Identical-Independence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

2,112

Trades

3,138

lifetime

Volume

$30.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-20 21:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 76% +$53

Other

6% 24% -$29

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 7?	4	$291	272	97	+175	No	+$18	07-07 03:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 21:00 UTC	5	$204	114	114	+0	Down	+$4	02-01 21:06
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?	15	$202	196	196	+0	Yes	+$10	07-10 04:34
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 6?	1	$192	218	0	+218	No	+$26	07-06 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:45 UTC	21	$169	194	12	+182	Up	+$33	02-04 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 9?	9	$156	174	0	+174	No	+$18	07-09 05:03
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 10?	6	$144	92	92	+0	No	-$11	07-10 04:17
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 11?	6	$139	240	240	+0	No	-$96	07-11 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$138	85	85	+0	Up	-$12	05-05 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	12	$129	97	68	+29	Up	+$4	05-15 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	6	$129	86	68	+18	Up	+$3	05-15 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$125	68	68	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$124	68	68	+0	Down	+$4	05-14 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	4	$123	68	68	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	7	$122	68	68	+0	Down	+$1	05-15 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	5	$120	86	66	+20	Down	-$6	05-15 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$117	85	85	+0	Up	-$33	05-05 03:23
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 9?	6	$111	115	8	+107	No	-$101	07-09 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	9	$109	102	68	+33	Down	+$17	05-15 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$109	67	67	+0	Down	-$4	05-15 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	8	$109	85	85	+0	Up	-$41	05-05 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	8	$109	84	84	+0	Down	-$38	05-05 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	7	$107	84	84	+0	Down	-$35	05-05 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$105	66	66	+0	Up	-$15	05-15 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$105	57	57	+0	Down	+$5	05-05 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	9	$105	105	67	+38	Down	-$21	05-14 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	9	$105	66	66	+0	Down	-$15	05-14 01:18
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 9?	3	$105	67	67	+0	Yes	-$5	07-09 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$104	68	68	+0	Up	-$13	05-13 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$104	56	56	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 05:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 21:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 98-99°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x1adac5…
07-20 21:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 71°F or below on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x904d55…
07-20 21:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x86d2a5…
07-20 21:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 112-113°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x36a727…
07-20 21:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x645727…
07-20 21:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0xe7bf21…
07-20 21:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xff46b1…
07-20 21:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	128	1¢	$1	0xd58564…
07-20 21:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0x35644a…
07-20 21:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1010a9…
07-20 21:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0xd1e218…
07-20 21:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or below on July 21?	Yes	BUY	194	1¢	$1	0x895187…
07-20 21:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C or below on July 21?	Yes	BUY	272	0¢	$1	0xe81152…
07-20 21:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	490	0¢	$1	0x1a0a26…
07-20 21:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on July 21?	Yes	BUY	252	0¢	$1	0x0d02f0…
07-20 21:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5e84ed…
07-20 21:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x02f36a…
07-20 21:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb39785…
07-20 21:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	157	1¢	$1	0x04e92f…
07-20 21:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0xdbda9a…
07-20 21:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 98°F or higher on July 21?	Yes	BUY	433	0¢	$1	0x896dd8…
07-20 21:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C or below on July 21?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1506dd…
07-20 21:25:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 100°F or higher on July 21?	Yes	BUY	292	0¢	$1	0xce7051…
07-20 21:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x71f1f9…
07-20 21:25:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdefc56…
07-20 21:25:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x327538…
07-20 21:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or higher on July 21?	Yes	BUY	220	0¢	$1	0xea12b7…
07-20 21:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4b2500…
07-20 21:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	366	0¢	$1	0x74ea35…
07-20 21:25:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on July 21?	Yes	BUY	283	0¢	$1	0x052806…
07-20 21:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	186	1¢	$1	0x55dbe7…
07-20 21:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb17707…
07-20 21:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xba470c…
07-20 21:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 37°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	474	0¢	$1	0x43ed09…
07-20 21:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on July 21?	Yes	BUY	221	0¢	$1	0xf8c532…
07-20 21:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x560487…
07-20 21:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0ca5db…
07-20 21:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	186	1¢	$1	0x06775c…
07-20 21:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0f7216…
07-20 21:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x080452…
07-20 21:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 100-101°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	247	0¢	$1	0x9400f6…
07-20 21:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x880172…
07-20 21:25:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x025dfa…
07-20 21:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf7f5ac…
07-20 21:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	264	0¢	$1	0x5a7ede…
07-20 21:25:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	215	0¢	$1	0xc47c03…
07-20 21:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	188	1¢	$1	0x4b2fd5…
07-20 21:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x4aa9d4…
07-20 21:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x6a3c96…
07-20 21:25:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	359	0¢	$1	0x37deb8…
07-20 03:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 20?	No	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xa511f6…
07-20 03:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 20?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x89764e…
07-20 02:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x55bb1e…
07-20 02:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xcc0073…
07-20 02:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x44ee90…
07-20 02:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x8da4c0…
07-20 02:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xe76b01…
07-20 02:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x095444…
07-20 02:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xb72c48…
07-20 02:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 20?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$5	0x233adf…
07-11 05:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	57	50¢	$29	0x10e7cc…
07-11 05:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0xd14312…
07-11 05:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	93	4¢	$3	0x6fb274…
07-11 05:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x7fac07…
07-11 05:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x94b7c3…
07-11 05:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	48	10¢	$5	0x908b3e…
07-11 05:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x99bb3b…
07-11 05:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xb05cbc…
07-11 04:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x5f8a74…
07-11 04:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x1790f0…
07-11 04:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x7d5305…
07-11 04:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	46	3¢	$1	0xc32b76…
07-11 04:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	74	5¢	$4	0x2a7519…
07-11 04:49:26	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	63	16¢	$10	0x0f3de4…
07-10 18:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x3bde9f…
07-10 18:20:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	240	49¢	$117	0xbb8e7f…
07-10 12:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x762991…
07-10 12:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7a6f12…
07-10 12:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	115	37¢	$42	0x87cf7d…
07-10 04:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x2cd06f…
07-10 04:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	28	51¢	$14	0xa116fd…
07-10 04:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 10?	No	SELL	13	71¢	$9	0x28ecdb…
07-10 04:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 10?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$0	0xeb411f…
07-10 04:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 10?	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x873013…
07-10 04:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	19	49¢	$9	0x023024…
07-10 04:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 10?	No	SELL	12	71¢	$9	0x9749d7…
07-10 04:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 10?	No	SELL	52	72¢	$38	0xf5d696…
07-10 04:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	128	55¢	$71	0xe51bb8…
07-10 03:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	299	1¢	$3	0xfdc0f1…
07-10 01:31:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 10?	No	BUY	92	84¢	$78	0x322d4f…
07-09 20:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcd6601…
07-09 19:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x48e927…
07-09 18:44:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	96	49¢	$47	0x877a8d…
07-09 17:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x49cc60…
07-09 17:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4119f9…
07-09 17:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xca1223…
07-09 17:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdbb1e0…
07-09 17:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x90bf8f…
07-09 17:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x22aaee…
07-09 17:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x900175…