Fickle-Pillow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$88

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved

214

Trades

603

lifetime

Volume

$3.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-08 21:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

84% 93% -$25

Crypto

15% 71% -$13

Sports

1% 0% -$50

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 22:00 UTC	7	$152	400	397	+3	Down	-$20	01-16 22:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 22:15 UTC	13	$87	89	79	+10	Down	+$1	01-16 22:31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?	10	$58	36	24	+12	No	+$2	06-03 11:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 22:30 UTC	9	$54	339	339	+0	Down	-$1	01-06 22:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 21:00 UTC	16	$52	108	0	+108	Down	+$0	01-16 21:12
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	2,012	0	+2,012	No	-$50	07-08 21:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 22:30 UTC	8	$48	50	50	+0	Up	-$1	01-16 22:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 20:45 UTC	15	$43	70	0	+70	Up	+$2	01-16 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or below on June 23?	6	$41	24	18	+6	No	+$0	06-23 12:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on June 22?	4	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-22 11:57
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 12?	4	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-13 03:20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12?	4	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-12 21:54
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on June 23?	3	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-23 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on June 23?	3	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-22 23:40
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on June 11?	4	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-11 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 23?	5	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-23 10:12
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on June 2?	3	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-02 11:52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 8?	3	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-08 18:09
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 7?	4	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-08 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 4?	5	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-04 08:51
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 4?	5	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-04 21:42
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 11?	4	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-12 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 23?	3	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-23 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 8?	3	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-08 17:55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 12?	4	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-12 21:00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 3?	4	$23	18	6	+12	No	+$1	06-03 06:03
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 10?	4	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-10 21:38
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 10?	4	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-10 21:38
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 12?	4	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-12 21:00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 14?	4	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-14 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 21:23:01	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,012	2¢	$50	0x65c01d…
07-05 18:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 5?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x23d763…
07-05 16:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 5?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x1b3e64…
07-05 16:03:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 5?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x604965…
07-05 15:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 5?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x0545a7…
07-04 22:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 4?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x18d771…
07-04 22:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 4?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5cf49f…
07-04 22:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 4?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa5b554…
07-04 20:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 4?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc84b99…
07-04 19:12:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 4?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf6ba8b…
07-04 19:12:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 4?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x832ba3…
07-04 16:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 5?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xbed576…
07-04 16:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 4?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1f889c…
07-04 16:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 5?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xbe5388…
07-04 16:17:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 4?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf18eaf…
07-04 12:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 5?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xe7be0d…
07-04 12:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on July 4?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x379379…
07-04 09:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8eb7a5…
07-04 09:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on July 4?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa50ae7…
07-04 07:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on July 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3fc603…
07-04 07:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on July 4?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd6a462…
07-04 05:34:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on July 4?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x9d98ea…
07-04 05:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 4?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe0618b…
07-04 01:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x3ae89a…
07-04 01:11:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 4?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4d3b05…
07-03 15:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 4?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x0317c9…
07-03 15:34:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 4?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x142ab5…
07-03 15:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 4?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8dd548…
07-03 15:34:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 4?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb1412d…
07-03 15:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 4?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x114ed9…
07-03 15:34:23	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 4?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x3c5ff8…
07-03 15:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 4?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xc404a3…
07-03 15:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 4?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x2c621a…
07-03 15:34:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 4?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x49fe18…
06-24 22:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 24?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x605cc0…
06-24 21:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 24?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x91b464…
06-24 19:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 24?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa1d2ec…
06-24 18:38:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 24?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdfd9ac…
06-24 18:38:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 24?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xdac1a0…
06-24 17:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 24?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x83f0fb…
06-24 15:53:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 24?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xefa8e4…
06-24 10:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C or below on June 24?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x08444f…
06-23 22:47:59	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 24?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x3e4d90…
06-23 21:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 24?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x90f828…
06-23 21:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 23?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb92f37…
06-23 20:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 24?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x40336f…
06-23 19:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 24?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xaab6a1…
06-23 19:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 24?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xe4fc0b…
06-23 19:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 24?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xd4f100…
06-23 19:53:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 23?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x082b56…
06-23 16:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 24?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x70c858…
06-23 16:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 24?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xdb5a93…
06-23 16:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 23?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd8ba61…
06-23 12:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 24?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xda6c0b…
06-23 12:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or below on June 23?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe59cf8…
06-23 10:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x01cf46…
06-23 10:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C or below on June 24?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7ee8ab…
06-23 10:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd348d9…
06-23 10:12:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 23?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1fe881…
06-23 10:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 23?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3c8046…
06-23 10:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or below on June 23?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd68f34…
06-23 07:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 23?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf816ba…
06-23 07:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 24?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x248798…
06-23 07:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 23?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4a4b1e…
06-23 06:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x5af34e…
06-23 06:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 23?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdf9072…
06-23 06:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x16311e…
06-23 06:05:41	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 23?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x023c9e…
06-23 03:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 23?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x99eb3d…
06-23 03:00:46	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 23?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x7fd0c9…
06-23 02:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on June 23?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x03f0cd…
06-22 23:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 23?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xd3013d…
06-22 23:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 23?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x3fe41c…
06-22 23:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on June 23?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x02fb8e…
06-22 20:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 23?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x663768…
06-22 20:41:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 23?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc1b928…
06-22 18:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 23?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x0c9b74…
06-22 18:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 22?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5ecf2e…
06-22 16:21:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 23?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x73cce7…
06-22 16:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 22?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x80fec2…
06-22 12:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 23?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x67e400…
06-22 11:57:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on June 22?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc9f265…
06-22 11:57:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 23?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb38034…
06-22 11:54:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on June 22?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0f1ba0…
06-22 11:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 22?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x28f29f…
06-22 11:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 22?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x5391a1…
06-22 11:00:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 22?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xc2be54…
06-22 10:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1c4397…
06-22 10:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x94a31c…
06-22 10:29:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x5c3e34…
06-22 10:29:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on June 22?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x166caf…
06-22 10:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x41b7b2…
06-22 10:29:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x598003…
06-22 10:29:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x5266f9…
06-22 10:29:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on June 22?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9846db…
06-17 02:23:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 16?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb2d9fb…
06-16 18:54:59	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on June 16?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x47b2de…
06-16 17:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 16?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xca9ffe…
06-16 12:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 16?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0bf404…
06-16 09:38:06	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on June 16?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x62531d…