Exalted-Sense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.31K

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

3,037

Trades

6,520

lifetime

Volume

$51.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 11-03 21:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 76% -$924

Other

38% 49% -$372

Sports

4% 41% -$15

Politics

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Invictus Gaming	—	+5	$3	98¢	$5	+$2	11-03 20:08
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Invictus Gaming		+5	$3	76¢	$4	+$1	11-03 06:13
Jets vs. Canadiens	Canadiens		+5	$3	60¢	$3	$0	11-03 16:14
Buffalo vs. Miami (OH): O/U 45.5	Over	—	+5	$2	48¢	$2	+$0	11-03 06:28
Charlottesville: Alexis Galarneau vs Daniel Milavsky	Daniel Milavsky	—	+0	-$3	100¢	$0	+$3	11-03 22:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda	8	$530	555	555	+0	Zachary Svajda	+$234	05-30 12:12
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova	4	$499	882	882	+0	Anastasia Potapova	+$259	05-30 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	16	$404	12,275	200	+12,075	Up	-$196	05-30 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 21:00 UTC	2	$400	261	253	+8	Up	+$109	04-17 21:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 21:05 UTC	2	$321	339	333	+6	Down	-$180	04-17 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 20:55 UTC	2	$268	154	151	+3	Up	+$34	04-17 21:00
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$198	233	233	+0	Spurs	-$2	05-30 22:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 21:10 UTC	4	$198	183	177	+6	Up	-$8	04-17 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	9	$180	266	0	+266	Up	+$86	05-30 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	9	$180	364	0	+364	Up	-$90	05-30 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	9	$180	286	0	+286	Down	-$79	05-30 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$177	180	0	+180	Up	-$177	10-24 14:27
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$170	176	0	+176	Up	+$6	10-24 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$167	170	0	+170	Down	+$3	10-24 08:40
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$160	163	0	+163	Up	+$3	10-23 23:23
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 9?	2	$152	142	142	+0	Yes	+$132	05-10 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	9	$150	299	0	+299	Down	+$149	05-30 21:34
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$150	153	0	+153	Down	+$3	10-23 17:29
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$145	149	0	+149	Down	+$3	10-23 17:04
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$139	146	0	+146	Up	+$6	10-23 16:44
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$134	137	0	+137	Down	+$3	10-23 21:14
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$133	140	0	+140	Down	+$7	10-23 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?	5	$131	122	122	+0	Yes	+$77	08-15 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$131	134	0	+134	Down	+$3	10-23 15:03
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$129	132	0	+132	Up	+$3	10-23 17:19
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$127	130	0	+130	Up	+$3	10-23 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 23:30 UTC	7	$126	246	155	+91	Up	-$34	07-13 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$125	128	0	+128	Up	+$3	10-23 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$121	125	0	+125	Down	+$4	10-23 14:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 04:10 UTC	4	$118	89	87	+2	Down	-$3	04-20 04:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 22:34:19	Exact Score: Mushuc Runa SC 2 - 3 Manta FC?	Yes	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x1c4a48…
11-03 22:20:54	Charlottesville: Alexis Galarneau vs Daniel Milavsky	Daniel Milavsky	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8cb7d0…
11-03 22:20:15	Charlottesville: Harry Wendelken vs Andres Andrade	Andres Andrade	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf360ca…
11-03 22:12:46	Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)	Mirassol FC	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb6d1a3…
11-03 22:04:28	Mushuc Runa SC vs. Manta FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb0b084…
11-03 22:03:18	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)	LYON	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x204864…
11-03 22:03:16	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 3 Winner	LYON	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5cc16e…
11-03 21:53:28	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4818cd…
11-03 21:44:52	Brisbane Bullets vs. Perth Wildcats: O/U 188.5	Under	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa64ed3…
11-03 21:44:40	Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)	Birmingham City FC	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd0377e…
11-03 21:37:15	Real Madrid vs. Panathinaikos: O/U 170.5	Under	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5a6484…
11-03 21:37:15	Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x332cf0…
11-03 21:37:13	Ducks vs. Canucks	Canucks	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4068f8…
11-03 21:34:34	Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1d95b8…
11-03 21:32:45	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9fb2b7…
11-03 21:32:45	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x893a52…
11-03 21:12:04	Spread: Napoli Basket (-9.5)	Napoli Basket	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5196d4…
11-03 21:11:39	Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)	Norwich City FC	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6e7e4b…
11-03 21:10:09	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd61c83…
11-03 21:01:03	Will Caracas FC win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x742ab9…
11-03 20:51:01	Cholet vs. Paris Basketball	Cholet	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe2ca68…
11-03 20:49:16	Charlottesville: Alexis Galarneau vs Daniel Milavsky	Daniel Milavsky	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4e2ed1…
11-03 20:42:06	Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group B	MEIA NOITE	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x988de0…
11-03 20:20:25	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb40dce…
11-03 20:20:25	RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x89622c…
11-03 20:08:13	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xcb2d6e…
11-03 20:02:10	Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb767ca…
11-03 20:02:10	PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x648822…
11-03 19:49:22	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs angry birds (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A	Inner Circle	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3a3e9b…
11-03 19:48:01	Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xb0d6ad…
11-03 19:48:01	Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7694f7…
11-03 19:40:09	Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)	Galatasaray SK	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3033c2…
11-03 19:13:31	Ducks vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xa9b8bb…
11-03 19:11:46	Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs Low Cortisol (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage	BORRACHEIROS	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf90bbf…
11-03 19:10:46	Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs B8 Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	OLDBOYS-	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x12214b…
11-03 18:26:18	LASK Linz vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xcccf1e…
11-03 18:04:04	Spread: Napoli Basket (-9.5)	Napoli Basket	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x047aa1…
