Wary-Octagon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$170

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 05-18 03:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

53% — —

Other

47% 0% $-170

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump visit china by march 31	3	$395	292	292	+0	open	—	03-18 02:43
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	3	$337	257	257	+0	open	—	05-14 14:20
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$314	477	477	+0	open	—	03-30 02:37
Will Marco Rubio visit China by June 30, 2026?	2	$160	3,946	0	+3,946	Yes	$-160	05-13 05:13
will uae strike iran by march 31	2	$116	158	0	+158	open	—	03-10 02:28
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$105	417	417	+0	open	—	03-26 01:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$100	176	0	+176	open	—	03-11 01:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$100	149	0	+149	open	—	03-10 07:45
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	1	$100	119	0	+119	open	—	05-13 05:25
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$100	127	0	+127	open	—	03-19 15:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$51	619	0	+619	open	—	04-08 01:16
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$30	100	0	+100	open	—	03-31 05:55
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$27	28	28	+0	open	—	03-31 00:32
Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	3,814	0	+3,814	Yes	$-10	05-13 04:51
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	111	0	+111	open	—	05-18 03:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 03:26:16	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x9c99f0…
05-14 14:20:54	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	SELL	257	65¢	$168	0xd5f0bb…
05-13 09:49:15	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	BUY	105	66¢	$69	0x589fc3…
05-13 05:26:10	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x9c71c8…
05-13 05:25:30	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x626be4…
05-13 05:13:27	Will Marco Rubio visit China by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,625	5¢	$130	0xb4c8b0…
05-13 04:57:27	Will Marco Rubio visit China by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,320	2¢	$30	0xca870e…
05-13 04:51:37	Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,814	0¢	$10	0x1131fc…
04-08 01:16:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x8198ac…
03-31 05:55:07	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x285bf5…
03-31 00:32:25	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	28	60¢	$17	0x67d94f…
03-30 02:37:54	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	SELL	477	3¢	$14	0xb253b9…
03-26 01:25:57	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	417	1¢	$5	0x708e82…
03-26 01:24:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xc4c9ae…
03-24 16:37:41	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x29340d…
03-19 15:51:13	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x82f1d3…
03-19 15:50:49	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xce16ac…
03-18 02:43:23	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	292	98¢	$285	0xb0293b…
03-16 14:19:43	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xfa4c91…
03-11 01:15:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x3d4cf4…
03-10 11:59:19	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x159307…
03-10 11:59:01	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	267	38¢	$100	0x3a2cbe…
03-10 08:28:15	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x1582de…
03-10 07:45:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xf4b99f…
03-10 02:32:17	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xed81b4…
03-10 02:28:25	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xdcca18…
03-08 15:25:43	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	23	69¢	$16	0x338853…