Calm-Friend — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$233

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved

Trades

347

lifetime

Volume

$6.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 06-30 12:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% +$233

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	5	$517	455	455	+0	Down	+$166	05-10 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	2	$297	257	257	+0	Up	+$78	05-10 15:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$273	202	202	+0	open	—	05-03 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$260	196	196	+0	open	—	05-03 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$241	173	173	+0	open	—	05-02 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$202	124	124	+0	open	—	05-18 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	2	$130	405	405	+0	open	—	05-18 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	4	$122	203	203	+0	Down	+$16	05-11 07:57
eth updown 5m 1771608900	5	$115	93	91	+1	open	—	02-20 17:40
eth updown 5m 1776434100	3	$112	93	88	+5	open	—	04-17 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$111	83	83	+0	open	—	04-29 06:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$111	85	85	+0	Down	+$51	05-10 01:26
eth updown 15m 1771612200	8	$103	141	140	+1	open	—	02-20 18:38
eth updown 15m 1771610400	2	$100	72	71	+1	open	—	02-20 18:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$89	220	0	+220	open	—	05-21 16:48
eth updown 15m 1771614900	3	$89	65	64	+1	open	—	02-20 19:31
eth updown 15m 1772454600	3	$87	68	68	+1	open	—	03-02 12:45
eth updown 5m 1775986500	2	$87	63	60	+3	open	—	04-12 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	2	$84	202	202	+0	open	—	05-21 16:47
bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 1pm et	2	$81	75	75	+0	open	—	06-19 17:35
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	5	$80	112	59	+52	open	—	04-28 08:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$80	56	56	+0	Up	+$20	05-11 08:33
eth updown 5m 1772439900	2	$79	67	66	+1	open	—	03-02 08:28
ethereum up or down february 20 4pm et	7	$78	301	0	+301	open	—	02-20 21:52
eth updown 15m 1772458200	2	$72	62	62	+0	open	—	03-02 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$71	52	52	+0	Down	+$32	05-10 00:25
bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	12	$71	837	837	+0	open	—	06-30 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$71	51	51	+0	open	—	04-29 16:50
eth updown 5m 1772438700	3	$70	109	65	+44	open	—	03-02 08:09
btc updown 5m 1771500600	2	$66	41	40	+1	open	—	02-19 11:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 12:51:38	btc updown 15m 1782823500	Up	SELL	231	2¢	$5	0x346d74…
06-30 12:48:17	btc updown 15m 1782823500	Up	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0xd637cc…
06-30 12:46:58	btc updown 5m 1782823500	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xfc27cc…
06-30 12:46:16	btc updown 5m 1782823500	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe155da…
06-30 12:45:41	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	837	1¢	$6	0xfe2494…
06-30 12:42:14	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	169	3¢	$5	0x459ce2…
06-30 12:35:05	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x85a7b2…
06-30 12:27:10	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x0bf8db…
06-30 12:25:25	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x1a5ddf…
06-30 12:23:16	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xf46860…
06-30 12:20:37	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	46	20¢	$9	0x317a42…
06-30 12:20:22	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x963711…
06-30 12:20:17	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x80a8c8…
06-30 12:20:14	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0xe2644f…
06-30 12:20:14	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x506bb8…
06-30 12:20:13	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x20099a…
06-30 12:13:41	btc updown 5m 1782821400	Down	SELL	77	50¢	$38	0xc111c0…
06-30 12:12:47	btc updown 5m 1782821400	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x2264fb…
06-19 20:48:46	btc updown 15m 1781901900	Down	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0x9d41ce…
06-19 20:44:58	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xff6dfd…
06-19 20:31:55	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x1faf34…
06-19 20:29:28	btc updown 15m 1781900100	Up	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x4c407f…
06-19 20:25:46	btc updown 15m 1781900100	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x6b3214…
06-19 17:35:23	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	75	69¢	$52	0x805bc7…
06-19 17:30:08	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x0ab74b…
06-05 01:11:51	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0x177636…
05-21 16:48:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	220	41¢	$89	0x1cdfae…
05-21 16:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	202	2¢	$4	0xd853f6…
05-21 16:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	202	40¢	$80	0xa4770d…
05-18 00:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	405	2¢	$9	0x765afa…
05-18 00:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	405	30¢	$121	0x4aa706…
05-18 00:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	124	99¢	$122	0x6c2016…
