Speedy-Nibble — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.17K

Unrealized P&L

-$41

Hit rate

98.3%

Resolved

Trades

894

lifetime

Volume

$26.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$261

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-04 08:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

82% 67% +$1,169

Pop-Culture

7% — —

Sports

6% — —

Politics

5% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	-542	$-81	25¢	$-135	$-54	06-04 08:21
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No	-140	$-80	53¢	$-74	+$5	06-02 23:33
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	-174	$-59	30¢	$-51	+$8	05-28 21:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will argentinas monthly inflation in march 2026 be between 3pt1 and 3pt3	43	$3.3K	2,191	2,191	+0	open	—	04-14 23:32
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	33	$2.5K	1,636	1,519	+116	open	—	04-28 08:01
will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	25	$2.2K	2,974	2,472	+502	open	—	03-25 19:12
will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	55	$1.6K	2,737	1,959	+778	open	—	03-26 11:00
will sinners win 3 or fewer awards at the oscars	10	$1.5K	2,014	2,014	+0	open	—	03-16 01:54
Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	12	$1.3K	851	851	+0	open	—	05-19 00:36
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	15	$956	1,480	1,480	+0	open	—	04-06 15:17
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	17	$897	2,456	1,549	+907	Yes	+$804	04-24 16:47
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	6	$663	565	565	+0	open	—	04-10 13:28
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	16	$663	3,248	1,648	+1,600	open	—	03-18 21:00
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	9	$611	424	423	+2	open	—	03-18 12:17
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	14	$575	1,881	1,881	+0	open	—	04-16 00:29
will the us add at least 100k jobs in march	7	$562	437	428	+8	open	—	04-03 12:31
will the us add between 50k and 100k jobs in march	15	$560	1,170	913	+258	open	—	04-02 20:28
will mexicos february unemployment rate be less than or equal to 2pt4	20	$494	999	713	+287	open	—	03-27 12:12
will the central bank of colombia announce an increase at the march meeting	21	$479	264	264	-0	open	—	03-31 18:51
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	10	$476	1,211	697	+514	No	+$372	04-28 00:02
will argentinas monthly inflation in february 2026 be between 2pt8 and 3pt0	35	$463	727	727	+0	open	—	03-05 23:54
Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	4	$362	335	335	+0	open	—	05-17 08:35
will argentinas monthly inflation in february 2026 be between 2pt5 and 2pt7	14	$353	443	443	+0	open	—	03-12 18:07
will two people exchanging saliva win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	9	$347	253	253	+0	open	—	03-16 00:19
will annual inflation increase by 3pt3 in march	3	$317	220	216	+4	open	—	04-10 12:37
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$315	237	237	-0	open	—	04-07 23:08
will cd win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	11	$267	499	499	+0	open	—	03-12 19:49
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	5	$248	315	315	+0	open	—	04-14 09:03
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 1pt0 and 1pt5	5	$246	236	236	+0	open	—	02-20 13:40
Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?	9	$228	235	235	+0	open	—	04-16 11:40
will one battle after another win exactly 5 awards at the oscars	14	$225	517	517	+0	open	—	03-07 15:24
will pacto histrico win 27 29 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election 315 883	20	$216	832	832	+0	open	—	03-18 12:14
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	2	$204	171	171	+0	open	—	05-14 16:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 08:21:18	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	542	15¢	$81	0xfb94a8…
06-02 23:33:51	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x1d05bf…
05-29 14:59:38	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No	SELL	90	60¢	$54	0x69bbe9…
05-28 21:39:58	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	158	34¢	$54	0x36a2ec…
05-28 16:41:30	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	16	34¢	$5	0x482b52…
05-19 00:36:30	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	SELL	848	100¢	$847	0xf92484…
05-19 00:36:25	Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$51	0x5a73fc…
05-18 19:16:13	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xb4a796…
05-18 17:50:35	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	208	55¢	$115	0x89eb96…
05-18 17:49:22	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	222	55¢	$122	0x004bff…
05-18 17:49:06	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	56	55¢	$31	0xd5f28e…
05-18 17:40:35	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x13c5da…
05-18 17:31:38	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0xacccbd…
05-18 16:54:37	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xb3e218…
05-18 16:52:08	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xf64dbc…
05-18 16:41:02	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd19510…
05-18 12:59:22	Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x9d9217…
05-17 08:35:28	Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xcd2dcc…
05-16 20:27:41	Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	138	66¢	$91	0x13b36f…
05-15 18:28:57	Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	186	70¢	$130	0x4fe14e…
05-15 18:25:24	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x836d55…
05-15 15:22:19	Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	335	40¢	$134	0x24ee4b…
05-15 15:10:30	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	240	49¢	$118	0x30e36d…
05-15 15:08:00	Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0xec8063…
05-14 16:22:40	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	SELL	171	55¢	$94	0x5728f5…
05-14 16:13:33	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	171	64¢	$110	0x2d85f1…
04-28 08:01:22	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0xed6734…
04-28 07:11:46	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.5%?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x9fda45…
04-28 07:10:50	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	211	95¢	$200	0x197c9e…
