Helpful-Catastrophe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved

Trades

914

lifetime

Volume

$647

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-09 20:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 29% +$1

Other

31% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 690 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$30	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-14 16:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	12	$24	4,833	4,486	+347	open	—	04-25 04:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	20	$23	5,066	4,702	+364	open	—	04-25 04:31
btc updown 5m 1781019300	3	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	06-09 15:35
btc updown 5m 1781019000	2	$11	14	0	+14	open	—	06-09 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$9	15	6	+9	open	—	05-18 22:04
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on April 27?	13	$9	700	665	+35	open	—	04-25 11:39
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on April 25?	36	$8	198	198	+0	open	—	04-25 11:53
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 25?	13	$8	1,502	1,394	+108	open	—	04-25 11:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 25?	4	$8	600	570	+30	open	—	04-25 04:28
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	16	$7	1,439	1,367	+71	open	—	04-25 11:56
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 27?	8	$7	438	416	+22	open	—	04-25 07:14
btc updown 5m 1781036700	4	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	06-09 20:30
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$7	15	5	+10	open	—	05-18 23:34
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 35°F or below on April 26?	9	$7	100	95	+5	open	—	04-25 06:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 26?	6	$7	1,750	1,624	+126	open	—	04-25 07:48
btc updown 5m 1781016300	5	$6	9	8	+1	open	—	06-09 14:47
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$6	15	6	+9	open	—	05-18 23:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	3	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-18 21:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 25?	6	$6	690	656	+34	open	—	04-25 04:32
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 11:30
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	5	$5	1,551	1,439	+111	open	—	04-25 04:32
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$5	11	2	+8	open	—	05-18 22:05
btc updown 5m 1781037300	5	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	06-09 20:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	12	$5	1,500	1,392	+108	open	—	04-25 09:56
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$5	5	2	+3	open	—	05-19 00:05
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	3	$4	9	0	+9	open	—	05-19 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-18 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$4	4	3	+1	Down	+$2	05-13 15:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	4	$4	1,500	1,392	+108	open	—	04-25 07:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 20:50:33	btc updown 5m 1781038200	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x119039…
06-09 20:50:12	btc updown 5m 1781037900	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcbeecc…
06-09 20:46:19	btc updown 5m 1781037900	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x41ccb9…
06-09 20:45:55	btc updown 5m 1781037600	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf698fa…
06-09 20:42:57	btc updown 5m 1781037600	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4b36c1…
06-09 20:37:48	btc updown 5m 1781037300	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x060c5e…
06-09 20:37:00	btc updown 5m 1781037300	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1bc34e…
06-09 20:36:25	btc updown 5m 1781037300	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf56e45…
06-09 20:35:13	btc updown 5m 1781037300	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xce1ea8…
06-09 20:35:09	btc updown 5m 1781037300	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x42fd81…
06-09 20:30:24	btc updown 5m 1781036700	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x60496f…
06-09 20:28:06	btc updown 5m 1781036700	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x580657…
06-09 20:27:48	btc updown 5m 1781036700	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x255bf6…
06-09 20:22:57	btc updown 5m 1781036700	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x11fb62…
06-09 20:20:37	btc updown 5m 1781036400	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaea2da…
06-09 20:19:04	btc updown 5m 1781036400	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5ae54e…
06-09 20:14:12	btc updown 5m 1781036100	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaf37b1…
06-09 20:10:22	btc updown 5m 1781035800	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x04c5f9…
06-09 15:35:39	btc updown 5m 1781019300	Down	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0x3007fa…
06-09 15:35:16	btc updown 5m 1781019300	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xbe8124…
06-09 15:34:31	btc updown 5m 1781019300	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa5b018…
06-09 15:32:58	btc updown 5m 1781019000	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x37bca1…
06-09 15:31:45	btc updown 5m 1781019000	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfa4b5a…
06-09 15:26:13	btc updown 5m 1781018700	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x73ecb1…
06-09 15:25:52	btc updown 5m 1781018700	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0d21a7…
06-09 15:15:15	btc updown 5m 1781017800	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa821c2…
