Hateful-Solidarity — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$223

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

170

1,241 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.12K

$9.16K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-29 06:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 131 days

Categories

Other

38% 10% -$446

Politics

34% 5% -$231

Sports

24% 4% -$245

Tech

3% 8% -$29

Crypto

1% 14% -$115

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 2?	20	$182	210	210	+0	No	-$6	05-18 01:09
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	7	$168	145	145	+0	No	-$1	05-24 01:02
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by 5–10%?	12	$146	101	101	-0	No	-$2	05-31 20:03
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?	14	$121	111	111	+0	Yes	$0	05-25 22:16
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	5	$120	150	150	+0	No	-$2	05-24 01:26
Trump on $250 bill this year?	3	$115	62	62	+0	open	—	05-28 22:00
Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	4	$102	60	60	+0	Yes	$0	06-17 19:46
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 25% and 30% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	5	$98	60	60	+0	No	-$6	05-28 21:26
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	10	$97	81	81	+0	No	-$5	05-18 13:01
will trump say miami during ufc 250 20260610182827984	7	$87	52	52	+0	No	-$3	06-14 23:52
Will Lindsey Horvath finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	4	$78	40	40	+0	No	$0	05-15 02:12
will ivar stenberg be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346475	3	$77	40	40	-0	Yes	$0	06-26 03:33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	2	$76	50	50	+0	No	-$1	05-24 00:25
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be below 80,000 voters?	5	$75	60	60	+0	No	-$1	05-19 00:20
will the announcers say captain during the netherlands vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260618175419619	5	$73	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	06-18 21:57
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?	6	$72	60	60	+0	No	$0	05-29 15:02
will trump be said 10 times during the next episode of the storytime with the second lady podcast 20260625203401067	3	$69	40	40	+0	No	+$0	06-28 01:56
will the announcers say handball during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403316	4	$61	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	07-17 19:22
Will Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	6	$61	60	60	-0	No	-$10	05-11 20:55
will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113090	9	$60	100	100	-0	Yes	-$1	07-05 23:17
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms finish first in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$59	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	05-19 16:53
Will Cristiano Sicari win the 2026 Chieti mayoral election?	4	$59	38	38	+0	No	$0	06-03 16:11
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?	11	$58	81	81	+0	No	$0	05-25 19:31
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 30?	2	$55	50	50	+0	No	-$25	05-31 01:18
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	3	$55	40	40	+0	No	-$1	10-12 23:33
Will Trump say "Jerome" or "Powell" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	4	$55	40	60	-20	No	+$14	05-22 00:02
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	6	$55	26	40	-14	Yes	-$2	05-23 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 03:55 UTC	1	$55	5,460	0	+5,460	Down	-$55	03-14 04:00
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	3	$53	39	39	+0	No	$0	05-18 13:17
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	6	$50	60	60	+0	No	-$3	06-05 21:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 06:14:55	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xf1e20d…
10-29 06:14:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3e0763…
10-26 20:49:48	Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xc544a4…
10-26 20:25:21	Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9a6502…
10-26 20:25:11	Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2b37e9…
10-26 20:25:08	Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x69bae6…
10-26 20:25:05	Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x38e16f…
10-26 20:16:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	27¢	$4	0xc512dd…
10-26 20:16:38	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xee7d1d…
10-26 20:16:09	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x9bdde6…
10-26 20:15:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x9f130f…
10-25 23:10:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x899326…
10-25 23:06:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x34709a…
10-25 23:02:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xc731ef…
10-25 23:01:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xc7e35f…
10-25 22:55:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xb4976d…
10-25 22:51:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xe6cb9c…
10-25 21:44:50	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x0c8ed2…
10-25 21:44:17	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xae965c…
10-22 21:38:27	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x4f3f83…
10-22 21:36:11	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xdd8b77…
10-21 03:52:03	Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 4% to 6%?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x60aa01…
10-21 03:50:36	Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 4% to 6%?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x1ebf37…
10-21 03:29:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x0ee049…
10-21 03:29:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x3385cb…
10-15 22:51:54	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xbe03f5…
10-15 22:51:03	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x8881c2…
10-13 22:53:31	will sp global spgi q3 rating revenues be above 1pt4b	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x2e213c…
10-13 22:52:21	will sp global spgi q3 rating revenues be above 1pt4b	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xc9b2b0…
10-13 22:44:13	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xc196f9…
10-13 22:42:39	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x8d14b9…
10-13 22:42:39	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x1379ee…
10-12 23:33:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0xd6ae1d…
10-12 23:32:48	will texas instruments txn q3 analog revenue be above 20261008120026000 4pt75b	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x2d7bb1…
10-12 23:32:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xd34384…
10-12 23:00:20	will texas instruments txn q3 analog revenue be above 20261008120026000 4pt75b	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xcf91a7…
10-12 22:43:14	will godzilla minus zero score at least 96 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261109	Yes	SELL	18	42¢	$7	0xf278b8…
10-12 22:41:33	will godzilla minus zero score at least 96 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261109	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x3d560e…
10-09 22:52:07	Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x227607…
10-09 22:50:47	Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x2a6a5a…
