Troubled-Period — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.54K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.01K

Hit rate

42.6%

Resolved

112

Trades

1,538

lifetime

Volume

$7.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$534

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 11-04 04:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 15% -$214

Other

35% 23% -$1,299

Sports

18% 0% -$15

Tech

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 767 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+72,429	$1,254	1¢	$507	-$747	11-03 22:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?	No		+5,194	$236	0¢	$23	-$213	11-04 04:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4?	No	—	+2,451	$52	0¢	$4	-$48	11-04 04:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	804	$1.3K	214,853	1,331	+213,521	No	-$912	10-26 22:50
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	92	$1.3K	72,429	0	+72,429	open	—	11-03 22:08
bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	26	$316	1,697	1,075	+621	Yes	+$148	06-05 15:55
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	46	$311	48,806	0	+48,806	No	-$311	10-21 18:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	3	$269	1,698	1,698	+0	Yes	+$14	10-30 11:14
bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	23	$241	6,364	468	+5,896	Yes	+$20	07-13 15:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	15	$241	378	378	+0	No	+$226	06-02 15:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?	8	$236	5,194	0	+5,194	open	—	11-04 04:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	19	$234	10,840	0	+10,840	Yes	-$234	10-29 13:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 31?	2	$203	440	440	+0	Yes	+$45	10-30 14:27
bitcoin above 62k on july 8 2026	10	$193	450	450	+0	No	+$148	07-08 08:45
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	4	$168	465	314	+151	No	+$9	07-10 20:54
bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	10	$158	290	290	+0	Yes	+$131	07-24 15:19
bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	7	$116	151	151	+0	Yes	+$31	07-10 14:55
epl bre eve 2026 04 11 draw	6	$107	111	108	+3	Yes	+$93	04-11 15:53
bitcoin above 66k on april 2	3	$107	148	146	+2	Yes	+$6	04-02 12:04
bitcoin above 62k on july 9 2026	7	$102	3,969	1,136	+2,833	Yes	-$12	07-09 15:14
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	9	$98	594	594	+0	No	-$20	04-13 11:42
epl mun lee 2026 04 13 draw	4	$87	368	368	-0	No	+$50	04-13 20:40
bitcoin above 68k on april 3	3	$86	64	64	+0	No	+$17	04-02 11:09
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	4	$84	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$24	07-13 04:30
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	9	$73	1,329	1,236	+93	No	-$13	07-24 17:42
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	37	$70	7,172	7,172	+0	No	-$53	07-10 12:12
bitcoin above 60k on june 8 2026	8	$66	740	0	+740	Yes	-$66	06-08 10:55
bitcoin above 70k on april 13	4	$57	200	19	+181	Yes	-$47	04-13 00:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4?	5	$52	2,451	0	+2,451	open	—	11-04 04:31
bitcoin above 74k on april 17	3	$51	92	18	+74	Yes	-$32	04-16 14:08
bitcoin above 78k on september 4 2026	4	$50	735	0	+735	Yes	-$50	09-04 12:41
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	2	$48	200	200	+0	No	-$9	07-10 20:36
will gold gc settle over 4600 on the final trading day of march 2026	4	$48	50	50	+0	Yes	+$20	03-31 13:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 04:31:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	405	1¢	$2	0xf2dc20…
11-04 04:10:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	351	4¢	$15	0xe75030…
11-04 04:08:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	400	5¢	$19	0x8358b6…
11-04 04:07:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	254	5¢	$12	0x2987d1…
11-04 04:03:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	450	5¢	$24	0xd9e059…
11-04 04:03:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	644	5¢	$33	0x8a2d98…
11-04 03:58:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	630	1¢	$8	0x4b4e61…
11-04 03:43:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	268	1¢	$4	0x26ddab…
11-03 22:08:19	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	4,645	1¢	$26	0xfe567c…
11-03 21:03:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	2,071	3¢	$54	0xd4c337…
11-03 19:55:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	572	4¢	$20	0x51e6ca…
11-03 19:53:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	205	1¢	$3	0x603ac3…
11-03 19:51:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	1,003	2¢	$23	0xa91025…
11-02 21:46:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	72	6¢	$4	0x0374d0…
11-02 21:43:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	451	13¢	$58	0x230b84…
11-02 21:40:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	943	4¢	$35	0x789574…
10-31 14:28:04	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x1cdea1…
10-31 14:26:39	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x42e71a…
10-31 14:26:25	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5d952b…
10-31 14:26:19	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0xdc5f83…
10-31 14:25:52	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	601	0¢	$1	0x76775f…
10-31 14:20:04	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0x3b888c…
10-31 14:15:40	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	2,885	0¢	$9	0x18376b…
10-31 14:12:43	Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	48	1¢	$0	0x6f0109…
10-30 14:27:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 31?	No	SELL	440	28¢	$124	0x5fe693…
10-30 12:26:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0xde6c3c…
10-30 12:24:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	440	18¢	$79	0xc41b06…
10-30 12:23:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x8cffa1…