04-28 06:23:52	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x3bbc9f…
04-28 02:06:08	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x563f3b…
04-28 01:28:50	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xc7c7a3…
04-28 01:01:12	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x0e77ad…
04-28 00:02:48	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	No	SELL	514	24¢	$125	0x0aef67…
04-27 22:45:50	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa032d1…
04-27 11:42:28	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	No	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0xd6de2f…
04-27 11:42:22	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x38bd93…
04-27 09:46:42	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf71e8f…
04-27 07:40:46	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3675ec…
04-27 07:40:46	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x25499e…
04-27 07:09:30	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	No	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xdc743d…
04-27 06:03:22	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0x9df7d4…
04-27 03:23:16	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x219ab9…
04-27 00:32:56	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x43330f…
04-26 20:43:00	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x40bc96…
04-24 16:47:10	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x2223c8…
04-24 16:46:34	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	No	BUY	629	28¢	$177	0xdc0894…
04-24 16:46:34	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	No	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x943942…
04-24 16:46:20	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	No	BUY	365	26¢	$95	0x4be6b9…
04-24 11:27:14	Will no one dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	107	4¢	$4	0x30c4d2…
04-23 21:17:38	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x25ec49…
04-23 20:36:32	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x4f18b2…
04-23 20:31:28	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	57	17¢	$10	0xb49632…
04-23 03:33:24	Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x889c58…
04-23 03:32:24	Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x8842d1…
04-22 19:36:48	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	127	88¢	$112	0xadf917…
04-22 13:45:14	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	550	10¢	$55	0x532f54…
04-22 13:44:52	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	123	9¢	$11	0xf9f820…
04-22 11:26:50	Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xe6dd40…
04-21 22:53:46	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	250	14¢	$36	0x4131ce…
04-21 22:51:46	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	180	8¢	$15	0xbcd14d…
04-21 22:51:36	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	1,139	8¢	$94	0x289ba7…
04-21 11:47:52	Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?	Yes	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0xda2538…
04-21 11:45:20	Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?	Yes	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0x5fa7ad…
04-21 11:45:10	Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?	Yes	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0xfedd8c…
04-21 11:01:00	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	338	90¢	$305	0x76e289…
04-20 18:30:34	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x1ece98…
04-20 18:30:28	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	22	73¢	$16	0x9443e3…
04-20 18:29:52	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0x7ce390…
04-20 18:26:36	Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x9858cc…
04-20 11:15:38	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0xe72e29…
04-20 09:32:38	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	123	15¢	$18	0x08ae5f…
04-17 15:43:54	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	64	40¢	$26	0x177a1f…
04-17 15:43:04	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	50¢	$10	0xd100f7…
04-17 15:37:56	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	213	50¢	$107	0xe66b6e…
04-17 15:37:36	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	109	50¢	$54	0xe8eb94…
04-17 15:37:34	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	102	50¢	$51	0xbf8180…
04-17 15:37:34	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x8dbe14…
04-17 13:48:38	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	62	19¢	$12	0x12a66a…
04-17 13:18:46	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	64	20¢	$13	0xe14a24…
04-17 11:54:08	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	219	18¢	$39	0x5cf9cd…
04-17 11:54:08	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x46205a…
04-16 22:44:50	Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xedeb54…
04-16 19:13:54	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	84	31¢	$26	0x3e1aad…
04-16 19:09:56	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xc749fd…
04-16 16:43:48	Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	47	30¢	$14	0xe371c3…
04-16 16:30:08	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	No	SELL	182	23¢	$42	0x18277e…
04-16 12:50:14	Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	236	20¢	$47	0x3b6b14…
04-16 12:01:28	Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xbd330a…
04-16 11:40:40	Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?	No	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0xba9251…
04-16 10:51:06	Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x80f38b…
04-16 10:51:06	Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?	No	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x53d941…
04-16 10:50:52	Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	283	3¢	$9	0xc31eb7…
04-16 02:13:24	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	727	18¢	$131	0x407c93…
04-16 00:29:32	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$9	0xaa801d…
04-15 18:37:50	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	332	4¢	$14	0x3df479…
04-15 16:33:50	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0xa1b121…
04-15 16:33:44	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$9	0xa4ad94…
04-15 15:22:40	Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xa32816…
04-15 13:56:00	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0x24add9…