Easy-Going-Precedent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.38K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

6,932

Trades

34,807

lifetime

Volume

$111.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-01

last 10-28 17:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 53% -$1,377

Other

16% 47% -$1,006

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 3209 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes		+5	$4	80¢	$4	+$0	10-24 10:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:40 UTC	85	$372	256	255	+2	Down	-$4	08-18 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	82	$358	368	373	-6	Down	-$10	08-23 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:30 UTC	41	$313	297	162	+135	Down	+$8	07-29 15:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:40 UTC	35	$307	296	155	+141	Up	+$0	07-29 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	58	$294	236	242	-6	Down	-$10	08-23 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:55 UTC	35	$282	289	130	+159	Up	-$26	07-29 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 16:05 UTC	31	$263	240	135	+105	Up	+$7	07-29 16:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:55 UTC	89	$255	216	219	-3	Up	-$4	08-18 16:58
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	33	$253	282	0	+282	Yes	-$174	10-20 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:50 UTC	87	$253	215	220	-5	Up	-$7	08-21 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:45 UTC	59	$250	167	157	+11	Up	+$4	08-18 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	31	$241	248	0	+248	No	+$7	10-20 03:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:35 UTC	48	$219	140	155	-15	Up	+$1	08-18 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	34	$219	132	134	-2	Up	-$3	08-23 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:45 UTC	88	$213	216	209	+7	Up	-$5	08-21 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:20 UTC	18	$201	202	102	+100	Down	+$2	08-31 17:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 00:25 UTC	65	$192	161	157	+4	Down	+$1	08-21 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 20?	83	$178	377	0	+377	No	+$3	10-20 05:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:30 UTC	83	$172	174	172	+2	Up	-$7	08-21 17:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:15 UTC	54	$170	122	122	+0	Up	+$3	08-21 01:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 18:15 UTC	73	$169	171	175	-4	Down	-$10	08-21 18:18
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 21?	26	$169	189	0	+189	No	+$5	10-21 05:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:50 UTC	65	$167	172	170	+2	Up	+$1	08-18 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:35 UTC	55	$167	132	132	+0	Up	+$5	08-21 02:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:35 UTC	39	$164	114	99	+15	Down	-$10	08-20 20:38
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on October 21?	31	$158	190	0	+190	Yes	-$153	10-21 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	36	$156	106	106	+1	Up	-$5	08-23 16:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 14:30 UTC	40	$154	317	0	+317	Down	+$4	07-29 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 23:50 UTC	18	$151	122	122	+0	Up	+$14	08-19 23:52
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 20?	30	$151	173	0	+173	No	+$5	10-20 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x1f17ee…
10-28 18:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1ce78e…
10-28 17:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x998105…
10-28 17:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x712552…
10-28 17:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0xa74eb4…
10-28 17:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa7b99c…
10-28 17:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 30?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa17c0a…
10-28 17:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 30?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x534340…
10-28 17:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8a025b…
10-28 17:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x596741…
10-28 17:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x13ef6d…
10-28 17:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb126ec…
10-28 16:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa9d25f…
10-28 16:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x923329…
10-28 16:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb667f0…
10-28 16:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xbf46a6…
10-28 16:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x36935d…
10-28 16:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x218868…
10-28 16:13:17	highest temperature in toronto on october 30 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x60bb99…
10-28 16:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x01ed8a…
10-28 16:12:25	highest temperature in toronto on october 30 2026 16c	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb7287d…
10-28 16:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfaa5a7…
10-28 16:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 30?	No	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0xf1f76d…
10-28 16:09:32	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xef4590…
10-28 16:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x48fa03…
10-28 15:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x729304…
10-28 15:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x195964…
10-28 15:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x874693…
10-28 15:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x89a4b5…
10-28 15:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3c5955…
10-28 15:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5f399b…
10-28 15:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xea4ebf…
10-28 14:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc22eb2…
10-28 14:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8e9b2e…
10-28 14:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x31d345…
10-28 14:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x93ad4d…
10-28 14:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc4312d…
10-28 14:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd2f631…
10-28 14:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xbab455…
10-28 13:41:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x62f09d…
10-28 13:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x197327…
10-28 11:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x0cd414…
10-28 11:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xa50ae2…
10-28 11:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x4906d0…
10-28 09:35:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa33318…
10-28 07:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd7b360…
10-28 07:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x5d1a34…
10-28 07:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0e4655…
10-28 06:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 29?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x94fe71…
10-28 06:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xf73101…
10-28 06:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 29?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x57a450…
10-28 06:36:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xb3215e…
10-28 06:36:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x7ec0a0…
10-28 06:12:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0xc95f85…
10-28 06:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x03880c…
10-28 06:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x01ee09…
10-28 05:36:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x002915…
10-28 05:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x558301…
10-28 05:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x00bdcc…
10-28 05:16:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x73c27f…
10-28 05:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2ea4c5…
10-28 05:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x9a0d3a…
10-28 05:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x531acf…
10-28 04:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0xa8ec5d…
10-28 04:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa68e5a…
10-28 04:36:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe3298d…
10-28 04:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x8531cb…
10-28 04:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x7c5c7e…
10-28 04:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0x8dcfe8…
10-28 04:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x09c4e2…
10-28 04:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x568bef…
10-28 04:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xc06e90…
10-28 04:01:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x7fbf6e…
10-28 03:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x5c224b…
10-28 03:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc27c37…
10-28 03:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x0ddbfb…
10-28 03:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8fc246…
10-28 03:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xde99ef…
10-28 03:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x071fd5…
10-28 03:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x60fdfa…
10-28 03:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x8d953a…
10-28 03:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x95d026…
10-28 03:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x213e4c…
10-28 02:48:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x296613…
10-28 02:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x5d05b9…
10-28 02:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 29?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x264f66…
10-28 02:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xa610d2…
10-28 02:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf650b0…
10-28 02:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x8cadcd…
10-28 02:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x81a3ed…
10-28 02:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x033263…
10-28 02:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 29?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x70f0c7…
10-28 02:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8146eb…
10-28 01:40:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x163850…
10-28 01:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x8a9dca…
10-28 01:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1641c8…
10-28 01:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3fa1b9…
10-28 00:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x937c6c…
10-28 00:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x181135…
10-28 00:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xaff8b4…