10-30 12:18:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	164	4¢	$7	0x0b5f49…
10-30 12:09:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	332	4¢	$14	0xb65fa4…
10-30 12:08:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	505	1¢	$6	0x61a938…
10-30 12:06:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	510	1¢	$6	0x360d01…
10-30 12:05:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	400	1¢	$6	0xa02f52…
10-30 11:14:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	1,698	8¢	$142	0x6c910d…
10-30 09:04:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	189	8¢	$14	0x76ea6b…
10-30 09:01:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	1,509	8¢	$113	0x359faf…
10-30 08:56:16	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	701	0¢	$3	0xe9bcef…
10-29 15:41:22	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	206	1¢	$2	0x228bb8…
10-29 15:40:49	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	201	1¢	$2	0x44d895…
10-29 13:08:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	3,557	1¢	$28	0x608143…
10-29 13:06:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	443	1¢	$4	0xbd0aaa…
10-29 13:05:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$8	0xeb4c43…
10-29 13:03:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	1,292	1¢	$14	0xdfaf9f…
10-29 12:27:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	712	0¢	$3	0x4269d6…
10-29 08:17:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0xc73890…
10-29 08:16:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0xcdfde9…
10-29 07:29:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	230	0¢	$0	0x209dd1…
10-29 06:49:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa54299…
10-29 06:31:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	111	0¢	$0	0x8a77d4…
10-29 06:00:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x8166f3…
10-29 05:19:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	411	3¢	$14	0x778a7c…
10-29 05:18:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0x123570…
10-29 05:12:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0xebfb81…
10-29 05:12:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xa6626f…
10-29 05:12:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x54988a…
10-29 05:11:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xd1e0fe…
10-29 05:09:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0x4e9f75…
10-29 05:09:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x31aa36…
10-29 05:05:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	1,670	4¢	$65	0x7729da…
10-29 04:54:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	1,121	4¢	$48	0xb71f8c…
10-29 04:50:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	132	1¢	$1	0x79e117…
10-29 04:49:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	444	4¢	$19	0x2b9e0b…
10-29 04:48:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	435	4¢	$16	0xac2a9a…
10-29 04:47:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0xf65d1b…
10-29 04:46:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0x8c1466…
10-29 04:43:41	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x54492e…
10-28 14:57:08	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xa96b4f…
10-26 22:50:36	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8,832	0¢	$9	0xff13fd…
10-26 22:50:35	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xeb660e…
10-26 22:50:33	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x51df62…
10-26 22:50:32	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x90b044…
10-26 22:50:30	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x6a7446…
10-26 22:50:26	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xec5fdb…
10-26 22:50:26	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	176	0¢	$0	0xaceef3…
10-26 22:50:26	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2676d5…
10-26 22:50:24	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	185	0¢	$0	0xf4fa97…
10-26 22:50:24	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	850	0¢	$1	0x2590f3…
10-26 22:50:24	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0x20a2de…
10-26 22:50:24	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x197ca3…
10-26 22:50:20	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0xb5fcba…
10-26 22:50:17	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xca93e4…
10-26 22:50:15	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x09a3ca…
10-26 22:50:12	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x9f4404…
10-26 22:50:11	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x080a1f…
10-26 22:50:06	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xe4d400…
10-26 22:50:06	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xcb25a5…
10-26 22:50:06	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x7a53f2…
10-26 22:50:06	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x2ef75d…
10-26 22:50:06	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x25038e…
10-26 22:50:06	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x02ce10…
10-26 22:50:00	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe85cba…
10-26 22:50:00	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x639587…
10-26 22:49:59	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xad6321…
10-26 22:49:57	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd2d0ac…
10-26 22:49:56	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbfc2aa…
10-26 22:49:56	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x30dcc3…
10-26 22:49:54	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xecd060…
10-26 22:49:54	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x24e99b…
10-26 22:49:54	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0x1ee327…
10-26 22:49:53	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xf94d62…