Realized P&L
-$415
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
43.0%
Resolved
15
Trades
27
lifetime
Volume
$1.95K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$72
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 05-18 03:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
53%
60%
+$142
Other
47%
0%
-$557
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will trump visit china by march 31 | 3 | $395 | 292 | 292 | +0 | No | +$175 | 03-18 02:43 |
| Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22? | 3 | $337 | 257 | 257 | +0 | No | -$2 | 05-14 14:20 |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | 4 | $314 | 477 | 477 | +0 | Yes | -$286 | 03-30 02:37 |
| Will Marco Rubio visit China by June 30, 2026? | 2 | $160 | 3,946 | 0 | +3,946 | Yes | -$160 | 05-13 05:13 |
| will uae strike iran by march 31 | 2 | $116 | 158 | 0 | +158 | No | +$42 | 03-10 02:28 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 2 | $105 | 417 | 417 | +0 | No | -$95 | 03-26 01:25 |
| Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22? | 1 | $100 | 119 | 0 | +119 | No | +$19 | 05-13 05:25 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 1 | $100 | 149 | 0 | +149 | No | +$49 | 03-10 07:45 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 1 | $100 | 176 | 0 | +176 | No | -$100 | 03-11 01:15 |
| will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31 | 1 | $100 | 127 | 0 | +127 | No | +$27 | 03-19 15:50 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 2 | $51 | 619 | 0 | +619 | Yes | -$51 | 04-08 01:16 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 1 | $30 | 100 | 0 | +100 | Yes | -$30 | 03-31 05:55 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | 2 | $27 | 28 | 28 | +0 | Yes | +$7 | 03-31 00:32 |
| Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026? | 1 | $10 | 3,814 | 0 | +3,814 | Yes | -$10 | 05-13 04:51 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | 1 | $1 | 111 | 0 | +111 | No | -$1 | 05-18 03:26 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||