30	130	0	+130	Up	-$30	05-01 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$30	86	0	+86	Down	-$30	05-02 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$30	59	0	+59	Down	-$30	05-01 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$26	41	0	+41	Up	+$15	05-03 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 1?	2	$20	15,687	0	+15,687	Yes	-$20	05-01 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$20	38	0	+38	Down	-$20	05-03 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$20	45	0	+45	Down	-$20	05-02 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$20	37	0	+37	Up	+$17	05-03 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$20	36	0	+36	Up	+$16	05-10 21:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$20	33	0	+33	Up	+$13	05-03 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$19	40	0	+40	Up	-$19	05-14 22:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 22:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$19	0x917bcb…
05-14 22:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	286	14¢	$40	0xdfff4d…
05-14 22:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe8cda2…
05-11 00:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x06c70e…
05-11 00:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xf4a558…
05-10 23:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xe85d56…
05-10 23:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x2e5462…
05-10 23:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xb70bb3…
05-10 23:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x4291d1…
05-10 21:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x3d74bc…
05-10 19:10:17	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x04cf6c…
05-06 04:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x03ceb1…
05-04 04:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x5751eb…
05-04 04:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf0601d…
05-03 23:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x5362c0…
05-03 16:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc5fdc7…
05-03 16:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4dbcec…
05-03 16:10:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x49bd4f…
05-03 16:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x9e8b86…
05-03 15:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x3ae05f…
05-03 15:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xf2e5da…
05-03 15:55:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x6749c4…
05-03 15:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x28a58b…
05-03 14:39:32	Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x472bd3…
05-03 14:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xc7b1de…
05-03 14:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x4f35a7…
05-03 14:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	129	86¢	$110	0xa032cf…
05-03 14:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0x153f14…
05-03 14:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x9f7bff…
05-03 14:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	154	33¢	$50	0xbcb059…
05-03 14:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x3dfa0e…
05-03 14:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x102a31…
05-03 13:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0x6c1985…
05-03 13:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0xca7c44…
05-03 13:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xa7abc1…
05-03 13:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4550c3…
05-03 13:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xfe523a…
05-02 17:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0xcd72a6…
05-02 05:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x51518b…
05-02 05:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	101	79¢	$80	0xb08e95…
05-02 04:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x760d2f…
05-02 03:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe8f36f…
05-02 03:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x93056b…
05-02 03:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf99f0c…
05-02 00:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6e075b…
05-02 00:07:34	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in May?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x899764…
05-02 00:07:08	Will Trump say "Lion" in May?	No	BUY	229	0¢	$1	0xfe3ce6…
05-02 00:07:02	Will Trump say "Tiger" in May?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe8d0c2…
05-02 00:06:54	Will Trump say "Giraffe" in May?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x43fb00…
05-02 00:06:38	Will Trump say "Fish" in May?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x2141f2…
05-02 00:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x042e77…
05-01 23:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x06b9be…
05-01 23:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0xb93ddf…
05-01 23:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	33¢	$9	0xbb4f92…
05-01 23:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xe65615…
05-01 23:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xd9a71a…
05-01 23:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x85f170…
05-01 23:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8bfd2f…
05-01 22:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5fa6c0…
05-01 22:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8af25d…
05-01 22:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x9f171a…
05-01 20:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe7188b…
05-01 20:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0x9d8769…
05-01 20:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x2b8b5b…
05-01 18:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	5,210	0¢	$5	0x783c28…
05-01 18:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 1?	No	BUY	5,687	0¢	$10	0xefba9a…
05-01 18:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 1?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x485d33…
05-01 17:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	65	17¢	$11	0x7ef167…
05-01 16:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xa8c297…
05-01 16:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc12e70…
05-01 16:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xec7f09…
05-01 16:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x90d628…
05-01 16:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x361a02…
05-01 16:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	40	58¢	$23	0x322749…
05-01 16:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x11293e…
05-01 15:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	49	29¢	$14	0x22c255…
05-01 15:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xb64469…
05-01 15:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xfa4364…
05-01 15:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x36b659…
05-01 14:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x55ab90…