10-04 22:45:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xe9c970…
10-04 22:16:04	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xf3ed9f…
10-02 21:14:41	Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x967786…
10-02 21:13:48	Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xfcb21c…
10-01 21:00:44	will donald trump publicly insult someone on october 9 2026 20261001004229017	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x15157d…
10-01 20:56:51	will donald trump publicly insult someone on october 9 2026 20261001004229017	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xa4df06…
09-30 19:45:44	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt4t by october 31 2026	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x55c445…
09-30 19:45:11	will perplexitys valuation hit high 22pt5b by october 31 2026	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x49ea7f…
09-30 19:43:36	will perplexitys valuation hit high 22pt5b by october 31 2026	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xbc554e…
09-30 19:35:39	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt4t by october 31 2026	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xa4c70c…
09-20 01:34:12	will the announcers say offside during the dolphins vs 49ers game 20260921	No	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x90f39c…
09-19 22:35:16	will the announcers say offside during the dolphins vs 49ers game 20260921	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x1bb89a…
09-18 18:48:19	Will Netanyahu say "Uranium" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xe09fd5…
09-18 18:36:12	Will Netanyahu say "Trump" 3+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x1849b7…
09-18 18:34:22	Will Netanyahu say "Trump" 3+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x5453d7…
09-18 18:07:03	Will Netanyahu say "Uranium" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x0caf54…
09-13 01:27:19	where will it rain on september 13 2026 seattle wa	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x08a22c…
09-13 01:25:16	where will it rain on september 13 2026 seattle wa	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x2973dc…
09-13 00:29:40	Will "Peace" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xb49d8e…
09-12 23:24:15	where will it rain on september 13 2026 atlanta ga	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xf6fc09…
09-12 23:23:24	where will it rain on september 13 2026 atlanta ga	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x7db31b…
09-12 23:23:22	where will it rain on september 13 2026 atlanta ga	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x8998f3…
09-08 17:44:22	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 9?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x7c8665…
09-08 17:42:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 9?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x5d5b5b…
09-03 03:51:39	will trump insult mapquest this week	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xb25211…
09-03 03:50:58	will trump insult mapquest this week	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xc4dc64…
09-01 22:34:07	Will the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xc22d61…
09-01 22:32:28	Will the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x4f8d09…
08-31 20:32:30	will the pokemon pikachu illustrator psa 9 sale price be at least 4 million	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x6ac317…
08-31 20:31:09	will the pokemon pikachu illustrator psa 9 sale price be at least 4 million	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x88463c…
08-31 18:08:01	will trump praise gianni infantino in september	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x7976b1…
08-31 18:06:04	will trump praise gianni infantino in september	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xfb2aae…
08-28 20:30:43	will trump say graffiti this week 20260906	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0xaa0fb3…
08-28 01:47:42	will trump say graffiti this week 20260906	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x900593…
08-27 04:43:51	will dell say fiscal 20 times during earnings call 20260901	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x11ab6a…
08-27 04:43:39	kfy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 09 08 2026 1pt36	No	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xcf79f3…
08-27 02:42:09	kfy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 09 08 2026 1pt36	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x13f03f…
08-27 02:35:52	will dell say fiscal 20 times during earnings call 20260901	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x557c3c…
08-27 02:25:34	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in september	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x264121…
08-27 02:22:46	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in september	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x79742d…
08-27 01:59:27	will trump speak to mark rutte in september	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x551761…
08-27 01:58:42	will trump speak to mark rutte in september	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xaa4d50…
08-26 14:28:03	will mamdani say safe or safer or safety during his announcement 20260930	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xbb4826…
08-26 02:30:09	will mamdani say grocery during his announcement 20260930	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x7cf446…
08-26 02:29:39	will mamdani say grocery during his announcement 20260930	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xd0efb9…
08-26 02:25:54	will mamdani say safe or safer or safety during his announcement 20260930	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x50dd85…
08-26 01:30:00	will syria join the mecca agreement by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x6ef1f4…
08-26 01:28:03	will syria join the mecca agreement by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x99db37…
08-25 06:49:39	will trump say far side during remarks at nasa	No	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x81c686…
08-25 06:49:27	will trump say far side during remarks at nasa	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xe250e7…
08-25 03:26:27	will trump say far side during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0xaabede…
08-25 03:26:25	will trump say far side during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb4aec0…
08-25 03:26:25	will trump say far side during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x08b946…
08-25 03:25:49	will trump say far side during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x710985…
08-25 03:25:07	will trump say far side during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3dec9b…
08-25 03:25:04	will trump say far side during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x14a89f…
08-25 03:25:03	will trump say far side during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x679ac2…
08-25 03:24:55	will trump say far side during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xfccd6d…
08-25 03:24:55	will trump say far side during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x369c9f…
08-25 03:24:54	will trump say far side during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xfeaecb…