Crafty-Density — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-05 11:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 91% -$1

Other

43% 79% -$12

Politics

5% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
solana above 160 on january 13	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	01-13 12:32
ethereum above 2700 on january 6	1	$104	104	+104	Yes	+$0	01-05 12:08
bitcoin above 100k on january 9	1	$104	104	+104	No	+$0	01-08 13:59
ethereum above 2200 on april 5	1	$96	96	+96	No	+$0	04-05 11:11
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	1	$96	96	+96	No	+$0	03-31 13:58
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	1	$96	96	+96	No	+$0	04-07 11:13
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 24	1	$95	95	+95	No	+$0	03-24 11:00
will ready or not 2 here i come opening weekend box office be less than 7m	1	$95	95	+95	No	+$0	03-22 12:32
will reminders of him opening weekend box office be between 13m and 16m	1	$95	95	+95	No	+$0	03-15 04:48
bitcoin above 62k on march 9	1	$95	95	+95	Yes	+$0	03-09 12:20
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 320 339	1	$95	95	+95	No	+$0	03-05 11:53
ethereum above 1700 on march 20	1	$95	95	+95	Yes	+$0	03-19 11:05
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	04-27 10:43
ethereum above 2100 on april 21	1	$94	94	+94	Yes	+$0	04-21 11:54
ethereum above 2700 on april 18	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	04-18 02:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	06-02 12:45
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	05-04 09:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$92	92	+92	Yes	+$0	05-21 10:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	1	$92	92	+92	Yes	+$0	05-22 12:38
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	05-10 10:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?	1	$92	92	+92	Yes	+$0	05-06 12:59
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	06-14 10:53
Iran leadership change by April 30?	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	04-30 13:53
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	1	$64	64	+64	Yes	+$0	04-16 10:38
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	1	$62	62	+62	No	+$0	04-08 11:03
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	1	$58	58	+58	Yes	+$0	01-29 11:14
gervonta davis arrested by january 23 2026	1	$54	57	+57	No	+$3	01-23 11:49
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	05-26 12:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	1	$41	41	+41	Yes	+$0	05-26 13:19
will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	1	$34	34	+34	No	+$0	02-12 10:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 11:48:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbcf49c…
10-05 11:44:47	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x366293…
09-20 09:15:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf753dd…
09-20 09:11:54	Saints vs. Ravens	Ravens	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x7d7791…
08-26 09:09:19	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in August?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x27a934…
07-17 11:41:10	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfc8227…
06-14 10:53:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x3d0633…
06-02 12:45:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x8b576e…
05-26 13:19:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xa3d5ca…
05-26 12:53:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on May 27?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x3b6e0d…
05-26 12:50:43	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8219db…
05-22 12:38:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x9f2828…
05-21 10:23:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x3de983…
05-10 10:25:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xb874c3…
05-06 12:59:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xf3cf9c…
05-04 09:15:32	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xbbc468…
04-30 13:54:10	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xf906bf…
04-30 13:53:02	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x6711b5…
04-27 10:43:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x4f3be1…
04-21 11:54:54	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x7aaec6…
04-18 02:26:22	ethereum above 2700 on april 18	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xd54b28…
04-16 10:38:26	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x8573ac…
04-16 10:26:22	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0x92c84b…
04-16 10:24:54	bitcoin above 80k on april 16	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xad28c6…
04-08 11:14:17	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on april 10	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x93dbcf…
04-08 11:07:19	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 9	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x402fc8…
04-08 11:03:07	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x61e28b…
04-07 11:13:49	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xeb7cbd…
04-05 11:11:15	ethereum above 2200 on april 5	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x5bb13d…
03-31 13:58:27	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xba0d42…
03-24 11:00:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 24	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x510c74…
03-22 12:32:21	will ready or not 2 here i come opening weekend box office be less than 7m	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xc16787…
03-20 13:57:41	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 190 214	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6bfb54…
03-19 11:05:59	ethereum above 1700 on march 20	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x4bb015…
03-15 04:48:21	will reminders of him opening weekend box office be between 13m and 16m	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xb2d6db…
03-09 12:20:01	bitcoin above 62k on march 9	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x47ac37…
03-05 11:53:03	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 320 339	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xf71f3d…
02-12 10:41:55	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 215 239	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x77960e…
02-12 10:33:27	will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x9f18aa…
02-12 10:25:53	will procreate pocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 13	Yes	BUY	176	1¢	$1	0x944d25…
02-12 10:24:55	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 240plus	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xc49244…
02-01 13:28:18	will russia strike kyiv on february 2 2026	Yes	BUY	99	10¢	$10	0x44c358…
02-01 13:26:02	cs2 navi ts7 2026 02 01	Spirit	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0x8cd162…
01-29 11:19:48	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x0315dd…
01-29 11:14:28	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x840227…
01-23 11:49:50	gervonta davis arrested by january 23 2026	No	BUY	57	94¢	$54	0xd72fe4…
01-23 11:46:50	will it snow in new york city this weekend january 24 26 239	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x892e2e…
01-23 10:41:10	elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 140 164	No	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0x9fd9e0…
01-13 12:32:47	solana above 160 on january 13	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xd2647d…
01-08 13:59:58	bitcoin above 100k on january 9	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xa34b52…
01-05 12:08:07	ethereum above 2700 on january 6	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xb3f6e2…