False-Cytokine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

Trades

129

lifetime

Volume

$8.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 08-10 12:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

64% — —

Other

34% 50% $-17

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	6	$1.0K	1,236	1,017	+219	open	—	04-12 02:25
will bitcoin reach 72k march 30 april 5	4	$319	193	189	+4	open	—	04-06 00:31
will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	3	$300	418	0	+418	open	—	08-03 11:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$279	363	0	+363	open	—	04-15 08:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	2	$250	296	0	+296	open	—	05-17 07:52
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$245	131	130	+0	open	—	04-25 10:31
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 30 april 5	2	$211	133	130	+4	open	—	04-06 00:31
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	1	$200	216	0	+216	open	—	05-10 23:20
will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	1	$200	211	0	+211	open	—	08-10 12:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	1	$200	213	0	+213	open	—	05-08 20:50
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026	2	$200	211	0	+211	open	—	08-01 17:48
googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	2	$200	206	0	+206	open	—	07-22 17:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	3	$195	119	116	+3	open	—	04-25 06:47
will bitcoin reach 74k on april 13	2	$150	174	0	+174	open	—	04-13 21:47
will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	2	$150	173	0	+173	open	—	04-11 19:49
will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	4	$149	370	370	+0	open	—	06-23 16:55
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$120	130	0	+130	open	—	04-27 02:50
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	2	$116	78	78	+0	open	—	08-07 23:54
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$116	168	0	+168	open	—	05-24 20:01
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	2	$102	143	143	+0	open	—	06-23 16:55
will xauusd reach 4100 in august 2026	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	08-01 17:51
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	1	$100	145	0	+145	open	—	07-07 12:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	1	$100	208	0	+208	open	—	06-02 10:48
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$100	119	0	+119	open	—	08-01 14:32
mlb laa bal 2026 08 04	1	$100	123	0	+123	open	—	08-04 23:56
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	1	$100	192	0	+192	open	—	08-10 12:48
spx up or down on july 16 2026	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	07-16 16:45
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?	1	$100	182	0	+182	open	—	06-02 10:47
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	1	$100	122	0	+122	open	—	07-07 12:59
ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt51	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	07-24 22:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 12:48:18	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x0ccf88…
08-10 12:48:09	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x643527…
08-07 23:54:24	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	78	85¢	$66	0xc691a7…
08-05 22:18:57	cs2 imp11 alkaa 2026 08 05	Imperial	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x3d3382…
08-05 22:17:23	cs2 quin odk 2026 08 05	ODDIK	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0x4720d7…
08-05 22:17:09	lol blue wu 2026 08 05	Blue Otter	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x938de3…
08-04 23:57:15	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xe3e35f…
08-04 23:56:51	mlb oak cin 2026 08 04	Athletics	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x15cfa7…
08-04 23:56:26	mlb laa bal 2026 08 04	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xa7613b…
08-03 11:19:32	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x2c8a75…
08-03 11:19:02	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xb2ec4a…
08-03 00:10:59	btc updown 5m 1785715800	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x3808db…
08-03 00:07:00	btc updown 5m 1785715500	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd40dc4…
08-02 23:43:33	btc updown 5m 1785714000	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xce1e49…
08-02 23:13:06	btc updown 5m 1785712200	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4bc318…
08-02 22:20:26	btc updown 5m 1785709200	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x40c623…
08-02 22:09:09	btc updown 5m 1785708300	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe800e1…
08-02 22:01:06	btc updown 5m 1785708000	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcbdb03…
08-02 22:01:05	btc updown 5m 1785708000	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x9de960…
08-02 22:01:03	btc updown 5m 1785708000	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x32e58b…
08-02 22:00:53	btc updown 5m 1785708000	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xaba1f4…
08-01 23:37:29	cs2 nrg voc 2026 08 01	NRG	SELL	68	34¢	$23	0xfef636…
08-01 21:59:03	cs2 nrg voc 2026 08 01	NRG	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x4b1aa6…
08-01 21:58:23	lol c9 dig 2026 08 01	Cloud9	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xf6f139…
08-01 21:57:33	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x508d42…
08-01 17:51:50	will xauusd reach 4200 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x17856a…
08-01 17:51:29	will xauusd reach 4100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x81ffca…
08-01 17:48:47	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x636014…
08-01 14:35:06	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xdbe57e…
08-01 14:32:15	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xda1a93…
08-01 14:32:00	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xa8849f…
