Identical-Independence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

168

Trades

2,965

lifetime

Volume

$27.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-16 00:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% $-48

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1769979600	5	$204	114	114	+0	open	—	02-01 21:06
btc updown 15m 1770234300	21	$169	194	12	+182	open	—	02-04 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$138	85	85	+0	Up	$-12	05-05 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	12	$129	97	68	+29	open	—	05-15 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$125	68	68	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$124	68	68	+0	open	—	05-14 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	4	$123	68	68	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	7	$122	68	68	+0	open	—	05-15 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	5	$120	86	66	+20	open	—	05-15 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$117	85	85	+0	Up	$-33	05-05 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	9	$109	102	68	+33	open	—	05-15 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$109	67	67	+0	open	—	05-15 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	8	$109	85	85	+0	Up	$-41	05-05 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	8	$109	84	84	+0	Down	$-38	05-05 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	7	$107	84	84	+0	Down	$-35	05-05 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$105	66	66	+0	open	—	05-15 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$105	57	57	+0	Down	+$5	05-05 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	9	$105	105	67	+38	open	—	05-14 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	9	$105	66	66	+0	Down	$-15	05-14 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$104	68	68	+0	Up	$-13	05-13 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$104	56	56	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$103	67	67	+0	open	—	05-14 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$102	68	68	+0	Down	$-18	05-13 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$102	68	68	+0	Down	$-17	05-14 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$100	68	68	+0	open	—	05-15 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	5	$98	67	67	+0	open	—	05-14 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$98	57	57	+0	Down	$-2	05-08 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	8	$98	93	68	+25	open	—	05-14 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$98	57	57	+0	Up	$-2	05-08 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$97	68	68	+0	Up	$-23	05-13 21:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 00:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	34	55¢	$19	0xd83ea2…
05-15 23:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xa9ede0…
05-15 23:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe26cac…
05-15 23:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x2b3365…
05-15 23:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x04917d…
05-15 23:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x4db7ba…
05-15 21:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0xde5af6…
05-15 21:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0xba0a1d…
05-15 21:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	43	37¢	$16	0xefccda…
05-15 21:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	35¢	$3	0x14180a…
05-15 21:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xfb60c4…
05-15 21:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf6fe08…
05-15 21:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	90¢	$34	0xf445c9…
05-15 21:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xedcb79…
05-15 21:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa12cb9…
05-15 21:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x1f31b8…
05-15 21:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xde5e74…
05-15 21:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xa539f9…
05-15 21:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x383533…
05-15 21:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x11db7c…
05-15 21:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0xdbd395…
05-15 20:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	67	78¢	$53	0x1c7331…
05-15 20:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	67	84¢	$57	0x473bb9…
05-15 20:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0xcf881c…
05-15 20:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x8cdb70…
05-15 20:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	39	88¢	$35	0x4d749e…
05-15 20:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x7e3f95…
05-15 20:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0x3703fc…
05-15 20:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x762e64…
05-15 19:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	66	69¢	$45	0x1c4246…
05-15 19:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xf27b2c…
05-15 19:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	91¢	$33	0x0d63c4…
05-15 18:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x19487f…
05-15 18:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	68	87¢	$59	0x06f55c…
05-15 15:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	68	68¢	$46	0x5e3990…
05-15 15:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0xf73e44…
05-15 15:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xcdc220…
05-15 15:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x7a0e10…
05-15 15:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xb2929a…
05-15 15:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x30d02f…
05-15 15:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x30a284…
05-15 15:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x142dd4…
05-15 15:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0x1d146e…
05-15 10:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	68	90¢	$62	0x3a0b6a…
05-15 10:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdb33cf…
05-15 10:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x9b4459…
05-15 10:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x8ecacf…
05-15 10:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x8cea30…
05-15 10:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x80029f…
05-15 10:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0x3097ba…
05-15 09:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	66	86¢	$57	0x0e6a1c…
05-15 09:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xe2dd9e…
05-15 09:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xe5d27a…
05-15 09:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x70ec7b…
05-15 09:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x292b81…
05-15 08:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	68	59¢	$40	0xc59258…
05-15 08:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0x842688…
05-15 07:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0xba1281…
05-15 04:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	88¢	$23	0x41c896…
05-15 04:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xd41153…
05-15 04:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x7c6cf8…
05-15 04:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0x30419b…
05-15 04:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0xea1e81…
05-15 03:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0x023ff9…
05-15 03:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xb6e49a…
05-15 03:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x82d7b4…
05-15 03:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x2c0a93…
05-15 03:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xe15f3f…
05-15 03:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe65219…
05-15 03:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xdc8ae6…
05-15 03:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xb0c7bd…
05-15 03:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x3f315f…
05-15 03:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x84d27e…
05-15 03:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$21	0x7c2f71…
05-15 03:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0xc7d15f…
05-15 03:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x524512…
05-15 00:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	68	38¢	$26	0xbd9d82…
05-15 00:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0x9457d0…
05-14 23:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	67	89¢	$60	0x2a27e9…
05-14 23:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0x09807f…
05-14 22:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	65	91¢	$60	0x423c15…
05-14 21:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xcc3135…
05-14 21:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	9¢	$3	0x8f2adf…
05-14 21:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0xb73141…
05-14 20:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	67	63¢	$42	0x2e3612…
05-14 20:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xcea606…
05-14 20:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x5200d7…
05-14 20:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	49	89¢	$44	0x4f7dc6…
05-14 20:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0xe5a2ba…
05-14 19:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	67	89¢	$60	0xa22d39…
05-14 14:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xee00ba…
05-14 14:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xc8f0d6…
05-14 14:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xc82ad8…
05-14 14:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x302238…
05-14 14:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2c9bbc…
05-14 14:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x199030…
05-14 14:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x04ce62…
05-14 14:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x47f879…
05-14 13:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x61d13e…
05-14 13:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x45bb7e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	878	$1.04K	2,636	05-16 00:04
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	866	$97.0K	16,801	05-15 23:38
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	820	$9.28K	8,653	05-11 11:34
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	808	$11.8K	1,801	05-16 00:04
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	808	$1.62K	4,239	05-16 00:05
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	797	$49.6K	7,103	05-15 21:54
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	780	$382.9K	25,088	05-15 23:39
Rubbery-Chiffonier 0xe8d6…c964	768	$4.52K	6,993	05-16 00:05