Smug-Rocket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.3%

Resolved

Trades

209

lifetime

Volume

$43.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$209

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 09-16 15:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

42% 80% -$4

Other

36% 85% +$13

Crypto

17% 100% +$21

Tech

5% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	20	$7.3K	3,680	3,680	+0	No	+$6	07-25 13:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	10	$2.8K	1,450	1,450	+0	No	+$5	06-04 17:26
Trump out as President by August 31?	33	$2.2K	1,111	1,111	+0	No	+$1	08-14 05:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	7	$2.1K	1,051	1,051	+0	No	+$1	05-26 13:58
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	11	$2.0K	1,019	1,019	+0	Yes	+$2	04-13 07:06
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	15	$2.0K	1,035	1,035	+0	Yes	-$17	03-04 05:27
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	9	$1.6K	980	646	+334	No	+$9	03-28 08:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$1.5K	748	748	+0	No	+$1	08-17 17:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	6	$1.4K	731	731	+0	Yes	+$4	06-26 02:41
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	12	$1.4K	714	714	+0	No	+$1	06-21 12:30
Trump out as President by May 31?	6	$1.4K	696	696	+0	No	+$2	05-08 09:22
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$1.3K	668	668	+0	No	+$0	03-11 16:23
will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	10	$1.3K	656	656	+0	No	+$1	03-10 07:22
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	3	$1.0K	690	345	+345	No	+$3	04-23 18:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$748	377	377	+0	No	$0	09-16 15:17
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	3	$742	410	410	+0	open	—	08-24 09:31
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$711	363	363	+0	No	+$1	06-15 17:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$710	358	358	+0	Yes	+$1	06-10 14:24
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$695	384	384	+0	No	+$0	05-19 02:29
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$694	350	350	+0	No	+$1	05-15 14:55
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	3	$694	348	348	+0	No	+$0	05-15 10:28
Trump out as President by June 30?	2	$693	353	353	+0	No	+$0	05-11 05:38
Netanyahu out by May 31?	2	$688	352	352	+0	No	+$0	05-03 14:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	3	$680	345	345	+0	No	+$4	04-19 07:30
bitcoin above 86k on january 22	2	$677	340	340	+0	Yes	+$1	01-22 14:59
will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	4	$671	340	340	+0	No	+$0	01-22 10:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	6	$670	341	341	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 05:11
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$669	336	336	+0	No	+$1	04-12 22:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$655	334	334	+0	No	+$0	03-15 02:11
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$653	346	346	+0	Yes	+$0	03-12 14:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 15:17:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	377	99¢	$374	0x8ed63d…
09-13 20:57:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	377	99¢	$374	0x6d5fd3…
08-24 09:31:40	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	SELL	323	91¢	$294	0xf2c81f…
08-24 09:01:22	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	SELL	87	91¢	$79	0xf95bbf…
08-19 17:11:07	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	BUY	410	90¢	$369	0xf94369…
08-17 17:42:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	375	99¢	$371	0xc0c05a…
08-17 08:35:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	375	99¢	$370	0xfccd08…
08-17 03:29:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	373	99¢	$369	0xd27ac1…
08-16 14:10:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	373	99¢	$368	0x3e3879…
08-14 05:37:18	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	371	100¢	$369	0x3211a6…
08-13 21:24:31	Trump out as President by August 31?	No	BUY	371	99¢	$369	0x16f621…
08-12 18:27:40	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	370	99¢	$368	0x32fcbd…
08-12 07:58:16	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd27842…
08-12 07:54:27	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xfd6208…
08-12 07:54:04	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xbf3068…
08-12 07:53:51	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x42d6d2…
08-12 07:53:37	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x451f82…
08-12 07:53:15	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xb440b8…
08-12 07:53:00	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x4735e0…
08-12 07:52:46	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xceb15a…
08-12 07:52:34	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x753b33…
08-12 07:52:01	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x724739…
08-12 07:51:49	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x5d794a…
08-12 07:51:39	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd924be…
08-12 07:51:27	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xce05e3…
08-12 07:51:06	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xf23207…
08-12 07:50:54	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe89b60…
08-12 07:50:42	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x759cf1…
08-12 07:50:30	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x350a43…
08-12 07:42:49	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc11567…
08-12 07:42:37	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xbaf618…
08-12 07:42:25	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x70828e…
08-12 07:42:13	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc2b7b9…
08-12 07:42:12	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x8f3904…
