Creepy-Autoimmunity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

Trades

446

lifetime

Volume

$1.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$29

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 07-15 13:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 67% +$2

Other

16% 100% +$0

Politics

6% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 230 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-19	$-18	96¢	$-19	$-0	06-06 14:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No		-11	$-10	98¢	$-11	$-1	05-28 13:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
california higher local tax vote threshold proposition	2	$126	100	100	+0	open	—	07-03 04:15
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	4	$125	126	113	+14	open	—	05-31 09:49
btc updown 5m 1780899600	3	$86	58	58	+0	open	—	06-08 06:24
btc updown 5m 1780813800	2	$58	40	40	+0	open	—	06-07 06:33
btc updown 5m 1780812300	2	$57	39	39	+0	open	—	06-07 06:08
btc updown 5m 1780812600	2	$50	40	40	+0	open	—	06-07 06:14
scotus grants trump birthright citizenship rehearing by december 31 20260710222928774	2	$44	30	30	+0	open	—	07-15 13:40
btc updown 5m 1780812000	1	$40	82	0	+82	open	—	06-07 05:57
btc updown 5m 1780899000	2	$40	78	0	+78	open	—	06-08 06:09
btc updown 5m 1780810200	2	$37	51	51	+0	open	—	06-07 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	7	$36	35	35	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 19:18
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	13	$31	40	40	+0	open	—	05-16 15:36
btc updown 5m 1780811400	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	06-07 05:46
btc updown 5m 1783421400	10	$29	30	30	+0	open	—	07-07 10:54
btc updown 5m 1780810500	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	06-07 05:38
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	06-28 14:58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$24	0	105	-105	open	—	06-01 12:40
btc updown 5m 1781273700	2	$22	56	14	+42	open	—	06-12 14:17
will starmer say million or billion or trillion 5 times during the next pmq 20260610160650630	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	06-22 06:45
btc updown 5m 1780813200	1	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	06-07 06:17
will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	3	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	06-20 03:13
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$18	0	19	-19	open	—	06-06 14:04
btc updown 5m 1780810800	1	$18	34	0	+34	open	—	06-07 05:39
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	06-22 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	6	$15	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 18:58
btc updown 5m 1783422900	4	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	07-07 11:16
btc updown 5m 1783421100	4	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	07-07 10:48
btc updown 5m 1783557000	9	$13	32	16	+16	open	—	07-09 00:31
btc updown 5m 1780753500	1	$12	23	0	+23	open	—	06-06 13:44
btc updown 5m 1780580100	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	06-04 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 13:40:50	scotus grants trump birthright citizenship rehearing by december 31 20260710222928774	No	SELL	30	52¢	$15	0xa25094…
07-14 10:31:25	scotus grants trump birthright citizenship rehearing by december 31 20260710222928774	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x4598bc…
07-09 12:51:05	btc updown 5m 1783601400	Down	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x51b75e…
07-09 12:50:52	btc updown 5m 1783601400	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xeed820…
07-09 12:47:55	btc updown 5m 1783601100	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xa17c0d…
07-09 12:45:40	btc updown 5m 1783601100	Up	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x80aa13…
07-09 12:36:32	btc updown 5m 1783600500	Down	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x6dc457…
07-09 12:33:52	btc updown 5m 1783600200	Up	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x67ed0e…
07-09 12:33:35	btc updown 5m 1783600200	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xc00d84…
07-09 12:26:01	btc updown 5m 1783599900	Down	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x26bd0a…
07-09 12:25:31	btc updown 5m 1783599900	Down	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x6c67ab…
07-09 12:23:10	btc updown 5m 1783599600	Up	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x8229f2…
07-09 12:18:16	btc updown 5m 1783599300	Up	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x2d731d…
07-09 12:17:11	btc updown 5m 1783599300	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x377045…
07-09 12:14:35	btc updown 5m 1783599000	Up	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xff0122…
07-09 12:13:29	btc updown 5m 1783599000	Up	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xe5646c…
07-09 12:13:29	btc updown 5m 1783599000	Up	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xc94f6c…
07-09 12:13:19	btc updown 5m 1783599000	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x33963f…
07-09 12:13:01	btc updown 5m 1783599000	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x6f500d…
07-09 12:13:01	btc updown 5m 1783599000	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x336f51…
07-09 11:51:53	btc updown 5m 1783597800	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x76cef2…
07-09 11:46:23	btc updown 5m 1783597500	Up	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x266ae9…
07-09 11:46:14	btc updown 5m 1783597500	Up	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x87f3d9…
07-09 11:44:40	btc updown 5m 1783597200	Up	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x5ad308…
07-09 11:41:17	btc updown 5m 1783597200	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x85f8ea…
07-09 11:37:44	btc updown 5m 1783596900	Up	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x6f3cee…
07-09 11:36:55	btc updown 5m 1783596900	Up	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xb738e5…
07-09 11:32:43	btc updown 5m 1783596600	Down	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x685208…
07-09 11:32:34	btc updown 5m 1783596600	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xcc2882…
07-09 11:27:01	btc updown 5m 1783596300	Down	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x5920b3…
07-09 11:26:11	btc updown 5m 1783596300	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xd7932d…
07-09 11:21:20	btc updown 5m 1783596000	Down	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xb0e078…
07-09 11:21:13	btc updown 5m 1783596000	Down	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xbfbdbf…
07-09 11:08:02	btc updown 5m 1783595100	Down	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xcb831e…
07-09 11:07:22	btc updown 5m 1783595100	Down	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x6785b5…
