Arctic-Effect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

962

Trades

6,363

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 08-22 05:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% $-16

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774338300	24	$101	80	79	+1	open	—	03-24 07:49
btc updown 5m 1774336800	21	$29	66	0	+66	open	—	03-24 07:21
eth updown 5m 1774351800	12	$26	54	0	+54	open	—	03-24 11:31
btc updown 5m 1774353600	8	$24	48	0	+48	open	—	03-24 11:59
btc updown 5m 1774353000	9	$24	54	0	+54	open	—	03-24 11:50
eth updown 5m 1774353600	7	$22	42	0	+42	open	—	03-24 12:02
btc updown 5m 1774502400	9	$22	140	0	+140	open	—	03-26 05:23
btc updown 5m 1773846000	2	$22	36	2	+34	open	—	03-18 15:02
btc updown 5m 1774338000	13	$21	40	0	+40	open	—	03-24 07:43
btc updown 5m 1773859500	1	$20	87	0	+87	open	—	03-18 18:46
eth updown 5m 1773859800	1	$20	68	0	+68	open	—	03-18 18:52
eth updown 5m 1773860100	1	$20	84	0	+84	open	—	03-18 18:56
eth updown 5m 1774352400	7	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	03-24 11:38
eth updown 5m 1774350600	8	$19	38	0	+38	open	—	03-24 11:11
btc updown 5m 1774429800	5	$17	188	0	+188	open	—	03-25 09:14
btc updown 5m 1773859200	1	$15	284	0	+284	open	—	03-18 18:44
btc updown 5m 1773914100	6	$13	27	0	+27	open	—	03-19 09:54
btc updown 5m 1773914700	6	$13	26	0	+26	open	—	03-19 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	11	$12	22	0	+22	open	—	04-29 10:16
btc updown 5m 1773914400	5	$11	22	0	+22	open	—	03-19 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$11	18	0	+18	Up	$-11	05-12 10:18
btc updown 5m 1774686600	11	$11	27	0	+27	open	—	03-28 08:33
btc updown 5m 1773915300	5	$11	22	0	+22	open	—	03-19 10:15
btc updown 5m 1774524300	9	$11	140	0	+140	open	—	03-26 11:28
btc updown 5m 1773915900	5	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	03-19 10:28
btc updown 5m 1774171500	3	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	03-22 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	5	$10	36	0	+36	Down	+$26	05-05 22:01
btc updown 5m 1773913800	5	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	03-19 09:51
eth updown 5m 1773859200	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	03-18 18:41
btc updown 5m 1773857400	1	$10	53	0	+53	open	—	03-18 18:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 08:56:00	btc updown 5m 1787388900	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4d0528…
08-22 08:16:25	btc updown 5m 1787386500	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa518d6…
08-22 05:06:04	btc updown 5m 1787375100	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf98a73…
08-22 01:13:13	btc updown 5m 1787361000	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x58f77c…
08-22 01:12:45	btc updown 5m 1787361000	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x28a065…
08-21 17:51:19	btc updown 5m 1787334600	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xac6453…
08-21 04:18:06	btc updown 5m 1787285700	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x10f40d…
08-20 19:50:24	btc updown 5m 1787255400	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x14c107…
08-20 19:31:01	btc updown 5m 1787254200	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x75b66b…
08-20 19:21:31	btc updown 5m 1787253600	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5d73ca…
08-20 19:05:52	btc updown 5m 1787252700	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd96de3…
08-20 18:15:24	btc updown 5m 1787249700	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf0287d…
08-20 17:03:24	btc updown 5m 1787245200	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8c9d69…
08-20 16:20:52	btc updown 5m 1787242800	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9b2e4a…
08-20 14:40:30	btc updown 5m 1787236800	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe9260d…
08-20 14:25:43	btc updown 5m 1787235900	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x53e48a…
08-20 13:16:07	btc updown 5m 1787231700	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xaa33a6…
08-20 13:05:25	btc updown 5m 1787231100	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x075c51…
08-20 11:50:24	btc updown 5m 1787226600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6aa17e…
08-20 03:40:51	btc updown 5m 1787197200	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc01e3d…
08-20 02:16:07	btc updown 5m 1787192100	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x39f681…
08-20 00:23:13	btc updown 5m 1787185200	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa05125…
08-19 20:58:39	btc updown 5m 1787172900	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x36bf3b…
08-19 20:46:01	btc updown 5m 1787172300	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xfe460b…
08-19 19:57:09	btc updown 5m 1787169300	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3eff40…
08-19 19:02:27	btc updown 5m 1787166000	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x566553…
08-19 08:49:55	btc updown 15m 1787129100	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3a117f…
08-19 06:34:21	btc updown 15m 1787121000	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x45c91d…
08-19 01:09:01	btc updown 15m 1787101200	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xdc02f4…
08-19 00:20:43	btc updown 15m 1787098500	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x973d7f…
08-18 22:03:58	btc updown 15m 1787090400	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xde1583…
08-18 20:53:48	btc updown 15m 1787085900	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xab6fc2…
08-18 19:48:03	btc updown 15m 1787082300	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x223287…
08-18 16:56:16	btc updown 5m 1787072100	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xbfcfa3…
08-18 15:32:31	btc updown 15m 1787067000	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6b17df…
08-18 15:24:07	btc updown 15m 1787066100	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4926b8…
08-18 14:47:24	btc updown 15m 1787064300	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9520e9…
08-18 13:32:58	btc updown 15m 1787059800	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x632596…
08-18 12:23:25	btc updown 15m 1787055300	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5b07ea…
