Realized P&L
-$50
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
68.0%
Resolved
234
Trades
412
lifetime
Volume
$514
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$23
24 positions
First seen
2026-10-24
last 11-09 20:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
70% 52% -$34
Politics
19% 54% -$2
Crypto
8% 28% -$6
Sports
3% 20% -$7
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 $0 11-01 20:42
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +3 $2 62¢ $2 -$1 11-01 19:50
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 11-03 16:23
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in November? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 11-03 07:21
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 11-05 17:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 11-03 12:30
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 11-03 13:07
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 11-01 20:43
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 11-04 20:50
Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by November 30, 2026? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 11-03 06:01
Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 11-04 21:22
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by November 30? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 11-04 21:22
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 11-01 20:43
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 11-01 20:43
Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 11-03 06:19
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $0 11-05 06:24
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +1 $1 84¢ $1 $0 11-04 21:27
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30? Yes +1 $1 77¢ $1 $0 11-04 20:49
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $1 36¢ $1 $0 10-26 12:15
Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? Yes +1 $1 58¢ $1 $0 11-05 17:12
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +1 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 11-04 03:36
Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +7 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 11-01 00:48
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? No +1 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 11-01 20:45
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? Yes +2 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-29 19:01