11-03 18:00:30	cs2 sinqu bojong 2026 11 04	SINQU	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfcd2b9…
11-03 17:54:52	Cholet vs. Paris Basketball	Cholet	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x65d251…
11-03 17:52:36	Esteghlal FC Tehran vs. Al-Shamal: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4b5404…
11-03 17:50:15	Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Michele Ribecai	Michele Ribecai	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xaedfa4…
11-03 17:37:00	Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs SINQU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B	Walczaki	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9f7ecb…
11-03 17:33:52	Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs B8 Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	OLDBOYS-	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xba0eda…
11-03 17:33:27	Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Regular Season	MASONIC	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2d8bfd…
11-03 17:21:21	Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Revise (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs	9INE	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5eff92…
11-03 17:20:21	Spread: Huddersfield Town AFC (-1.5)	Huddersfield Town AFC	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xba9b75…
11-03 17:19:49	Counter-Strike: BoyBand vs RoundsGG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Group Stage	BoyBand	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x83de9f…
11-03 16:32:00	Wild vs. Flyers: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbf3e41…
11-03 16:27:31	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa36443…
11-03 16:19:45	Spread: Perth Wildcats (-2.5)	Perth Wildcats	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9f73dd…
11-03 16:18:00	Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Play-In	Leo Team	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaced1c…
11-03 16:14:51	Jets vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x24015b…
11-03 16:04:15	Spread: Flyers (-1.5)	Flyers	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfb899f…
11-03 16:00:13	KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa8b764…
11-03 15:23:18	Will Millwall FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9741e4…
11-03 15:13:51	Esteghlal FC Tehran vs. Al-Shamal: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x7995a8…
11-03 15:13:49	Al Hussein Irbid vs. Al Shorta SC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x40027e…
11-03 15:02:51	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb78f98…
11-03 14:59:01	Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)	Galatasaray SK	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6966e7…
11-03 14:50:30	Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Andres Martin	Andres Martin	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x77b1da…
11-03 14:47:49	Spread: Miami (OH) (-5.5)	Buffalo	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa44136…
11-03 14:47:49	Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)	Birmingham City FC	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x667310…
11-03 14:44:15	Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x80de78…
11-03 14:30:37	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls	Shenzhen Leopards	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x88bcd6…
11-03 14:16:52	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs	HULIGANI	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x887b7e…
11-03 14:05:52	Will Kyoto Sanga FC win on 2026-11-03?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9d0ee3…
11-03 14:02:34	Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Play-In	Leo Team	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7630bd…
11-03 14:01:06	Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs SINQU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B	Walczaki	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa2521b…
11-03 13:57:55	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	B8	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x33de65…
11-03 13:54:15	Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)	Norwich City FC	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xdb5cbe…
11-03 13:52:06	Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Georgii Kravchenko	Georgii Kravchenko	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xba9ffb…
11-03 13:51:12	Nanjing Monkey King vs. Jiangsu Dragons	Jiangsu Dragons	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe6f7a6…
11-03 12:44:15	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x4fb1f7…
11-03 12:17:25	PAOK BC vs. BC Roma Spqr	BC Roma Spqr	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x177a3a…
11-03 12:01:48	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Team Synapse (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	Team Synapse	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x78d3ac…
11-03 11:50:30	Spread: Beijing Guoan (-1.5)	Beijing Guoan	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb5be75…
11-03 11:41:34	Spread: Vissel Kobe (-1.5)	Ratchaburi FC	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdb240d…
11-03 11:24:34	Rolex Paris Masters: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tien	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x97c300…
11-03 11:23:33	Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Francisco Cerundolo	Francisco Cerundolo	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x13f95b…
11-03 09:48:25	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9311da…
11-03 09:30:55	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	MOUZ	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x81338a…
11-03 09:30:31	Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs CyberHero (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf1eb1f…
11-03 09:29:37	Newcastle United Jets vs. Shanghai Port FC: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x56b220…
11-03 09:07:40	Will Kyoto Sanga FC win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x77068f…
11-03 09:01:19	FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbad539…
11-03 09:01:18	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfe037b…
11-03 09:01:18	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8e685f…
11-03 08:57:40	Taipei: James McCabe vs Kasidit Samrej	Kasidit Samrej	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2ec531…
11-03 08:55:55	Will FC Gifu win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x86db32…
11-03 08:18:18	Will Dorking Wanderers win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe1d137…
11-03 08:15:36	Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x109f13…
11-03 08:15:34	Will Ebbsfleet United FC win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x47e5d3…
11-03 08:15:18	FC Ryukyu vs. FC Gifu: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xda7032…
11-03 07:40:16	Exact Score: Dorking Wanderers 1 - 3 Hampton & Richmond Borough?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0xd43ef9…
11-03 07:40:16	Exact Score: Feyenoord Rotterdam 3 - 4 FC Internazionale Milano?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x8a5b9d…
11-03 07:40:15	Exact Score: Northampton Town FC 0 - 3 Oldham Athletic AFC?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xaa40b5…
11-03 07:40:13	Exact Score: LASK Linz 1 - 3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0xed0cf6…
11-03 07:40:13	acle vik rat 2026 11 03 exact score 2 2	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x96d45b…
11-03 07:40:12	Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 3 - 4 VfB Stuttgart?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0xa85832…
11-03 07:40:12	Exact Score: SC Internacional 2 - 3 Coritiba FBC?	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x6c8ce1…