Speedy-Nibble — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$196

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

348

Trades

2,443

lifetime

Volume

$100.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-14

last 10-30 19:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Other

86% 43% +$14,235

Politics

10% 41% -$398

Pop-Culture

2% 83% +$928

Sports

2% 100% +$536

Crypto

0% 71% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No		+5	-$196	10¢	$1	+$196	10-30 18:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	14	$5.7K	5,250	5,250	+0	Yes	+$3,375	04-29 18:07
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	40	$3.9K	5,217	4,320	+897	Yes	+$2,278	04-29 13:38
Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?	26	$3.4K	3,517	3,517	+0	Yes	+$2,018	09-16 18:27
will argentinas monthly inflation in march 2026 be between 3pt1 and 3pt3	43	$3.3K	2,191	2,191	+0	No	+$164	04-14 23:32
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	20	$2.9K	2,071	2,071	+0	No	+$119	05-31 21:34
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	10	$2.8K	3,990	3,990	+0	Yes	+$191	05-14 16:30
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	34	$2.6K	1,636	1,636	+0	No	+$73	04-28 20:05
will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	25	$2.2K	2,974	2,472	+502	Yes	-$78	03-25 19:12
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	16	$2.1K	2,511	2,511	+0	No	+$832	04-29 06:44
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	31	$1.9K	2,552	2,552	+0	No	+$163	06-15 13:39
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	14	$1.7K	1,690	1,690	+0	No	+$314	09-22 18:47
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	14	$1.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$164	06-21 20:44
will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	55	$1.6K	2,737	1,959	+778	No	-$350	03-26 11:00
will sinners win 3 or fewer awards at the oscars	10	$1.5K	2,014	2,014	+0	No	+$888	03-16 01:54
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in August?	30	$1.3K	5,531	38	+5,493	No	-$1,313	09-30 11:39
Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	12	$1.3K	851	851	+0	Yes	+$397	05-19 00:36
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?	4	$1.2K	847	847	+0	Yes	+$438	09-11 12:30
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April?	13	$1.1K	965	965	+0	Yes	+$736	05-08 12:55
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?	8	$1.1K	1,091	1,091	+0	No	+$150	09-21 12:26
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?	27	$1.1K	3,106	3,106	+0	Yes	+$86	06-26 14:05
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?	21	$1.1K	2,079	1,979	+100	No	+$202	07-31 18:51
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?	13	$1.1K	1,083	1,083	+0	Yes	+$291	08-25 22:31
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	9	$985	734	734	+0	No	+$324	04-29 18:06
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	15	$956	1,480	1,480	+0	No	+$123	04-06 15:17
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	8	$940	1,898	1,898	+0	No	-$502	05-31 21:56
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?	4	$884	780	780	+0	No	+$73	07-17 22:36
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	9	$840	769	769	+0	No	+$103	07-30 06:37
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	12	$802	1,038	1,002	+36	No	-$5	08-12 09:51
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	12	$790	912	912	+0	Yes	+$89	08-14 12:48
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	8	$768	4,700	0	+4,700	open	—	10-30 19:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 19:36:19	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	496	17¢	$84	0xa934f0…
10-30 19:35:21	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	17¢	$340	0x1746f2…
10-30 18:59:27	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa9f949…
10-30 18:09:58	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	771	26¢	$203	0x47ed20…
10-29 14:29:40	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xdd9dcd…
10-29 14:29:40	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0xc73967…
10-29 14:29:40	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	110	18¢	$20	0xc6d3a8…
10-29 14:16:01	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	28¢	$12	0x917261…
10-29 14:06:01	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	360	31¢	$111	0x7697a1…
10-29 12:34:19	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,962	15¢	$294	0xf1030c…
10-29 12:34:19	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x73f366…
10-29 12:30:08	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	416	82¢	$341	0x6f26f6…
10-29 12:19:05	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	283	35¢	$98	0x8c0ab5…
10-29 06:42:47	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	77	31¢	$24	0x937f41…
10-28 18:19:08	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	80	34¢	$28	0x54ac93…
10-28 18:19:05	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	115	34¢	$39	0x322188…
10-28 18:18:50	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	SELL	184	61¢	$112	0x16ddf1…
10-26 23:46:47	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xc771f3…
10-26 23:46:41	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	210	40¢	$85	0x377548…
10-26 23:46:12	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x5bf7e8…
10-26 23:46:03	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x33c1db…
10-26 12:11:45	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?	Yes	BUY	183	29¢	$53	0xdbfa5a…
10-25 23:25:09	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xde637e…
10-25 22:16:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	119	44¢	$52	0xef9572…
10-25 22:16:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	181	44¢	$80	0x9c36fd…
10-25 22:16:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	44¢	$220	0x86d1b5…
10-25 19:57:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	283	24¢	$68	0x5c3b39…
10-25 19:57:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xd64f6a…
10-25 19:56:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x879ead…
10-23 19:27:38	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0xc40b32…
10-23 19:27:23	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x03562f…
