Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.90K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

271

Trades

550

lifetime

Volume

$12.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 00:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 73% +$390

Politics

21% 18% -$2,055

Other

14% 47% -$236

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of costa ricas presidential election	7	$1.4K	5,144	0	+5,144	Yes	-$1,393	01-30 19:32
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$505	617	30	+586	Yes	-$457	10-22 06:04
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$430	280	280	+0	Yes	+$35	06-21 17:08
highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 52 53f	4	$274	158	156	+2	No	+$39	04-20 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$224	152	113	+39	Down	+$0	10-24 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	5	$183	100	100	+0	Up	+$17	10-26 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	9	$181	122	86	+37	Up	-$11	10-20 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$154	85	85	+0	Up	+$14	10-26 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$148	183	0	+183	Up	+$35	10-24 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$148	86	86	+0	Up	$0	10-27 00:10
highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 64 65f	3	$142	223	0	+223	Yes	-$142	04-24 17:49
highest temperature in seoul on april 18 2026 21corhigher	1	$136	168	0	+168	Yes	+$32	04-17 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$133	71	71	+0	Down	+$9	10-24 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	11	$132	212	0	+212	Up	-$6	10-21 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$131	88	69	+18	Up	+$7	10-26 23:10
highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 17c	3	$131	72	72	+1	No	+$13	04-22 17:20
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	3	$123	78	76	+2	No	+$30	04-25 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$120	183	0	+183	Down	+$63	10-19 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	10	$120	174	0	+174	Up	+$6	10-19 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$117	68	68	+0	Down	+$18	10-20 03:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	3	$113	67	52	+15	Down	-$11	10-27 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$112	332	0	+332	Up	+$204	10-24 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$111	61	61	+0	Up	+$11	10-26 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	6	$110	132	57	+74	Up	-$11	10-27 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	9	$108	154	0	+154	Down	-$24	10-23 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$107	57	57	+0	Up	+$7	10-27 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$100	121	0	+121	Up	+$21	10-24 01:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	8	$96	4,871	0	+4,871	Down	-$66	10-21 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	8	$96	131	0	+131	Up	-$26	10-19 05:22
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?	2	$94	72	72	+0	No	-$6	04-20 18:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x3fae35…
10-27 01:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x8a673c…
10-27 01:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x5b4e33…
10-27 01:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xb00f81…
10-27 01:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	92	55¢	$50	0x04985a…
10-27 01:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0xe9935e…
10-27 01:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x591e58…
10-27 01:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0xc174b7…
10-27 01:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x267989…
10-27 01:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xffaf25…
10-27 00:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x63ac37…
10-27 00:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xc56353…
10-27 00:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x86c5b1…
10-27 00:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x26cb2c…
10-27 00:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x72f943…
10-27 00:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x346093…
10-27 00:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x5b48a0…
10-27 00:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0xeebb06…
10-27 00:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xb59527…
10-27 00:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x2cb804…
10-27 00:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	57	21¢	$12	0xdc00da…
10-27 00:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x69e8c0…
10-27 00:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0xe371fb…
10-27 00:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x83b02a…
10-27 00:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x0c11cf…
10-27 00:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0xb231b5…
10-27 00:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x085b22…
10-27 00:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xb753b4…
10-27 00:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xae7614…
10-27 00:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x9d6961…
10-27 00:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xc6f9f3…
10-27 00:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	16	24¢	$4	0x43b059…
10-27 00:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0xbaaa70…
10-27 00:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x27b15a…
10-27 00:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x9e9c78…
10-27 00:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x29de64…
10-27 00:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0xf8db37…
10-26 23:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xa04467…
10-26 23:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x777a56…
10-26 23:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x7b5ec6…
10-26 23:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x048cc5…
10-26 23:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0xcd4e06…
10-26 23:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x15aa3d…
10-26 23:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x09325c…
10-26 23:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x11fb2e…
10-26 23:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xa99b66…
10-26 23:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xb78256…
10-26 23:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xd28024…
10-26 23:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x6d1070…
10-26 23:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x9915fc…
10-26 23:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xdb6316…
10-26 23:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x4106be…
10-26 23:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x931263…
10-26 22:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xe5c546…
10-26 22:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xa88ee2…
10-26 22:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x7df610…
10-26 22:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x578c2a…
10-26 22:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x47ea53…
10-26 22:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x98f4db…
10-26 22:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x6e0816…
10-26 22:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x2037fe…
10-26 22:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x5c17e9…
10-26 22:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xdb0ba0…
10-26 22:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xe32e7e…
10-26 22:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x60595d…
10-26 22:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xc316b2…
10-26 22:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xc6ed52…
10-26 22:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x47352d…
10-26 22:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x947cb3…
10-26 22:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xc40f23…
10-26 22:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x8d8588…
10-26 22:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0x630def…
10-26 22:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x795dc4…
10-26 22:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xafefbc…
10-26 21:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x093cb1…
10-26 21:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	600	2¢	$12	0xc25ca3…
10-26 21:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xb0417f…
10-24 07:43:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x22c60b…
10-24 05:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0xe39452…
10-24 05:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x62064e…
10-24 05:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xb2a6b4…
10-24 05:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x760f6f…
10-24 05:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x5c726f…
10-24 04:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x0d9960…
10-24 01:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	316	32¢	$100	0x409342…
10-24 01:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x31ee38…
10-24 01:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xf84e5b…
10-24 01:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x73c7c9…
10-24 01:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0xcba238…
10-24 01:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x6c6bc2…
10-24 01:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0x2b1b5f…
10-24 01:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	57	84¢	$48	0xdbcbc4…
10-24 01:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x1aef54…
10-24 00:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x6d45ef…
10-24 00:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xc9a346…
10-24 00:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0xb14228…
10-24 00:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x48db20…
10-24 00:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	47	79¢	$37	0x4decee…
10-24 00:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x24e2dd…
10-24 00:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xbedc97…