Serious-Son — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$146

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

175

Trades

398

lifetime

Volume

$2.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-27 21:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 37% -$136

Politics

4% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	10	$106	92	92	+0	Down	+$6	04-29 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	8	$92	99	76	+22	Down	+$45	04-29 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$77	149	149	+0	Down	+$47	05-12 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	6	$65	110	43	+66	Up	-$14	04-29 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$46	51	51	+0	Down	-$4	05-13 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$45	31	31	+0	Up	+$15	05-12 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	4	$42	50	50	+0	Up	+$22	05-08 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	4	$42	329	229	+100	Down	+$0	05-08 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	3	$41	37	26	+10	Up	+$11	04-29 19:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$40	27	27	+0	No	$0	04-29 17:31
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$39	29	29	+0	Yes	-$1	04-25 17:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?	2	$39	56	53	+3	Yes	+$2	04-26 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	5	$37	122	14	+108	Down	-$15	05-13 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	5	$36	134	15	+119	Up	-$24	05-08 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	5	$33	52	27	+25	Up	+$3	05-11 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$31	35	13	+22	Up	-$9	05-12 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$31	49	49	+0	Up	+$11	05-11 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	3	$31	91	14	+77	Up	-$9	05-08 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$30	232	0	+232	Down	+$2	04-25 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	5	$29	54	22	+32	Down	+$5	05-04 22:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?	2	$28	21	21	+0	No	+$8	04-29 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$28	30	30	+0	Down	+$8	05-12 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12AM ET	2	$27	20	19	+1	Up	+$7	04-26 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$26	25	25	+0	Up	+$14	05-12 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$26	26	16	+11	Down	+$7	05-11 17:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 30?	3	$25	32	22	+10	No	-$5	04-29 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	5	$23	28	16	+11	Up	-$3	05-13 01:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	5	$23	347	347	+0	No	-$1	04-29 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	4	$23	14	14	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	4	$22	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x486ff7…
10-27 21:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x5671d7…
10-27 21:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb34875…
10-27 21:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x066d2e…
10-27 20:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe2b237…
10-27 20:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x632fbe…
10-26 01:58:47	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xbf2982…
05-13 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x0c16f5…
05-13 03:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xb1c165…
05-13 03:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xeab949…
05-13 03:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x40574a…
05-13 03:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xbef8ac…
05-13 03:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x20044f…
05-13 03:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xecd916…
05-13 03:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2b14ff…
05-13 03:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xd17aa6…
05-13 03:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa022dd…
05-13 01:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	51	42¢	$21	0x5066b8…
05-13 01:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x8773fc…
05-13 01:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa1ea8a…
05-13 01:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xe856c3…
05-13 01:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7d8711…
05-13 01:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x58bf45…
05-13 01:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb3a585…
05-13 01:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xd46b70…
05-13 01:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xc344d1…
05-13 01:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0x8206cd…
05-13 01:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x518084…
05-13 01:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xb51da5…
05-13 01:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x7833dc…
05-13 01:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xed9fc7…
05-13 01:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf75e70…
05-13 01:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb77145…
05-13 01:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x223b6f…
05-13 01:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xbf3d8f…
05-13 01:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xf6dc2f…
05-13 01:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	74¢	$6	0x90fe95…
05-13 01:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3f1d00…
05-13 00:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd5f1ae…
05-12 20:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x0d513b…
05-12 20:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xcccbf0…
05-12 20:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x77ad0b…
05-12 19:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xfc3d6b…
05-12 19:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0ee34a…
05-12 19:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf230de…
05-12 19:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe5652a…
05-12 14:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x8eed3f…
05-12 14:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0x8453e4…
05-12 14:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x08b043…
05-12 14:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7a7da5…
05-12 12:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	149	42¢	$62	0xa2c309…
05-12 12:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x45cc30…
05-12 12:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xe37f33…
05-12 12:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x4a2763…
05-12 12:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf15caf…
05-12 12:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x894691…
05-12 12:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x1ba10d…
05-12 12:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb60734…
05-12 12:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xad2506…
05-12 12:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	25	82¢	$20	0x9ac1cf…
05-12 12:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x326abb…
05-12 12:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xbd44d5…
05-12 12:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0x15ef1b…
05-12 12:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xaab14c…
05-12 12:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x0b32fd…
05-12 12:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xdfa6a0…
05-12 11:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x22136b…
05-12 11:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xdc4efd…
05-12 11:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0xa8b21c…
05-12 11:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x32d37c…
05-11 17:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0x6e9c78…
05-11 17:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0c4912…
05-11 17:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0x85b26d…
05-11 17:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x548dce…
05-11 17:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0a616f…
05-11 17:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0x7143bf…
05-11 17:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc1198e…
05-11 17:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x39729c…
05-11 17:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x22e23f…
05-11 17:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	16	71¢	$11	0x2b139f…
05-11 17:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x259bd9…
05-11 17:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa9e723…
05-11 17:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7bb035…
05-11 17:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0b2c19…
05-11 17:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1ad0fd…
05-11 17:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xda7ec0…
05-11 17:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x80c3f0…
05-11 17:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x7ac986…
05-11 17:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x14855b…
05-11 17:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8710f5…
05-11 17:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7e6022…
05-11 16:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x34a9fc…
05-11 16:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x25f7e9…
05-11 16:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x504bd6…
05-11 13:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd12500…
05-11 13:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x964dd0…
05-11 13:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xaa29f1…
05-09 21:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	78¢	$9	0x656551…
05-09 21:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xeddf24…
05-09 21:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd25350…