Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.4%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

173

298 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.24K

$1.53K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-29 21:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

64% 33% +$0

Politics

14% 40% $0

Crypto

9% 14% -$17

Tech

7% 0% -$1

Sports

6% 33% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 94k on january 5	21	$59	70	137	-67	No	+$15	01-05 03:11
Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	10-29 04:22
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	3	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	10-29 01:43
Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	10-29 20:45
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	10-30 01:01
Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	$0	10-23 23:16
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	10-26 13:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 90% or more?	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	10-24 03:36
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $57 Week of October 19 2026?	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	10-19 19:46
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.5% or more in September?	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-15 18:05
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 19 2026?	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	10-19 15:27
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	16	$37	45	45	+0	No	+$0	01-26 00:10
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 7, 2026?	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	10-29 16:30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 15%-20%?	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	10-24 08:41
Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	2	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	10-15 22:42
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	5	$36	20	20	+0	No	-$1	10-24 00:39
will ewy dip to 150 in october 2026	2	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	10-16 19:07
will google googl q3 search other revenue be above 20261008120050000 64b	3	$36	20	20	+0	No	-$1	10-13 21:51
Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 31?	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	10-29 14:45
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	10-16 01:10
Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) <6.5%?	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	$0	10-28 14:41
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	3	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$1	10-10 12:18
Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	2	$33	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	10-18 04:38
Will Anthropic raise between $115B and $125B in its IPO?	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	10-27 22:58
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	10-26 01:37
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	10-26 03:17
Will Omar Cooper Jr. have 899.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	2	$32	19	19	+0	open	—	10-15 14:38
McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 0% to 1%?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	10-18 15:16
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	3	$31	20	20	+0	No	+$1	10-10 05:16
Will Liam Hicks lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in RBI?	2	$31	20	20	+0	No	-$5	10-25 12:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 01:01:40	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x00c930…
10-30 01:01:36	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5995a8…
10-30 00:41:25	Will Ed Sheeran have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xb2e200…
10-30 00:41:24	Will Ed Sheeran have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xff0acf…
10-29 21:49:49	Will the Republican Party win the PA-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x33c282…
10-29 20:45:12	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x44b177…
10-29 20:45:10	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x961823…
10-29 19:29:58	Will Yashar win less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x357266…
10-29 19:25:58	Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xea3f38…
10-29 19:25:25	Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xebd86c…
10-29 19:11:00	Will the Republican Party win the PA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x404dd9…
10-29 19:05:58	Will Yashar win less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xcfa440…
10-29 19:05:39	Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x1b22f6…
10-29 17:51:20	Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x5a7b1f…
10-29 17:13:25	Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x7f0bd1…
10-29 16:30:28	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xaf4b82…
10-29 16:22:14	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc89f53…
10-29 15:44:22	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x08b3c9…
10-29 15:32:22	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x2bbcc4…
10-29 14:45:16	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 31?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xb39770…
10-29 14:45:13	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 31?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xb82efd…
10-29 13:54:23	Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xfb7931…
10-29 06:57:52	Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 28, 2026 and January 3, 2027?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbbac7a…
10-29 05:25:56	Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x6706e6…
10-29 04:31:17	Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1560 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x250e48…
10-29 04:22:50	Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xa7d136…
10-29 04:14:44	Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x6ec335…
10-29 04:06:29	Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x0cf682…
10-29 02:40:05	Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1560 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x63197d…
10-29 01:43:59	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x31e9d6…
10-29 00:14:01	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x18710b…
10-29 00:13:59	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x02fd67…
10-28 14:41:02	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) <6.5%?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xca44e1…
10-28 14:41:01	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) <6.5%?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x645353…
10-28 02:25:56	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xe66f6f…
10-28 02:25:53	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x0e024f…
10-28 02:15:35	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xc96a29…
10-28 02:15:32	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x9e2070…
10-27 22:58:06	Will Anthropic raise between $115B and $125B in its IPO?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x563d58…
10-27 17:04:33	Will Anthropic raise between $115B and $125B in its IPO?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x913873…
10-27 12:20:21	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x371635…
10-27 12:20:20	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x42dc32…
10-27 12:00:23	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x4d7da1…
10-27 12:00:21	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x8a3a2d…
10-26 20:37:53	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x188256…
10-26 20:17:44	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x7ec07d…
10-26 20:17:35	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x6e796b…
10-26 20:17:30	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9b4a56…
10-26 18:55:30	Will Michelle Obama win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x3c0044…
10-26 18:18:27	Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x5a92b1…
10-26 18:18:23	Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x133349…
10-26 17:05:09	Will Michelle Obama win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x923c21…
10-26 13:22:24	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xf03eec…
10-26 13:16:24	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xcaab77…
10-26 03:17:59	Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0x7a9e5b…
10-26 03:17:57	Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0xa068bf…
10-26 01:37:11	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0xeb3d19…
10-26 01:37:09	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x46487a…
10-25 23:04:26	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-47 House seat?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x01e08b…
10-25 23:04:23	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-47 House seat?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf8bba6…
10-25 18:02:59	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb324b1…
10-25 17:59:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9d1dae…
10-25 12:36:50	Will Liam Hicks lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in RBI?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xbe2774…
10-25 01:29:47	Will Liam Hicks lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in RBI?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xc995bf…
10-24 16:14:48	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xcb3408…
10-24 15:44:35	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x870144…
10-24 13:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 26?	No	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0x5b6169…
10-24 13:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 26?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x60ad3b…
10-24 11:44:47	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x322381…
10-24 11:44:44	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x05163c…
10-24 10:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x0ce67f…
10-24 10:20:53	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x88ae4b…
10-24 10:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe93bf9…
10-24 10:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbbfe24…
10-24 10:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x1483ab…
10-24 10:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x064621…
10-24 10:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf69f47…
10-24 09:07:02	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x543ec4…
10-24 09:07:00	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x0a9a72…
10-24 08:41:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x88182d…
10-24 08:41:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xe8cde7…
10-24 03:36:44	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 90% or more?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xdbf0cf…
10-24 03:36:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 90% or more?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x4eb6c4…
10-24 00:39:08	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x3b702b…
10-23 23:16:23	Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x78e57c…
10-23 23:16:20	Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x1a547d…
10-23 22:03:39	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	No	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0xe80fb8…
10-23 22:03:29	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xf47cae…
10-23 07:10:00	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $15M?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xb0914c…
10-23 05:58:47	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	No	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0xe0b6e5…
10-23 05:58:47	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5f247b…
10-23 03:09:59	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $15M?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x988066…
10-23 03:09:57	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $15M?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x6c96d7…
10-23 01:59:14	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x5b77af…
10-23 01:55:54	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x5bec13…
10-22 23:55:33	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x875115…
10-22 20:37:20	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xbf20c0…
10-21 20:25:17	Welltower (WELL) Q3 same store NOI (SSNOI) growth 21%+?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x01f29d…
10-21 20:25:08	Will Jackson Ragen win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x7eca52…
10-20 21:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or higher on October 22?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x842570…