10-23 19:26:57	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x8468b2…
10-23 19:26:53	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x74d9ef…
10-23 19:26:45	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x3c652a…
10-23 19:26:39	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	SELL	300	67¢	$200	0x359ec6…
10-23 17:44:53	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	Yes	BUY	96	11¢	$10	0x3e0341…
10-23 17:43:48	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	Yes	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x4edf3c…
10-23 17:41:47	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	Yes	BUY	144	49¢	$71	0xaea9ab…
10-23 17:37:08	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	132	44¢	$58	0xfc9298…
10-23 14:32:39	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	SELL	112	70¢	$78	0xf6bdaf…
10-23 13:46:23	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xf76429…
10-23 13:36:57	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	SELL	103	68¢	$69	0x66f52f…
10-20 18:34:03	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x6a2806…
10-20 18:23:59	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	45	50¢	$22	0xbbf37f…
10-20 18:23:59	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	134	50¢	$67	0x77e6d8…
10-20 18:23:59	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	180	50¢	$90	0x53e370…
10-20 18:23:57	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	170	50¢	$85	0x58f11c…
10-20 18:23:57	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	215	50¢	$107	0x414084…
10-20 18:04:48	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	23	50¢	$11	0xc5d86a…
10-20 11:31:15	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	776	25¢	$191	0x338971…
10-19 14:06:47	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?	Yes	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0x4ee5f0…
10-19 12:03:17	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0x3b86ee…
10-19 12:03:11	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	399	66¢	$264	0x335690…
10-19 12:01:39	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?	Yes	BUY	480	27¢	$128	0x869fe3…
10-16 16:55:55	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	Yes	SELL	138	16¢	$22	0x1cbcd9…
10-16 09:57:15	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x2d32cd…
10-16 09:57:13	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	Yes	BUY	646	17¢	$110	0x4b91b5…
10-16 09:57:12	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	47	10¢	$5	0xf03235…
10-16 09:57:12	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	53	10¢	$5	0xebec2d…
10-16 09:57:12	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	68	10¢	$7	0xbb8573…
10-16 09:57:12	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	53	10¢	$5	0x460f27…
10-16 09:57:12	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x37a584…
10-16 09:57:12	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	47	10¢	$5	0x2b96fc…
10-16 09:56:48	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	Yes	BUY	527	16¢	$84	0x70859d…
10-16 09:56:48	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	98	10¢	$10	0x5c0ab9…
10-15 14:42:55	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$21	0x03c4cd…
10-15 14:42:46	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0xdfd71a…
10-15 14:40:25	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xd4860c…
10-15 14:40:01	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?	Yes	BUY	406	5¢	$22	0x51c944…
10-15 14:39:49	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	68	9¢	$6	0x5c1567…
10-15 14:21:16	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?	Yes	BUY	187	20¢	$38	0x1ecff5…
10-14 21:13:22	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x4bf9c5…
10-14 21:05:06	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xf1e739…
10-14 20:59:48	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x4f416d…
10-14 20:44:00	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x8fce9e…
10-14 20:41:48	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	BUY	543	23¢	$125	0x0e767a…
10-14 20:40:21	Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd9c811…
10-14 20:40:21	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xba49c9…
10-14 20:40:21	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	BUY	49	23¢	$11	0xa3869e…
10-14 20:40:21	Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x989249…
10-14 20:40:21	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	BUY	24	23¢	$5	0x91e5b9…
10-14 20:40:21	Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8f458d…
10-14 20:40:21	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x848040…
10-14 20:40:21	Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1867da…
10-14 20:40:21	Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0d78aa…
10-14 20:40:21	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x09931f…
10-14 14:15:27	Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September?	Yes	BUY	31	15¢	$5	0x13dd3e…
10-14 13:35:18	Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x14d7bb…
10-14 13:35:14	Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September?	Yes	BUY	481	10¢	$47	0x60688c…
10-14 13:32:11	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	SELL	35	30¢	$10	0x9d0648…
10-14 13:32:02	Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in October?	Yes	BUY	320	14¢	$44	0x1035cf…
10-14 13:31:33	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	516	29¢	$151	0xd4ad82…
10-14 12:46:17	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	629	30¢	$187	0x37e312…
10-12 15:27:11	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	57	39¢	$22	0x830deb…
10-12 15:27:06	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	80	38¢	$31	0x896dfb…
10-12 15:26:51	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	85	38¢	$32	0xab25f8…
10-11 20:42:51	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x3b04d8…
10-11 20:19:07	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	63¢	$94	0x801c1e…
10-11 20:18:51	Will China’s CPI increase by at least 1.1% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	28¢	$40	0x3ba3d2…
10-11 15:25:03	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0xab5053…