Realized P&L
-$174
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
63.9%
Resolved
223
Trades
343
lifetime
Volume
$1.58K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$76
15 positions
First seen
2026-07-11
last 10-19 12:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Other
92% 52% -$130
Politics
7% 36% -$35
Sports
1% 33% -$10
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +34 $7 90¢ $30 +$23 09-27 18:07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +10 $7 80¢ $8 +$1 09-16 23:14
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 72¢ $7 $0 10-18 19:38
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +9 $4 58¢ $5 +$1 09-16 23:07
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$0 09-21 21:52
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 09-16 23:17
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 09-16 23:17
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +4 $3 74¢ $3 $0 10-18 19:41
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +4 $3 74¢ $3 $0 10-18 19:41
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +4 $3 72¢ $3 $0 10-18 19:41
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3 $2 70¢ $2 +$0 09-22 12:48
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 70¢ $2 +$0 09-22 12:48
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 44¢ $1 $0 09-22 12:50
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 45¢ $1 $0 09-22 12:50
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +11 $15 8¢ $1 -$14 10-19 12:16