Stunning-Lifetime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$426

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.3%

Resolved

707

Trades

1,305

lifetime

Volume

$3.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 10-12 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Other

55% 36% -$300

Crypto

43% 47% -$127

Politics

1% 33% +$1

Sports

1% 17% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	32	$219	247	290	-43	Yes	-$32	03-02 19:37
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on June 4?	1	$146	618	0	+618	No	-$146	06-02 13:53
will bitcoin reach 70k february 23 march 1	12	$140	72	72	+0	No	+$3	03-02 06:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 06:00 UTC	1	$56	100	0	+100	Up	+$44	03-21 06:00
bitcoin above 68k on march 1	10	$48	64	0	+64	No	+$11	03-01 08:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 05:15 UTC	3	$45	88	52	+36	Down	+$5	02-06 05:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:30 UTC	1	$30	64	0	+64	Down	-$30	03-27 01:30
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$28	14	14	+0	No	$0	03-14 13:35
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$24	12	12	+0	No	$0	03-14 13:37
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$23	179	179	+0	No	-$1	03-14 13:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:25 UTC	1	$23	40	0	+40	Down	-$23	03-27 01:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 05:00 UTC	3	$21	212	11	+201	Up	+$0	02-06 05:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?	6	$17	20	10	+10	Yes	-$6	07-10 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?	12	$17	72	0	+72	No	-$17	05-27 20:03
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?	4	$16	10	10	+0	No	$0	07-10 01:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 6?	3	$16	10	10	+0	No	$0	07-06 02:04
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 3?	1	$15	71	0	+71	No	-$15	06-02 13:58
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 4?	5	$14	72	0	+72	No	-$14	06-04 14:20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on May 27?	6	$14	85	0	+85	No	-$14	05-27 17:46
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 18?	5	$14	2,289	0	+2,289	No	-$14	06-18 09:09
Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?	2	$14	23	13	+10	No	-$4	09-11 06:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 20:45 UTC	1	$13	20	0	+20	Down	-$13	04-03 20:46
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 7?	3	$13	15	0	+15	Yes	-$13	07-07 12:52
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 4?	1	$13	42	0	+42	No	-$13	06-02 13:53
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?	10	$13	55	0	+55	No	-$13	05-27 17:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 6?	3	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	07-06 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 19:20 UTC	1	$12	20	0	+20	Up	+$8	04-03 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 20:55 UTC	1	$12	20	0	+20	Down	-$12	04-03 20:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:35 UTC	3	$12	20	0	+20	Up	-$2	03-24 23:37
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 7?	3	$12	15	0	+15	No	+$3	07-07 12:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 09:30:08	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xc7d78d…
10-12 09:30:07	Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xe62945…
10-12 09:30:05	Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x39497f…
10-12 06:33:50	Will Eduardo Paes win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x2526d6…
10-12 06:33:47	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0xb76e67…
10-12 06:33:45	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0xe17345…
10-12 06:33:45	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	26	13¢	$3	0x01379f…
10-12 06:33:42	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0x456973…
10-12 06:33:41	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%?	Yes	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0x77d67c…
09-23 20:41:34	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa0e86e…
09-23 20:41:34	Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x207650…
09-23 20:41:32	Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?	Yes	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xb5fcd9…
09-15 12:48:22	Will two people dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0x462979…
09-15 12:48:21	Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x9ba53a…
09-15 12:48:19	Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0xd05596…
09-15 12:47:54	Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x5ccca4…
09-15 12:47:52	Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x8113c8…
09-15 12:47:51	Will two people dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x4c7e0a…
09-15 12:47:49	Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0x78689e…
09-15 12:47:48	Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	18	37¢	$6	0x0eabb3…
09-11 06:38:06	Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0x98fa69…
09-11 06:38:04	Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x49b0f0…
09-11 06:38:01	Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	13	28¢	$4	0x042b5b…
09-11 06:37:37	Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x15e4a6…
09-11 06:37:34	Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	23	38¢	$9	0x0f219e…
09-11 06:37:33	Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0xf3894a…
09-11 06:37:31	Will Linke win less than 17% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x612950…
09-10 03:19:33	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x5e7968…
09-10 03:19:31	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x56a31c…
09-10 03:19:30	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x9cbaca…
09-10 03:19:30	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x1ce97e…
09-09 23:54:12	Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x80e991…
09-09 23:54:10	Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0xa64d9b…
09-09 23:54:09	Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x9b4791…
09-09 23:54:07	Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0x195b5e…