07-09 11:02:41	btc updown 5m 1783594800	Down	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x5df8aa…
07-09 11:02:11	btc updown 5m 1783594800	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x080537…
07-09 10:57:59	btc updown 5m 1783594500	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x121b99…
07-09 10:57:55	btc updown 5m 1783594500	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x992620…
07-09 10:45:28	btc updown 5m 1783593900	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xe26e40…
07-09 10:44:53	btc updown 5m 1783593600	Up	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xb4e6bc…
07-09 10:44:46	btc updown 5m 1783593600	Up	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x3d521b…
07-09 10:38:01	btc updown 5m 1783593300	Down	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x3dcd4d…
07-09 10:35:38	btc updown 5m 1783593300	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x654494…
07-09 10:34:02	btc updown 5m 1783593000	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x76d40b…
07-09 10:33:20	btc updown 5m 1783593000	Up	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x238115…
07-09 10:29:34	btc updown 5m 1783592700	Up	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x4cc8a3…
07-09 10:26:14	btc updown 5m 1783592700	Up	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x50ea45…
07-09 10:21:56	btc updown 5m 1783592400	Up	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x0ad361…
07-09 10:14:43	btc updown 5m 1783591800	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xc3a784…
07-09 10:13:55	btc updown 5m 1783591800	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x00966c…
07-09 10:07:29	btc updown 5m 1783591500	Down	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xb5f290…
07-09 10:04:01	btc updown 5m 1783591200	Up	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0xe16764…
07-09 10:00:56	btc updown 5m 1783591200	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xe20fc7…
07-09 09:59:34	btc updown 5m 1783590900	Down	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xb27a2b…
07-09 09:56:01	btc updown 5m 1783590900	Down	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x6f12a4…
07-09 09:54:34	btc updown 5m 1783590600	Down	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x36326f…
07-09 09:51:37	btc updown 5m 1783590600	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xefe050…
07-09 09:47:10	btc updown 5m 1783590300	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x79037d…
07-09 09:31:37	btc updown 5m 1783589400	Up	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x6f9da9…
07-09 09:31:31	btc updown 5m 1783589400	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd124de…
07-09 09:14:38	btc updown 5m 1783588200	Down	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x7b80ee…
07-09 09:14:16	btc updown 5m 1783588200	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xc671ea…
07-09 09:08:04	btc updown 5m 1783587900	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x8b29c4…
07-09 09:07:31	btc updown 5m 1783587900	Up	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xe4b199…
07-09 09:01:44	btc updown 5m 1783587600	Up	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xd5b1fd…
07-09 09:01:05	btc updown 5m 1783587600	Up	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x6b44a2…
07-09 08:57:13	btc updown 5m 1783587300	Up	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xb7a10d…
07-09 08:36:49	btc updown 5m 1783586100	Down	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xad857f…
07-09 08:36:43	btc updown 5m 1783586100	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x5c239f…
07-09 08:32:01	btc updown 5m 1783585800	Up	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x306eac…
07-09 08:31:55	btc updown 5m 1783585800	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x0b8134…
07-09 08:31:53	btc updown 5m 1783585800	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x431a18…
07-09 08:29:34	btc updown 5m 1783585500	Down	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x1034c9…
07-09 08:28:10	btc updown 5m 1783585500	Down	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x645b7b…
07-09 08:24:34	btc updown 5m 1783585200	Down	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x5d93eb…
07-09 08:20:35	btc updown 5m 1783585200	Down	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xc5b22e…
07-09 08:17:59	btc updown 5m 1783584900	Down	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x63591e…
07-09 08:17:28	btc updown 5m 1783584900	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x2e28c2…
07-09 08:14:26	btc updown 5m 1783584600	Down	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x5a9c92…
07-09 08:14:16	btc updown 5m 1783584600	Down	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x31c949…
07-09 08:07:31	btc updown 5m 1783584300	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x5b40ac…
07-09 08:07:29	btc updown 5m 1783584300	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xcbbada…
07-09 08:05:43	btc updown 5m 1783584300	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x50ff80…
07-09 08:01:26	btc updown 5m 1783584000	Up	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xbfe397…
07-09 08:01:10	btc updown 5m 1783584000	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xa16572…
07-09 07:55:41	btc updown 5m 1783583700	Up	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xcfb8e6…
07-09 07:53:38	btc updown 5m 1783583400	Down	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x190135…
07-09 07:53:28	btc updown 5m 1783583400	Down	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xf7d5b2…
07-09 07:46:31	btc updown 5m 1783583100	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x535601…
07-09 07:39:38	btc updown 5m 1783582500	Up	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x6f4f16…
07-09 07:37:19	btc updown 5m 1783582500	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xe33947…
07-09 07:34:34	btc updown 5m 1783582200	Up	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x523c95…
07-09 07:30:47	btc updown 5m 1783582200	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x559653…
07-09 07:17:08	btc updown 5m 1783581300	Up	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x0b76d3…
07-09 07:16:20	btc updown 5m 1783581300	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x1ca67d…
07-09 07:12:35	btc updown 5m 1783581000	Up	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x0318d2…
07-09 07:07:44	btc updown 5m 1783580700	Up	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x5f39f6…
07-09 07:07:20	btc updown 5m 1783580700	Up	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xc79c66…
07-09 07:04:08	btc updown 5m 1783580400	Down	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x874dfd…