Vast-Methodology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.05K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

43.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-30

last 08-12 06:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 98% -$38

Other

11% 100% +$1,084

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-12).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes		+861	$4	0¢	$1	-$3	05-28 08:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 3000 on january 30	2	$3.3K	1,644	1,644	+0	No	+$0	01-30 10:59
dji up or down on february 2 2026	2	$636	1,720	0	+1,720	Up	+$1,084	02-02 11:26
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET	1	$43	88	0	+88	Up	-$43	05-25 08:42
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 17?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	07-17 06:52
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 4?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	07-04 07:22
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on August 6?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	08-06 07:01
will xrp reach 1pt25 on july 24	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	07-24 06:56
will xrp reach 1pt2 on july 8	1	$33	34	0	+34	No	+$0	07-08 09:15
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 7?	1	$33	34	0	+34	No	+$0	07-07 07:50
will xrp reach 1pt3 on july 10	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-10 08:23
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 20?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-20 06:00
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 2?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-02 06:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 23?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	06-23 06:49
Will XRP dip to $0.85 on July 29?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-29 06:11
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 10?	1	$32	33	0	+33	No	+$0	08-10 07:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 1?	1	$32	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-01 07:08
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 3?	1	$32	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-03 07:25
bitcoin above 62k on june 17 2026	1	$32	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	06-17 07:24
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 16?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-16 09:02
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 14?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-14 09:28
bitcoin above 70k on june 15 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-15 07:29
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 23?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-23 06:43
will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 9	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-09 06:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 22?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-22 07:49
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 22?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-22 07:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 11?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-11 09:11
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 13?	1	$31	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-13 07:22
will bitcoin reach 69k on june 10	1	$31	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-10 06:43
will xrp reach 1pt2 july 13 19 2026	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	07-18 07:18
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 29?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-29 07:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 06:50:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 12?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x8c314d…
08-12 06:48:46	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 12?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x1067cb…
08-11 06:21:12	will bitcoin reach 69k on august 11	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xe0a618…
08-11 06:20:24	will xrp reach 1pt2 on august 11	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x168367…
08-10 07:35:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x502a4a…
08-10 07:34:21	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 10?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xd018cf…
08-06 07:02:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4cbee5…
08-06 07:01:50	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on August 6?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x4b1a10…
07-31 07:31:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbd6f3c…
07-31 07:30:51	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 31?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xbb1cce…
07-29 06:12:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 29?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0xbd73e5…
07-29 06:11:23	Will XRP dip to $0.85 on July 29?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa26ad3…
07-24 06:58:37	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 24	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf372e0…
07-24 06:56:36	will xrp reach 1pt25 on july 24	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa6a1f6…
07-23 06:43:21	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 23?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x517bdf…
07-22 07:21:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 22?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xbe54ac…
07-22 07:20:30	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 22?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x35049e…
07-20 06:01:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 20?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x52a9ea…
07-20 06:00:39	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 20?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x8ac96f…
07-18 07:19:21	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x61f543…
07-18 07:18:34	will xrp reach 1pt2 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xac1467…
07-17 06:54:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x362851…
07-17 06:52:28	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 17?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x27f3ca…
07-16 09:04:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 16?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0xe33f33…
07-16 09:02:16	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 16?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x0f3f22…
07-15 07:17:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 15?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0xd12cfa…
07-15 07:15:44	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 15?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x30b187…
07-14 09:29:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 14?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xfe04f6…
07-14 09:28:11	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 14?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x300660…
07-13 07:23:47	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3a996d…
07-13 07:22:16	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 13?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xaf3a39…
07-10 08:25:07	will bitcoin reach 71k on july 10	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x97f5a5…
07-10 08:23:50	will xrp reach 1pt3 on july 10	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x14e0ff…
07-08 09:19:25	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 8	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x78ed69…
07-08 09:15:11	will xrp reach 1pt2 on july 8	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x34e3de…
07-07 07:54:13	bitcoin above 60k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x5a3591…
07-07 07:50:20	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 7?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x68b3e0…
07-04 07:24:04	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 4	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x282a98…
07-04 07:22:40	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 4?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd1c2a1…
07-03 07:26:46	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xd7b4da…
07-03 07:25:56	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 3?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x308837…
07-02 06:40:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 2?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xa54741…
07-02 06:37:05	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 2?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x773d9d…
07-01 07:10:08	will xrp dip to 0pt95 on july 1	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x69e773…
07-01 07:08:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 1?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x85b5d6…
06-23 06:50:58	will xrp reach 1pt3 on june 23	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xde17b4…
06-23 06:49:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 23?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x2daf2a…
06-22 08:11:11	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 22?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x763883…
06-22 07:49:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 22?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x60d01c…
06-17 07:27:38	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x11859f…
06-17 07:24:50	bitcoin above 62k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xbe9297…
06-15 07:36:06	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 15?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xa1692f…
06-15 07:29:18	bitcoin above 70k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x9a2a4c…
06-12 07:06:03	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 12?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x767ef0…
06-12 07:05:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x4f7dad…
06-11 09:13:45	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xcf0a33…
06-11 09:11:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 11?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x4a10f1…
06-10 06:44:33	will xrp reach 1pt3 on june 10	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x14f34e…
06-10 06:43:43	will bitcoin reach 69k on june 10	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xd08874…
06-09 07:01:09	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 9?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd07af6…
06-09 06:59:58	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 9	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xec9de7…
06-08 07:15:24	xrp above 1pt3 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x1e70d1…
06-08 07:12:46	bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x174690…
06-05 07:29:25	xrp above 1pt2 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7ce81b…
06-05 07:28:07	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd282cf…
06-04 08:19:27	xrp above 1pt3 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcce9a1…
06-04 08:14:52	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xe2116f…
06-03 07:39:22	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5b4074…
06-03 07:37:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x131d0f…
06-02 07:41:07	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xab7582…
06-02 07:40:17	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x17f681…
06-01 07:45:15	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 1?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x5751f6…
06-01 07:43:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x235361…
05-30 07:41:57	Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd1e249…
05-30 07:41:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x118e38…
05-29 08:01:20	Will XRP reach $1.40 on May 29?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x7a6769…
05-29 07:59:57	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x49397d…
05-28 08:11:29	Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x89b040…
05-28 08:08:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x3f030d…
05-28 08:06:14	Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	861	1¢	$4	0x864eb6…
05-28 08:03:56	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe3eaa8…
05-27 09:29:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb0c8cf…
05-27 09:28:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x612b63…
05-26 08:09:57	Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x267a09…
05-26 08:09:35	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x3b8c60…
05-25 08:42:14	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	88	49¢	$43	0x631a7d…
05-25 08:39:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1e5e66…
05-22 05:20:56	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 22?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x404bb5…
05-22 05:19:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x92be67…
05-22 05:18:46	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2666c5…
02-02 11:26:40	dji up or down on february 2 2026	Up	BUY	590	37¢	$218	0x4d93e2…
02-02 11:26:38	dji up or down on february 2 2026	Up	BUY	1,130	37¢	$418	0x9788ac…
01-30 11:03:52	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf78cca…
01-30 10:59:46	ethereum above 3000 on january 30	No	SELL	1,644	99¢	$1,636	0xc9bf8e…
01-30 10:20:30	ethereum above 3000 on january 30	No	BUY	1,644	99¢	$1,636	0xfeddb9…