09-04 19:14:36	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8ff0fb…
09-04 18:17:15	Will Karlsruher SC win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7fa4dd…
09-04 18:17:09	Will Hannover 96 vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4550e9…
09-04 18:17:07	Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xf86a4e…
09-03 23:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xdc5d2d…
09-03 04:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x9fee8e…
09-03 04:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x22028c…
09-03 03:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xb47398…
09-03 03:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x832586…
09-03 03:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xb030ca…
08-21 19:22:16	Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x6f4ad0…
08-21 19:22:15	Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xe0413b…
08-20 16:11:12	Will AL Wakrah SC win on 2026-08-20?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x177755…
08-20 16:10:46	Will Qatar SC win on 2026-08-20?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xedc307…
08-20 16:10:45	Will AL Wakrah SC win on 2026-08-20?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x7ea7bc…
08-20 13:43:18	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x3f3877…
08-20 13:43:16	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x1059d5…
08-20 13:42:54	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x5d3d4f…
08-20 13:42:52	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x4ca803…
08-17 03:55:06	Will Amanda Green be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x6bdf57…
08-17 03:55:06	Will Nic Zateslo be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x27b5fb…
08-17 03:55:04	Will Brice Barnes be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x3cbf93…
08-17 03:55:03	Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x3ed75a…
08-16 11:55:27	Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x7fd021…
08-16 11:50:04	Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. FC Energie Cottbus end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x653cdd…
08-16 11:50:03	Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$6	0x3fc536…
08-16 11:18:31	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xcebe94…
08-16 11:18:30	Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x2b34f8…
08-16 11:18:27	Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0xaae311…
08-15 21:11:58	Will Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x42b5c0…
08-15 20:13:33	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-15?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$8	0x3426f8…
08-15 20:13:27	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-15?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$7	0x755c95…
08-15 17:07:00	Will TSG Hoffenheim win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xe9fdbc…
08-15 17:06:58	Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x93c9af…
08-15 17:06:58	Will Tottenham Hotspur vs. TSG Hoffenheim end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0x263f11…
08-15 13:42:15	Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x3abf17…
08-15 13:36:49	Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-08-15?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x3e58d8…
08-15 13:36:46	Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-15?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x48cd30…
08-15 00:47:18	Will Racing Club vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5d35a3…
08-15 00:47:16	Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-14?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xbc4afd…
08-13 00:12:36	Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-12?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x9bbac4…
08-13 00:12:15	Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-12?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x46bc9e…
08-13 00:12:15	Will CF Monterrey vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x00d000…
08-12 23:29:52	Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-08-12?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xc4192d…
08-12 23:29:22	Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-08-12?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x11bcd2…
08-12 23:29:16	Will SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xfcf61d…
08-12 23:29:15	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x0ea3c9…
08-12 07:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x46c68c…
08-12 06:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8d4e6a…
08-12 06:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x52ac99…
08-12 04:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbf09ce…
08-12 04:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x68884c…
08-12 01:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xeae49b…
08-11 23:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc78391…
08-11 23:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2cdcad…
08-11 22:31:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 12?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x58fcb3…
08-11 16:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x924c47…
08-11 16:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 11?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x971304…
08-11 16:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x81293d…
08-11 12:28:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 11?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x4494a6…
08-11 08:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x442f84…
08-11 05:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf5b5b3…
08-11 05:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 11?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x4c1cc1…
08-11 03:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5b9909…
08-11 03:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 11?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3cdfd1…