Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$524

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved

178

Trades

2,351

lifetime

Volume

$131.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$1.14K

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-23

last 10-30 10:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

92% 70% +$11,133

Politics

6% 72% +$614

Tech

2% 60% +$45

Crypto

0% 29% -$42

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 262 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+1,461	$852	71¢	$1.0K	+$191	10-30 03:45
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	+2,000	$709	4¢	$80	-$629	10-18 02:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30?	Yes	+1,000	$100	2¢	$15	-$85	10-30 04:08
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	+165	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-15 13:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?	117	$12.0K	10,444	10,065	+379	Yes	+$1,667	10-01 13:36
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	77	$6.6K	5,402	5,402	+0	open	—	10-26 04:20
Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?	51	$6.1K	5,440	2,838	+2,602	open	—	10-30 03:46
Will there be a power grid emergency in the Midwest before October 1?	308	$5.5K	4,656	3,374	+1,282	Yes	+$1,563	09-07 17:35
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	12	$5.5K	4,044	4,044	+0	Yes	+$2,502	10-11 04:22
Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	43	$3.7K	3,052	3,052	+0	open	—	10-30 10:20
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	57	$3.5K	4,994	3,184	+1,810	Yes	+$545	09-23 23:57
Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?	76	$3.5K	4,196	3,256	+940	Yes	+$302	09-11 06:26
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	18	$3.2K	2,234	2,234	+0	Yes	+$1,314	10-11 04:22
Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?	37	$3.1K	2,876	2,876	+0	No	+$1,189	09-08 23:59
Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?	13	$2.8K	2,300	2,300	+0	Yes	+$821	10-01 12:19
Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?	31	$2.4K	1,564	1,564	+0	open	—	10-15 17:51
Will Seoul have between 30-40mm of precipitation in October?	11	$2.4K	1,365	1,365	+0	open	—	10-19 14:08
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September?	17	$2.3K	1,344	1,294	+50	No	+$260	10-01 11:14
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	12	$2.2K	1,648	1,648	+0	Yes	+$1,001	10-01 11:14
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	21	$2.2K	2,697	2,697	+0	open	—	10-09 02:20
Will Seoul have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?	13	$2.1K	1,738	934	+804	open	—	10-19 15:28
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in September?	28	$2.0K	2,164	2,164	+0	No	-$262	09-28 08:10
Will Seoul have between 20-30mm of precipitation in October?	13	$1.9K	1,538	790	+748	open	—	10-18 17:50
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	14	$1.9K	2,258	797	+1,461	open	—	10-30 03:45
Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	27	$1.8K	2,470	496	+1,974	open	—	10-30 10:26
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	8	$1.7K	1,557	1,557	+0	No	-$397	09-19 01:31
Will NYC have between 3 and 4.25 inches of precipitation in October?	26	$1.7K	1,976	1,976	+0	open	—	10-24 12:54
Will London have less than 35mm of precipitation in October?	31	$1.6K	2,025	2,025	+0	open	—	10-18 14:18
Will there be a power grid emergency in California before October 1?	28	$1.6K	965	965	+0	No	+$188	09-10 00:10
Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	19	$1.5K	2,733	301	+2,433	open	—	10-30 10:20
Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?	26	$1.5K	2,353	1,479	+874	open	—	10-29 10:50
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	9	$1.4K	873	873	+0	Yes	+$69	10-03 16:33
Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in September?	25	$1.4K	1,029	953	+75	No	+$68	09-23 23:57
Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	17	$1.3K	845	845	+0	open	—	10-23 16:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 10:26:27	Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	106	96¢	$102	0x984904…
10-30 10:20:36	Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0xd3a91d…
10-30 10:20:06	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	406	98¢	$398	0x583b50…
10-30 04:08:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	995	10¢	$100	0xf9864f…
10-30 04:04:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x982eb6…
10-30 03:46:07	Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	131	98¢	$128	0x81aff4…
10-30 03:45:52	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x62c48a…
10-30 03:05:36	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	74¢	$42	0xea27c9…
10-30 03:05:36	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	163	73¢	$119	0xe8a608…
10-30 01:13:04	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	191	83¢	$159	0x3bc445…
10-29 10:50:31	Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	298	1¢	$3	0x437774…
10-29 00:16:43	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	83	72¢	$60	0x6d24ba…
10-29 00:15:04	SSI public model released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	70¢	$42	0xa1c2cb…
10-28 23:52:38	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	66	72¢	$47	0x52ac57…
10-28 23:52:13	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	329	64¢	$212	0x432e42…
10-28 21:32:31	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	376	67¢	$252	0x7df678…
10-28 21:32:23	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	26	68¢	$17	0xeaf23e…
10-28 21:03:28	Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	176	3¢	$5	0xdb9452…
10-28 21:01:29	Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0xc07fa1…
10-28 03:43:04	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	81¢	$34	0xfa6263…
10-28 03:42:52	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	70¢	$18	0xe59bae…
10-28 03:38:28	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	63¢	$98	0xf2dd4a…
10-27 22:16:29	Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	944	1¢	$6	0xc10606…
10-27 02:16:33	Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	173	15¢	$26	0xea6b50…
10-27 02:16:33	Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	350	84¢	$295	0x88f324…
10-26 20:45:50	will merriam webster 2026 word of the year contain maxx	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$2	0xac568b…
10-26 20:45:33	will merriam webster 2026 word of the year contain agent	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6ae6a5…
10-26 20:45:23	will merriam webster 2026 word of the year contain agent	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x05b4d0…
