Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
46.7%
Resolved
14
Trades
26
lifetime
Volume
$421
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 01-16 01:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
64%
40%
-$29
Sports
26%
50%
+$24
Other
10%
33%
-$15
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-01-16).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 3 | $84 | 214 | 107 | +107 | No | -$19 | 01-16 01:34 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 3 | $59 | 170 | 170 | +0 | No | +$1 | 01-12 19:29 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 2 | $53 | 64 | 64 | +0 | Yes | +$3 | 01-14 11:03 |
| us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155 | 2 | $38 | 57 | 57 | +0 | No | -$12 | 01-15 13:30 |
| israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453 | 3 | $37 | 67 | 67 | +0 | No | -$2 | 01-15 13:30 |
| nfl buf jax 2026 01 11 | 2 | $33 | 25 | 25 | +0 | Bills | +$15 | 01-11 21:06 |
| nfl hou pit 2026 01 12 | 1 | $25 | 62 | 0 | +62 | Texans | -$25 | 01-13 00:46 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31? | 2 | $20 | 96 | 96 | +0 | No | -$9 | 01-10 10:41 |
| nfl sf phi 2026 01 11 | 1 | $20 | 62 | 0 | +62 | 49ers | +$42 | 01-11 21:09 |
| will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026 | 2 | $19 | 89 | 89 | +0 | No | +$4 | 01-16 01:42 |
| spx up or down on january 12 2026 | 2 | $14 | 11 | 11 | +0 | Up | +$0 | 01-12 17:45 |
| will the jacksonville jaguars win super bowl 2026 | 1 | $7 | 115 | 0 | +115 | No | -$7 | 01-09 14:39 |
| Will the US strike Syria next? | 1 | $7 | 17 | 0 | +17 | No | -$7 | 01-12 18:16 |
| will larchijaxsfnehou win their 2026 nfl wild card round games | 1 | $6 | 120 | 0 | +120 | No | -$6 | 01-10 10:47 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||