08-18 11:20:16	btc updown 15m 1787051700	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2760d0…
08-18 02:53:24	btc updown 5m 1787021400	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x29e866…
08-18 02:34:21	btc updown 15m 1787020200	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x680a88…
08-18 00:48:00	btc updown 15m 1787013900	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xf74ce9…
08-18 00:01:06	btc updown 5m 1787011200	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x37b0e5…
08-17 20:53:57	btc updown 15m 1786999500	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5e8630…
08-17 18:25:46	btc updown 5m 1786991100	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x3bd7ff…
08-17 18:02:21	btc updown 15m 1786989600	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xe88b6b…
08-17 16:03:19	btc updown 15m 1786982400	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x23a1e3…
08-17 14:36:15	btc updown 15m 1786977000	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3cdbd6…
08-17 14:18:10	btc updown 5m 1786976100	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9dcad1…
08-17 14:17:21	btc updown 15m 1786976100	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0bd216…
08-17 13:56:16	btc updown 5m 1786974900	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xee2c90…
08-17 10:49:55	btc updown 15m 1786963500	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x983f00…
08-17 01:48:01	btc updown 15m 1786931100	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7c05f0…
08-17 01:42:09	btc updown 5m 1786930800	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x7f8612…
08-17 00:08:10	btc updown 15m 1786924800	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7d1c41…
08-16 22:15:45	btc updown 5m 1786918500	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf2f22c…
08-16 22:15:45	btc updown 5m 1786918500	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0906dd…
08-16 22:15:43	btc updown 5m 1786918500	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x1f63bb…
08-16 22:10:43	btc updown 5m 1786918200	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xbd49fb…
08-16 21:46:25	btc updown 5m 1786916700	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd74086…
08-16 21:46:24	btc updown 5m 1786916700	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xe3edb3…
08-16 20:32:58	btc updown 15m 1786912200	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb36d8e…
08-16 02:16:07	btc updown 15m 1786846500	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x915ffe…
08-16 00:47:12	btc updown 15m 1786841100	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2fc29b…
08-15 23:18:34	btc updown 15m 1786835700	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3a7eb9…
08-15 23:05:54	btc updown 5m 1786835100	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0dedab…
08-15 21:42:25	btc updown 5m 1786830000	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf292ef…
08-15 04:48:33	btc updown 15m 1786769100	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa67e87…
08-14 23:02:03	btc updown 5m 1786748400	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc59371…
08-14 16:31:16	btc updown 5m 1786725000	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xeafcfc…
08-14 16:25:54	btc updown 5m 1786724700	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8e7726…
08-14 16:25:52	btc updown 5m 1786724700	Up	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x4cd5fe…
08-14 16:25:52	btc updown 5m 1786724700	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x37c663…
08-14 16:25:52	btc updown 5m 1786724700	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3639aa…
08-14 16:25:52	btc updown 5m 1786724700	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x14b483…
08-14 10:47:10	btc updown 5m 1786704300	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x22f22b…
08-14 06:20:42	btc updown 5m 1786688400	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9a8eb2…
08-14 00:16:43	btc updown 5m 1786666500	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf4910e…
08-13 23:11:45	btc updown 5m 1786662600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x713b79…
08-13 22:22:36	btc updown 5m 1786659600	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x913ed9…
08-13 22:17:03	btc updown 5m 1786659300	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x9b1cf3…
08-13 17:13:24	btc updown 5m 1786641000	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xfa2986…
08-13 17:13:24	btc updown 5m 1786641000	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$3	0x2e50ef…
08-13 14:43:28	btc updown 5m 1786632000	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf88505…
08-13 14:36:07	btc updown 5m 1786631700	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xd786ad…
08-13 14:30:37	btc updown 5m 1786631400	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xad1489…
08-13 10:11:49	btc updown 5m 1786615800	Down	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x234194…
08-13 05:26:04	btc updown 5m 1786598700	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x5aac16…
08-13 04:55:51	btc updown 5m 1786596900	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd19205…
08-13 03:25:24	btc updown 5m 1786591500	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x2582a1…
08-13 00:22:33	btc updown 5m 1786580400	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x670809…
08-12 13:55:55	btc updown 5m 1786542900	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xdbbee3…
08-12 13:21:28	btc updown 5m 1786540800	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xc7fb16…
08-12 13:00:42	btc updown 5m 1786539600	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x4d0a8c…
08-12 13:00:42	btc updown 5m 1786539600	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x292aa6…
08-12 12:41:55	btc updown 5m 1786538400	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x16d370…
08-12 12:06:40	btc updown 5m 1786536300	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb4299b…
08-12 08:07:45	btc updown 5m 1786521900	Up	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0xf933dd…
08-12 08:07:45	btc updown 5m 1786521900	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x04b1e4…