05-17 23:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	124	65¢	$80	0x91b685…
05-17 23:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	131	15¢	$20	0xf9bec6…
05-17 13:58:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	93¢	$24	0x1e2f27…
05-17 13:56:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x18ef3a…
05-17 13:55:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x42a996…
05-17 13:52:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0xec50d6…
05-17 13:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xf12a3c…
05-11 08:33:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	56	89¢	$50	0xc31a4d…
05-11 08:29:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	56	53¢	$30	0xe49b91…
05-11 08:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x7cdc7d…
05-11 07:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	53	3¢	$2	0x082a80…
05-11 07:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	150	45¢	$68	0xaa24ac…
05-11 07:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x83173d…
05-11 07:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	150	29¢	$43	0xc79320…
05-10 22:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	21¢	$12	0x21dbcc…
05-10 22:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xd0a305…
05-10 22:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x6f96b2…
05-10 22:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xe0be21…
05-10 21:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x977c58…
05-10 21:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x8e9499…
05-10 21:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0xb23db1…
05-10 16:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	400	75¢	$300	0xfcf545…
05-10 16:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0xa121cc…
05-10 16:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	22	75¢	$16	0x8b8314…
05-10 16:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0xb4fbb2…
05-10 16:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	455	39¢	$175	0x03454f…
05-10 15:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	257	73¢	$188	0x43d761…
05-10 15:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	257	43¢	$109	0x9eb4d9…
05-10 07:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	65	29¢	$19	0x2b0dab…
05-10 07:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	24¢	$9	0x20ad11…
05-10 07:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x360d4b…
05-10 07:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x664811…
05-10 07:10:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	48¢	$8	0x11e7ff…
05-10 07:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x6a499d…
05-10 01:26:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	85	95¢	$81	0xcaf0cc…
05-10 01:18:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0x5db9e8…
05-10 01:13:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	39	81¢	$32	0x048027…
05-10 01:13:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	39	42¢	$16	0x2ff8fd…
05-10 01:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xaa53d3…
05-10 01:03:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x834857…
05-10 01:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x47d152…
05-10 00:58:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x6a2dba…
05-10 00:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	86	46¢	$40	0xf2a9b3…
05-10 00:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xdd5dfb…
05-10 00:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x7095d7…
05-10 00:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0xdb1709…
05-10 00:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x2dee31…
05-10 00:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x9cd765…
05-10 00:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x695141…
05-03 10:52:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	114	30¢	$34	0x22a596…
05-03 10:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x71f892…
05-03 10:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1ec631…
05-03 10:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0xa3dbe3…
05-03 10:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	47	38¢	$18	0xf5d939…
05-03 10:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x5afb98…
05-03 02:18:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	202	88¢	$178	0x66b797…
05-03 02:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	202	47¢	$95	0x990306…
05-03 02:07:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x143ce3…
05-03 02:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x83179d…
05-03 01:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc7cac1…
05-03 01:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x0f595d…
05-03 01:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	196	84¢	$165	0x9439ac…
05-03 01:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	196	49¢	$95	0x6c5dba…
05-02 22:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	173	99¢	$171	0xd8b22c…
05-02 21:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	173	40¢	$70	0xe6e2b3…
04-29 17:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	124	4¢	$5	0x7dc56e…
04-29 17:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	55	28¢	$15	0x996ff9…
04-29 17:29:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	172	1¢	$1	0xfa29fc…