Complete-Characterization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.60K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.8%

Resolved

65,093

Trades

204,394

lifetime

Volume

$96.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-27 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 181 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 10% -$3,919

Other

6% 7% -$626

Politics

0% 0% -$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 4023 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 19:05 UTC	2	$124	100	95	+5	Down	+$69	04-21 19:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 19:25 UTC	8	$124	100	100	+0	Down	+$64	04-21 19:29
XRP Up or Down - September 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	44	$124	122	119	+3	Down	+$93	09-09 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 19:10 UTC	11	$116	90	90	+0	Down	+$62	04-21 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 19:15 UTC	26	$107	119	90	+29	Up	+$45	04-21 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 20:05 UTC	2	$103	80	77	+4	Up	+$54	04-21 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	7	$102	159	70	+89	Up	-$6	05-27 19:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 20:10 UTC	3	$99	420	131	+289	Up	-$75	04-21 20:12
XRP Up or Down - September 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	26	$85	90	80	+10	Up	+$68	09-08 23:14
Solana Up or Down - September 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	32	$81	75	75	+0	Down	+$54	09-07 01:13
Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	17	$79	60	60	+0	Up	+$29	09-12 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	5	$78	150	50	+100	Down	+$6	05-27 19:19
Solana Up or Down - September 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	15	$78	90	75	+15	Up	+$72	09-07 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	6	$78	59	59	+0	Down	+$31	05-27 19:49
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 06:05 UTC	17	$77	75	75	+0	Up	+$58	09-07 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	8	$77	70	55	+15	Down	+$31	05-01 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	29	$75	75	67	+8	Down	+$54	09-07 01:13
Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	40	$73	75	70	+5	Down	+$57	09-08 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	32	$72	75	75	+0	Up	+$64	10-07 19:09
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 12:40 UTC	44	$69	170	0	+170	Up	+$1	07-25 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	37	$69	70	65	+5	Down	+$53	09-08 07:42
Solana Up or Down - September 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	15	$68	65	65	+0	Up	+$54	09-01 13:08
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	36	$68	73	65	+8	Down	+$57	09-06 17:09
Solana Up or Down - September 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	28	$67	74	65	+9	Up	+$49	09-06 17:59
XRP Up or Down - September 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	31	$66	65	65	+0	Down	+$50	09-04 00:53
XRP Up or Down - September 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	32	$66	65	65	+0	Up	+$51	09-08 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	16	$65	65	65	+0	Down	+$51	09-01 13:09
Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	14	$64	50	50	+0	Up	+$26	09-12 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	8	$63	70	35	+35	Down	+$3	05-05 17:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	19	$63	60	60	+0	Up	+$45	09-07 06:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x93cb69…
10-27 11:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe8f3d1…
10-27 11:15:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf433ec…
10-27 11:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xbac706…
10-27 11:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0xfacc46…
10-27 11:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x9e7d1a…
10-27 11:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x37dee0…
10-27 11:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x10b609…
10-27 11:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xae9a14…
10-27 11:12:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x309fad…
10-27 11:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x2c3afc…
10-27 11:12:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x3db2a4…
10-27 11:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xb9d4be…
10-27 11:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x590361…
10-27 11:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x47b7f2…
10-27 11:01:35	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xd6bd78…
10-27 11:01:35	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x899986…
10-27 11:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xf29203…
10-27 11:01:05	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa0d29b…
10-27 11:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xeed1cc…
10-27 11:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x22a50f…
10-27 10:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x23ba6f…
10-27 10:59:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xc0fce8…
10-27 10:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x84bfea…
10-27 08:23:03	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb6db6f…
10-27 08:23:02	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0b6b40…
10-27 08:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xb4085a…
10-27 08:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x47d0d0…
10-27 08:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xece632…
10-27 08:18:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x8c9372…
10-27 08:17:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x082a5a…
10-27 08:17:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xd337e9…
10-27 08:17:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x355f98…
10-27 08:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x575368…
10-27 08:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x3e8e87…
10-27 08:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x369158…
10-27 08:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd34ae9…
10-27 08:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0f0b80…
10-27 08:00:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x67d162…
10-27 07:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0e5d25…
10-27 07:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x7e1faf…
10-27 07:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x142ef0…
10-27 07:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf0c146…
10-27 07:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xbbecf3…
10-27 07:36:44	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x2cf91a…
10-27 07:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe85adf…
10-27 07:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xfbe220…
10-27 07:25:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x837f1f…
10-27 07:20:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x66441e…
10-27 07:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xcadcd3…
10-27 07:17:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x40c1fb…
10-27 07:12:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xeb1240…
10-27 07:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x5d983d…
10-27 07:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x311599…
10-27 07:12:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xea55a2…
10-27 06:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x888a85…
10-27 06:31:32	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8eb509…
10-27 06:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xf1d55b…
10-27 06:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x8e6940…
10-27 06:22:03	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xb004a6…
10-27 06:22:03	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x7a7a44…
10-27 06:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x1dd1e7…
10-27 06:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xa633ec…
10-27 06:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x6d42f2…
10-27 06:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x520b13…
10-27 06:21:21	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x1905fe…
10-27 06:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x57b8f0…
10-27 06:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8abdc4…
10-27 06:16:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x9ac9b6…
10-27 06:16:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x99800a…
10-27 06:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x7664ed…
10-27 06:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5dce64…
10-27 06:16:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf4cd7c…
10-27 06:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x80afff…
10-27 06:16:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4b9780…
10-27 06:12:27	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xb6fb8f…
10-27 03:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x6cac0d…
10-27 03:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x611c70…
10-27 03:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x4c64ab…
10-27 03:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x339a7e…
10-27 03:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x2aa68d…
10-27 03:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x51a7fe…
10-27 03:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xcad485…
10-27 03:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x492800…
10-27 03:32:20	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8e0726…
10-27 03:32:14	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe3bfe6…
10-27 03:31:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xb36e77…
10-27 03:31:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x449235…
10-27 03:31:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x5b89e0…
10-27 03:31:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xc0f49b…
10-27 03:30:53	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xfc0445…
10-27 03:29:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xf88b25…
10-27 03:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xccce83…
10-27 03:28:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xbb04cd…
10-27 03:28:24	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xc2783f…
10-27 03:28:21	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$0	0xf9a3f5…
10-27 03:28:08	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x83deb1…
10-27 03:28:08	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x3499d9…
10-27 03:28:06	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x3dc580…
10-27 03:26:33	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xfbd4ae…