Realized P&L
-$204
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
78.9%
Resolved
123
Trades
272
lifetime
Volume
$2.64K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$95
7 positions
First seen
2026-07-13
last 10-17 10:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
87% 76% -$235
Politics
6% 89% +$30
Sports
5% 67% +$0
Crypto
2% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +26 $25 100¢ $25 +$1 07-15 22:31
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +20 $16 90¢ $18 +$2 07-15 18:33
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +20 $13 77¢ $15 +$2 09-12 19:27
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 $0 09-13 10:52
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 09-10 11:47
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +10 $8 96¢ $10 +$2 09-13 07:54
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +10 $9 72¢ $7 -$2 07-15 00:13