Realized P&L
-$260
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
70.2%
Resolved
2,359
Trades
9,932
lifetime
Volume
$49.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$155
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 10-27 21:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 187 days
Categories
Other
61% 75% -$36
Crypto
21% 77% -$201
Politics
10% 74% +$72
Sports
6% 73% -$81
Tech
1% 74% -$8
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 308 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +31 $27 100¢ $30 +$3 10-23 07:54
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +26 $23 96¢ $24 +$1 10-23 09:06
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? Yes +26 $23 92¢ $24 +$1 10-25 21:46
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +26 $22 82¢ $21 -$1 10-23 08:09
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +15 $13 72¢ $11 -$2 10-23 06:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +11 $9 98¢ $11 +$1 10-23 13:34
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 10-25 21:00
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10 $9 93¢ $10 +$0 10-25 20:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-23 12:36
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 10-25 20:50
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 10-25 20:50
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? Yes +1 $2 11¢ $0 -$2 10-26 09:53