07-24 22:44:12	meta quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 7pt2	Yes	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0xb753dc…
07-24 22:43:51	qcom quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 2pt23	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x6e7034…
07-24 22:43:37	sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt69	Yes	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0x393bf1…
07-24 22:43:27	ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt51	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x8bd583…
07-23 20:39:31	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xea64aa…
07-23 13:21:57	xauusd up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x313e05…
07-23 13:10:37	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xc91efe…
07-23 13:01:43	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x714929…
07-22 18:35:49	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xb39e5a…
07-22 18:10:25	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x1729de…
07-22 17:37:00	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x100b76…
07-22 17:36:58	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x4b34b3…
07-17 14:57:06	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x38e8be…
07-17 14:19:24	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	3¢	$4	0x54f813…
07-16 16:45:49	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x6e01e4…
07-07 12:59:41	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x4de042…
07-07 12:58:59	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x720917…
07-07 12:58:50	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x7cd8ff…
06-23 16:55:16	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	185	0¢	$1	0x8462dd…
06-23 16:55:14	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	143	2¢	$2	0x088db4…
06-02 10:49:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x4b5a14…
06-02 10:48:52	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x976cc5…
06-02 10:48:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xe6b9d2…
06-02 10:48:26	Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xb8c854…
06-02 10:48:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x9d5d22…
06-02 10:48:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x87389e…
06-02 10:47:54	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	Yes	SELL	185	26¢	$48	0xeab45a…
06-02 10:47:21	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xf7ef3f…
06-02 10:47:16	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x3353f3…
05-24 20:01:35	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	110	97¢	$106	0x32d67e…
05-17 07:52:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xb56967…
05-17 07:52:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xae6c40…
05-17 07:52:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x7354dc…
05-13 04:38:47	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xb3dbe1…
05-11 14:05:45	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x551386…
05-11 00:03:23	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x6dd09f…
05-10 23:57:00	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in May?	Yes	BUY	104	77¢	$80	0x466c98…
05-10 23:32:45	Will Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xe1f09f…
05-10 23:21:00	Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	58	87¢	$50	0x6ca551…
05-10 23:20:32	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x4c76f8…
05-10 23:20:06	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	216	93¢	$200	0xe24cc5…
05-08 20:50:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x8957ac…
05-08 20:50:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x5c2f74…
04-27 02:50:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	130	92¢	$120	0x36e9ce…
04-27 02:50:02	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x1b240b…
04-25 10:31:38	LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x199ded…
04-25 06:47:38	LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	131	88¢	$115	0x25f53d…
04-25 06:47:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x6758f8…
04-15 08:13:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	235	76¢	$179	0xceb097…
04-15 06:04:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x22b677…
04-13 21:47:39	will bitcoin reach 74k on april 13	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x4622bd…
04-13 14:46:13	will bitcoin dip to 70k on april 13	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xcfd74f…
04-13 14:46:03	will bitcoin reach 74k on april 13	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xe56f0a…
04-13 03:04:51	qqq up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	43	76¢	$33	0x03dcc0…
04-12 02:25:55	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	219	52¢	$114	0xb61ba9…
04-12 02:03:29	qqq up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xb40a4f…
04-11 23:46:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x8ff8fb…
04-11 19:51:33	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xc6115e…
04-11 19:50:31	will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x573efc…
04-11 19:49:41	will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	No	BUY	120	84¢	$100	0x7e705f…
04-11 19:48:07	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	400	41¢	$164	0x610c89…
04-11 19:47:39	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	400	43¢	$172	0x6d2011…
04-11 19:45:05	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	617	57¢	$352	0xb5135b…
04-07 19:54:43	will bitcoin dip to 64k april 6 12	No	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0x8e64fa…
04-07 19:54:33	will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xd1253a…
04-07 19:54:31	will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xe6b989…
04-07 14:52:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x1f4f6f…
04-06 00:32:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xb7dd52…
04-06 00:32:07	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x5e838e…