08-12 07:42:00	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2555d3…
08-12 07:41:58	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x35acd1…
08-12 07:41:49	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe285d7…
08-12 07:41:43	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xcb3eef…
08-12 07:41:36	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x14cdb9…
08-12 07:41:31	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x955d02…
08-12 05:05:45	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	370	99¢	$368	0x9d6077…
08-11 15:00:31	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	370	99¢	$368	0xc27e84…
07-31 14:00:36	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	323	87¢	$282	0x1c8e3b…
07-31 13:52:51	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	323	87¢	$282	0x1ae282…
07-25 13:54:10	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	370	100¢	$369	0xfb59a1…
07-25 05:07:52	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	370	100¢	$369	0xa69c4e…
07-23 05:59:58	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	370	100¢	$369	0x90aee7…
07-22 04:36:58	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	370	99¢	$367	0xaa8bdb…
07-19 21:14:45	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	369	100¢	$368	0x76a9da…
07-18 14:19:39	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	369	100¢	$368	0xed77ba…
07-18 09:07:39	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	368	100¢	$367	0xe2a965…
07-18 04:25:36	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	368	100¢	$367	0x841bb3…
07-17 17:11:04	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	368	100¢	$367	0x7f0e56…
07-17 05:05:00	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	368	99¢	$366	0x207332…
07-17 01:58:24	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	367	100¢	$365	0xb0c268…
07-16 23:49:04	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	367	99¢	$364	0x24bbd9…
07-14 18:46:44	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	367	100¢	$366	0x4924ed…
07-13 04:02:47	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	367	100¢	$365	0x58947b…
07-13 00:31:34	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	367	100¢	$365	0xf547e3…
07-08 19:23:32	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	367	99¢	$365	0x077c4f…
07-05 09:50:34	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	367	99¢	$364	0x3be930…
07-05 01:59:25	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	367	99¢	$363	0x747e59…
07-04 08:06:32	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	367	99¢	$364	0x0309d7…
07-03 07:18:14	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	367	99¢	$363	0x9b869c…
06-30 16:22:14	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	363	100¢	$362	0xd30bba…
06-26 02:41:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe35232…
06-26 02:35:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc1beed…
06-26 02:29:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	346	99¢	$343	0x3e4b5a…
06-25 15:50:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	366	99¢	$361	0x287754…
06-25 05:18:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	365	99¢	$361	0xa918c7…
06-23 04:58:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	365	98¢	$358	0xefced1…
06-21 12:30:05	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	208	98¢	$204	0xb14fa0…
06-21 12:12:29	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xfcdb49…
06-21 11:41:08	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xa7ad31…
06-21 11:24:05	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xef56ec…
06-21 10:59:20	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x650441…
06-16 11:15:09	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	362	98¢	$355	0x9955d5…
06-15 17:30:19	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	363	98¢	$356	0xef81db…
06-15 05:36:24	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	363	98¢	$355	0xb97116…
06-10 14:24:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	358	99¢	$355	0x2865c9…
06-07 12:46:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	358	99¢	$355	0x3fba51…
06-04 17:26:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	364	98¢	$356	0x61295f…
06-04 12:58:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	364	98¢	$355	0xc852c1…
06-04 09:23:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	364	98¢	$355	0x47179e…
06-04 07:30:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	364	98¢	$355	0x3ca313…
06-01 12:59:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	362	98¢	$355	0x059ead…
05-28 13:51:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	362	97¢	$351	0xea0e2b…
05-28 01:46:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	360	97¢	$351	0x6e879d…
05-27 14:12:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x865937…
05-27 14:10:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x9b0942…
05-27 14:09:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	330	97¢	$321	0xa2b758…
05-26 13:58:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$238	0x02d9fc…
05-26 13:58:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x6e1825…
05-26 11:07:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	351	100¢	$350	0x8f7b44…
05-26 02:26:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	350	100¢	$349	0x06c66e…
05-25 21:44:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	350	100¢	$349	0xcc6372…
05-24 15:07:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	350	100¢	$349	0x92fcea…
05-24 06:11:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	350	100¢	$349	0xc6652d…
05-19 02:29:56	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	384	90¢	$348	0x224733…
05-18 09:13:16	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	384	90¢	$348	0xf2cc71…