New-Celebration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$643

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-02 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

77% 50% +$15

Other

23% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	3	$154	162	162	+0	open	—	04-24 17:24
Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	2	$110	63	63	+0	open	—	05-20 11:07
Iran leadership change by June 30?	2	$108	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	06-02 14:43
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	20	$106	1,195	1,195	+0	open	—	04-17 09:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$85	500	500	+0	No	+$25	05-07 18:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	3	$39	516	106	+410	No	$-10	05-07 17:36
Will Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	1	$25	51	0	+51	open	—	05-13 14:53
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	4	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	04-07 11:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 14:43:15	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,200	4¢	$48	0x259e2b…
06-02 10:26:05	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,200	5¢	$60	0xc1703c…
05-20 11:07:34	Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	63	95¢	$60	0xc1c99b…
05-13 14:53:31	Will Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xf94bde…
05-13 14:48:51	Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0x83db54…
05-07 18:56:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	500	11¢	$55	0x6d2615…
05-07 18:48:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0xdd3a0b…
05-07 17:36:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	330	3¢	$10	0x9d4534…
05-07 07:40:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	14¢	$15	0x3d77ae…
05-07 07:24:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	8¢	$15	0xc957fe…
04-24 17:24:18	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	45	75¢	$34	0x6fe1eb…
04-24 15:56:32	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	117	60¢	$70	0xff8777…
04-24 15:46:46	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	162	31¢	$50	0x09e549…
04-17 09:28:42	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	11¢	$16	0x918280…
04-17 07:31:40	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	6¢	$8	0xb74cb5…
04-17 05:31:12	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	257	8¢	$21	0x1e9386…
04-16 18:03:58	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	536	5¢	$26	0xa3a182…
04-16 18:03:34	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x6fd1d7…
04-16 18:03:24	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x4af3e8…
04-16 18:03:22	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	8¢	$6	0x70dbef…
04-16 15:45:52	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	320	2¢	$7	0x2107f4…
04-16 15:44:44	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x608a81…
04-16 15:04:18	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1de986…
04-16 15:03:50	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xe5c181…
04-16 15:03:50	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xbd3901…
04-16 15:03:50	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x6a5a66…
04-16 15:03:30	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x956695…
04-16 15:03:20	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x1b1a60…
04-16 15:03:18	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xee3c98…
04-16 15:03:18	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x40fb0c…
04-16 15:03:16	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x93255d…
04-16 15:03:16	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x6e68b9…
04-16 14:43:22	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	2¢	$15	0x2a1928…
04-07 11:57:11	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x3acf7c…
04-07 11:57:07	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xb96f3a…
04-07 11:56:43	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6c8932…
04-07 11:38:33	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x420d80…