Aware-Raft — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$635

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

295

310 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$4.84K

$5.23K lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-26 13:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 41% -$634

Other

2% 100% +$2

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	17	$531	426	426	+0	Up	+$155	10-03 09:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 3PM ET	27	$356	924	924	+0	Up	+$59	10-03 19:54
Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 12PM ET	8	$298	363	363	+0	Down	+$52	10-05 16:41
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 10AM ET	19	$294	344	344	+0	Up	+$84	10-03 14:46
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 6AM ET	6	$288	250	200	+50	Up	+$102	10-03 10:31
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	16	$280	200	200	+0	Up	+$80	10-09 13:28
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	27	$204	304	304	+0	Down	+$130	10-06 09:55
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	8	$158	191	191	+0	Up	+$58	10-03 10:08
Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 1PM ET	4	$134	110	110	+0	Up	+$42	10-05 17:34
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	3	$129	305	0	+305	Down	-$129	10-07 13:24
Ethereum Up or Down on October 5?	4	$122	160	160	+0	Down	-$74	10-05 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$118	300	0	+300	Down	-$118	10-09 13:20
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 10AM ET	3	$116	160	80	+80	Up	+$84	10-06 14:52
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	9	$110	343	0	+343	Down	-$110	10-09 15:53
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	7	$105	214	214	+0	Down	-$48	10-03 09:48
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	3	$94	180	0	+180	Up	+$86	10-10 11:11
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	16	$90	500	0	+500	Down	-$90	10-03 09:37
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 5AM ET	4	$87	200	0	+200	Down	-$87	10-03 09:44
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	5	$81	200	0	+200	Down	-$81	10-03 09:52
Ethereum Up or Down on October 8?	3	$79	260	0	+260	Down	-$79	10-08 11:04
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	3	$68	160	0	+160	Down	-$68	10-09 13:19
Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7AM ET	4	$68	75	75	+0	Up	+$14	10-06 11:36
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	6	$68	150	0	+150	Down	-$68	10-09 13:17
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	3	$61	300	0	+300	Down	-$61	10-07 10:02
Solana Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	4	$60	341	0	+341	Down	-$60	10-06 09:31
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:10 UTC	4	$60	871	0	+871	Down	-$60	10-09 13:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 17:30 UTC	4	$57	50	50	+0	Up	+$18	10-03 17:40
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	6	$54	500	0	+500	Down	-$54	10-03 18:40
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6AM ET	3	$48	100	0	+100	Down	-$48	10-07 10:03
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	5	$40	297	0	+297	Down	-$40	10-03 09:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:22:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x0f3b40…
10-26 13:22:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xdf4b10…
10-26 13:22:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x0947c0…
10-26 13:22:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xcf5aa5…
10-26 13:22:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9f3a8f…
10-26 13:22:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x922d92…
10-26 13:22:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9c56d6…
10-26 13:22:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x93bcaf…
10-26 13:22:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xf3a6e1…
10-26 13:21:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x561fac…
10-26 11:22:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x0480ea…
10-10 11:11:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	80	52¢	$42	0x608239…
10-10 11:09:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x391773…
10-10 11:08:40	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xa483ea…
10-10 11:08:15	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xf0384e…
10-09 15:53:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x13de96…
10-09 15:53:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x94bf3b…
10-09 15:53:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	55	50¢	$28	0x77ae72…
10-09 15:53:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4419ee…
10-09 15:53:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x33f17b…
10-09 15:53:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf81683…
10-09 15:53:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5a761a…
10-09 15:53:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0x521e39…
10-09 15:53:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	68	50¢	$34	0x0ecca5…
10-09 14:29:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf8e21e…
10-09 13:33:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x96dff1…
10-09 13:32:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	78	38¢	$30	0xfc4dfb…
10-09 13:30:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xcf10b2…
10-09 13:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0xe4f852…
10-09 13:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0xd34742…
10-09 13:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xc1ad44…
10-09 13:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0x8f1c98…
10-09 13:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x462a49…
10-09 13:28:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0xdb886c…
10-09 13:28:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0xd0277f…
10-09 13:28:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x072074…
10-09 13:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0xb9b9e7…
10-09 13:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x9687e7…
10-09 13:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x83d672…
10-09 13:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x7714c8…
10-09 13:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x461e0d…
10-09 13:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1be281…
10-09 13:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	199	50¢	$100	0xde4247…
10-09 13:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x4dfe1a…
10-09 13:20:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x210666…
10-09 13:19:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	48¢	$95	0x9bcd05…
10-09 13:19:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x91d85d…
10-09 13:17:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x6f6425…
10-09 13:17:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	38¢	$6	0x3e6417…
10-09 13:17:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x13e671…
10-09 13:15:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xaf729b…
10-09 13:15:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x71f67a…
10-09 13:14:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xe0fc9b…
10-09 13:12:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	581	3¢	$20	0x5ce00e…
10-09 13:12:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x3bcec4…
10-09 13:11:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	127	12¢	$15	0xe7d905…
10-09 13:10:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x9abd87…
10-09 13:08:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xbe1ab9…
10-09 13:07:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x669175…
10-09 10:14:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0xe03511…
10-09 10:13:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0x466ef5…
10-08 11:04:33	Ethereum Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0xef5533…
10-08 10:37:41	Ethereum Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x2a9603…
10-08 10:10:20	Ethereum Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xccd40d…
10-07 13:24:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	55	29¢	$16	0x8567e8…
10-07 12:46:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	150	38¢	$57	0x6acf43…
10-07 12:12:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xf61a6b…
10-07 10:03:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xe3a6ec…
10-07 10:03:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xa10822…
10-07 10:03:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	45	48¢	$22	0x188a27…
10-07 10:02:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0xff02f3…
10-07 08:53:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	80	35¢	$28	0xec06ec…
10-07 08:53:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x8bf9a5…
10-06 14:52:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	80	75¢	$60	0xd8f5b7…
10-06 14:20:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	80	30¢	$24	0xc7826f…
10-06 14:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	80	40¢	$32	0x3f22f2…
10-06 13:12:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x2606da…
10-06 11:56:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xfa5905…
10-06 11:36:13	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xfbb3d6…
10-06 11:36:13	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	65	55¢	$36	0x14dd7b…
10-06 11:03:34	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	45	36¢	$16	0x063922…
10-06 11:03:33	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x512663…
10-06 11:00:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xbdfbd0…
10-06 09:55:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	272	55¢	$150	0xb3e0fe…
10-06 09:54:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	31	55¢	$17	0x83fb1f…
10-06 09:31:54	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	141	7¢	$10	0x61eef1…
10-06 09:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x4fd012…
10-06 09:31:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xcf8d2e…
10-06 09:31:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xc59f07…
10-06 09:31:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xadea46…
10-06 09:31:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x89fc61…
10-06 09:31:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x7abdf9…
10-06 09:31:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x9f2e13…
10-06 09:31:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x4c9628…
10-06 09:31:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x47066a…
10-06 09:31:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x3a9fe2…
10-06 09:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xe3d385…
10-06 09:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xa5e153…
10-06 09:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x699efb…
10-06 09:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x4570db…