Stained-Ketch — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$49

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

8.5%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

2,555 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$59

$61.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-21 22:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 40% +$1,343

Other

7% 22% -$735

Sports

1% 62% +$33

Politics

0% 17% +$65

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+5	$0	2¢	$0	$0	05-18 09:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 22:30 UTC	4	$719	506	506	+0	Up	+$283	06-22 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 05:25 UTC	4	$586	452	452	+0	Up	+$308	06-23 05:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:45 UTC	4	$508	549	549	+0	Up	+$108	06-07 19:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	5	$455	725	581	+144	Up	+$5	05-18 19:59
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?	3	$452	349	349	+0	Yes	+$152	05-04 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 02:30 UTC	2	$406	329	329	+0	Up	+$206	06-07 02:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:45 UTC	3	$404	288	288	+0	Up	+$166	06-24 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 04:55 UTC	2	$393	362	362	+0	Down	+$209	06-16 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$383	286	286	+0	Up	+$183	05-14 22:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$381	281	281	+0	Up	+$181	05-18 20:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 05:55 UTC	6	$358	197	196	+1	Down	-$3	04-01 06:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$344	246	246	+0	Up	+$135	05-14 22:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 22:00 UTC	4	$343	366	366	+0	Down	+$95	06-07 22:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$332	500	248	+251	Down	-$67	05-19 08:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 21:00 UTC	4	$331	567	286	+281	Down	-$65	06-15 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$329	278	278	+0	Down	+$129	05-18 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 12:30 UTC	4	$324	260	260	+0	Down	+$112	06-21 12:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$319	221	221	+0	Up	+$119	05-21 07:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 21:45 UTC	2	$317	330	330	+0	Up	+$119	06-21 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 23:20 UTC	2	$315	220	220	+0	Up	+$117	06-21 23:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$309	341	300	+41	Down	+$45	05-20 18:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$308	224	224	+0	Up	+$108	05-19 03:39
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?	2	$306	567	567	+0	No	+$204	05-02 15:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 19:50 UTC	3	$294	235	198	+37	Up	+$82	06-25 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$282	286	286	+0	Up	+$82	05-18 19:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:35 UTC	5	$281	249	249	+0	Up	+$33	06-07 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 22:25 UTC	6	$279	226	226	+0	Down	+$124	06-19 22:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$266	338	338	+0	Up	+$66	05-18 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$265	289	289	+0	Up	+$65	05-20 17:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$265	198	198	+0	Up	+$65	05-20 17:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 22:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	68	20¢	$14	0x856637…
10-21 22:40:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xcf358a…
10-21 22:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x43736b…
10-21 22:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x383c1b…
10-21 22:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x485ca9…
10-21 22:20:21	Cali: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Gonzalo Bueno	Santiago Rodriguez Taverna	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x020609…
10-12 03:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x868d85…
10-12 03:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xafae78…
09-25 07:57:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	28	19¢	$5	0x26f1dd…
09-25 07:53:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x922a5b…
09-05 20:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0x2af382…
09-05 20:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0xb39cab…
09-05 20:43:03	XRP Up or Down - September 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe8f6b1…
09-05 20:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x48f957…
09-05 20:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x8d8e72…
09-05 20:37:30	XRP Up or Down - September 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5c00e4…
09-05 20:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x0c2331…
09-05 20:33:18	XRP Up or Down - September 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x440394…
09-05 20:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x4d3b18…
09-05 20:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xabd168…
09-05 20:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x440e68…
07-30 18:49:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x89d0bc…
07-30 18:49:42	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd9b551…
07-30 18:49:27	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe6c0e5…
07-30 18:49:20	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe92c49…
07-30 18:49:12	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2d467a…
07-30 18:48:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xba2c25…
07-30 18:47:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf715b1…
07-30 18:46:30	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb6ef17…
07-30 18:45:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:40 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0xc1e8fc…
07-30 18:43:35	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x91effb…
07-30 18:43:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf7d588…
07-30 18:42:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x763ac9…
07-29 23:08:08	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x198a8a…
07-29 23:07:38	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe2068b…
07-29 23:06:09	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2c1e9b…
07-29 23:05:14	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdce030…
07-29 23:04:24	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9335e2…
07-21 21:17:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf5e664…
07-21 21:17:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x684830…
07-21 21:16:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0x745d21…
07-21 21:16:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	54	13¢	$7	0xca0859…
07-21 21:15:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe5e489…
07-21 21:15:21	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:10 UTC	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xa5a615…
07-21 21:11:28	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x362378…
07-21 21:10:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6ae4d2…
07-21 21:08:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:05 UTC	Down	SELL	142	5¢	$7	0xa34922…
07-21 21:08:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x2221c4…
07-21 21:07:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x3c8ef4…
07-21 21:03:24	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x388bec…
07-21 21:03:16	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2288e3…
07-21 21:01:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	150	13¢	$20	0x53aada…
07-21 20:59:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x19dc6b…
07-21 20:51:49	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x0396fd…
07-21 20:50:45	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb5d0a2…
07-21 20:47:40	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	18	35¢	$6	0xfdcc00…
07-21 20:46:45	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x2bfb03…
07-21 20:41:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe69c1d…
07-21 20:37:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x24e2bc…
07-21 20:37:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2ee8a6…
07-21 20:36:40	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x8d004d…
07-21 20:30:42	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x6b994b…
07-21 20:28:42	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x2ab05c…
07-21 20:28:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x1a4d51…
07-21 20:27:36	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x3d9344…
07-21 20:26:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x5e6436…
07-21 20:22:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xaf0ab5…
07-21 20:06:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x2487b9…
07-21 11:22:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc27447…
07-21 10:57:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x044cc8…
07-21 10:55:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x9d93ee…
07-21 10:52:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	95	12¢	$11	0xf00223…
07-21 10:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x36f557…
07-21 10:46:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x2a4c19…
07-21 10:44:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:40 UTC	Up	SELL	37	90¢	$33	0x20c682…
07-21 10:41:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0xcc9d0b…
07-21 10:38:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x17da84…
07-21 10:34:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xdf2464…
07-21 10:30:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8a38e7…
07-21 10:29:31	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x06f4c0…
07-21 10:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xef26ff…
07-21 10:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x00d98f…
07-21 10:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc5eef2…
07-21 10:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	36	47¢	$17	0x540e6a…
07-21 10:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xa18aff…
07-21 09:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xdf9d79…
07-21 09:52:21	XRP Up or Down - July 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x506ec8…
07-21 09:52:12	XRP Up or Down - July 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x8593e9…
07-21 09:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x409aac…
07-21 09:51:01	XRP Up or Down - July 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xf84684…
07-21 09:47:37	XRP Up or Down - July 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdbad2e…
07-21 09:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x00b609…
07-21 09:38:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x95e616…
07-21 09:37:22	XRP Up or Down - July 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x353cc7…
07-21 09:29:04	XRP Up or Down - July 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x144356…
07-21 09:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xff4812…
07-21 09:24:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0x745570…
07-21 09:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x230543…
07-21 09:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1ec067…
07-21 09:16:06	XRP Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xdf9a35…