10-26 20:44:57	will merriam webster 2026 word of the year contain vibe	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xa071ee…
10-26 20:44:51	will merriam webster 2026 word of the year contain vibe	Yes	BUY	45	14¢	$6	0x40fd18…
10-26 20:44:39	will merriam webster 2026 word of the year contain slop	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x83601c…
10-26 20:44:39	will merriam webster 2026 word of the year contain slop	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x826a5c…
10-26 20:44:26	will merriam webster 2026 word of the year contain maxx	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xfd317d…
10-26 20:44:17	will merriam webster 2026 word of the year contain maxx	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0xccbe0f…
10-26 20:44:17	will merriam webster 2026 word of the year contain slop	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0xc8bbc8…
10-26 20:28:33	Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xc3e59a…
10-26 20:27:29	Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	300	31¢	$92	0x749095…
10-26 20:27:29	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	200	69¢	$137	0x27f3ae…
10-26 20:23:00	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	500	63¢	$315	0x162f98…
10-26 18:26:27	Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	114	12¢	$14	0x587dea…
10-26 18:09:59	Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xe8ada8…
10-26 17:55:12	Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	41	10¢	$4	0x8eb675…
10-26 17:55:12	Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	294	88¢	$259	0x3a461d…
10-26 17:18:45	Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x52056b…
10-26 17:10:03	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x177c9a…
10-26 16:43:42	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	SELL	995	34¢	$338	0x32e3b1…
10-26 15:54:09	Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	209	83¢	$174	0x87d876…
10-26 15:54:09	Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0x68b78c…
10-26 15:54:09	Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	47	15¢	$7	0x08ca8a…
10-26 12:17:47	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	179	68¢	$122	0x93efa8…
10-26 12:11:32	Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	60	76¢	$46	0x76ac3d…
10-26 12:11:12	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0xe3fe66…
10-26 11:32:27	Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	32	70¢	$23	0x7d4f21…
10-26 08:57:54	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	185	62¢	$115	0xd94b25…
10-26 08:26:36	Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x832412…
10-26 08:23:36	Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x800c72…
10-26 06:19:18	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	53	66¢	$35	0x00c95b…
10-26 05:45:48	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	53	62¢	$33	0x135c58…
10-26 04:25:06	Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	298	38¢	$114	0xb29419…
10-26 04:25:06	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	447	61¢	$273	0x358afc…
10-26 04:20:47	Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	248	92¢	$228	0xa23f66…
10-26 01:12:53	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	602	12¢	$72	0x28b184…
10-25 23:12:56	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	201	65¢	$131	0xc7de03…
10-25 23:12:56	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	201	66¢	$133	0x40318d…
10-25 21:46:42	Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	148	57¢	$84	0xcd96a9…
10-25 14:15:59	Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	269	39¢	$106	0xc3dd03…
10-25 14:15:59	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	222	56¢	$125	0xabfdea…
10-25 14:15:57	Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	280	5¢	$14	0x790cf8…
10-25 13:56:44	Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	136	66¢	$90	0xd6acfa…
10-25 13:47:41	Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xd657d4…
10-25 13:47:41	Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	205	93¢	$191	0x414683…
10-25 12:48:23	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	590	62¢	$368	0x0c7a3e…
10-25 11:48:21	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	Yes	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0xaaa8c8…
10-25 11:47:45	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x793028…
10-25 11:47:44	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	Yes	SELL	260	79¢	$204	0xd8d1b5…
10-25 11:47:44	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x52ba42…
10-25 11:43:03	Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xfab655…
10-25 11:43:02	Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x5f6215…
10-25 11:43:00	Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	192	57¢	$109	0x86c23f…
10-25 11:36:33	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$58	0x35c851…
10-25 06:52:57	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x54ef5d…
10-25 06:35:32	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0x9a5d6d…
10-25 06:35:30	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	143	59¢	$84	0x305062…
10-25 06:19:36	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0xece77e…
10-25 06:18:51	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x8cdf0d…
10-25 06:18:15	Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	459	93¢	$427	0x013906…
10-24 22:23:06	Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	224	54¢	$120	0xe1c842…
10-24 22:23:06	Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	102	56¢	$56	0x44f4de…
10-24 22:20:39	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	155	64¢	$100	0xe973d8…
10-24 18:22:26	Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	304	25¢	$77	0xcc49b5…
10-24 17:04:03	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	146	68¢	$100	0xc25bb2…
10-24 16:26:30	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	Yes	BUY	240	58¢	$139	0x5792c4…
10-24 16:19:03	Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	621	55¢	$342	0xda5a8a…
10-24 16:19:03	Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	258	42¢	$109	0x6a5dfc…
10-24 16:19:03	Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x68381c…
10-24 16:19:03	Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	64	62¢	$39	0x5a31b1…
10-24 16:19:03	Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x52c947…
10-24 16:16:38	Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	238	95¢	$225	0x7878a0…
10-24 16:12:41	Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0xcb371c…
10-24 16:12:32	Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	293	4¢	$12	0x4bfe48…