06-09 15:12:00	btc updown 5m 1781018100	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6ca3e7…
06-09 15:08:34	btc updown 5m 1781017800	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x161272…
06-09 15:03:13	btc updown 5m 1781017500	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa6524b…
06-09 15:01:12	btc updown 5m 1781017500	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5e6ed7…
06-09 14:58:54	btc updown 5m 1781017200	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5a4285…
06-09 14:58:19	btc updown 5m 1781016900	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xbeba6e…
06-09 14:56:06	btc updown 5m 1781017200	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc09256…
06-09 14:51:03	btc updown 5m 1781016900	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5b2c95…
06-09 14:50:15	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9362c7…
06-09 14:47:18	btc updown 5m 1781016300	Up	SELL	8	32¢	$2	0x96b9fe…
06-09 14:47:09	btc updown 5m 1781016300	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x664090…
06-09 14:46:46	btc updown 5m 1781016300	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x556a73…
06-09 14:41:51	btc updown 5m 1781016300	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x61a390…
06-09 14:41:49	btc updown 5m 1781016300	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x139bef…
06-09 14:37:45	btc updown 5m 1781016000	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa48aea…
06-09 14:35:49	btc updown 5m 1781015700	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x97c3ce…
06-09 14:32:09	btc updown 5m 1781015700	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x81496d…
06-09 14:30:10	btc updown 5m 1781015400	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x56f720…
05-19 01:19:07	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x80b948…
05-19 01:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0x593be8…
05-19 01:13:50	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0xbe669e…
05-19 01:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0xa43b54…
05-19 01:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xcd7eaf…
05-19 01:09:15	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x62efc1…
05-19 01:09:15	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x161812…
05-19 01:05:05	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xd7f39e…
05-19 01:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0x61db4c…
05-19 01:04:09	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0xd5406a…
05-19 01:04:06	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0x986cd6…
05-19 00:59:27	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xf0f2d9…
05-19 00:59:24	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xcc1fe8…
05-19 00:59:13	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x3a6973…
05-19 00:58:49	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8a6fba…
05-19 00:58:47	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1926a1…
05-19 00:58:45	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x1d735d…
05-19 00:58:44	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x181b4b…
05-19 00:58:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x30ec10…
05-19 00:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x51e616…
05-19 00:58:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x43a59d…
05-19 00:49:48	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xd7fbd4…
05-19 00:49:13	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xc85a10…
05-19 00:44:30	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xd3eb74…
05-19 00:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x342fd9…
05-19 00:44:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4cb5b1…
05-19 00:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xac842f…
05-19 00:44:05	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x64f638…
05-19 00:43:37	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0x49bb13…
05-19 00:43:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	124	1¢	$2	0x7ed981…
05-19 00:39:20	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x8f6c68…
05-19 00:39:16	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0xaf68ab…
05-19 00:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x39de2e…
05-19 00:34:28	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf9ec26…
05-19 00:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x35b373…
05-19 00:34:07	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x649759…
05-19 00:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xa515eb…
05-19 00:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x90c2fa…
05-19 00:29:25	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb0b7cd…
05-19 00:29:20	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x9dcaac…
05-19 00:29:14	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xef2a8d…
05-19 00:29:14	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x8fc34c…
05-19 00:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x81e563…
05-19 00:05:23	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1d49d0…
05-19 00:04:44	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xeed586…
05-19 00:04:18	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x6b5b60…
05-19 00:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xf909b7…
05-19 00:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x7655c7…
05-19 00:04:04	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6bd05b…
05-19 00:04:04	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x21c84f…
05-18 23:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x534e3f…
05-18 23:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4f3ff7…
05-18 23:54:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	45	3¢	$2	0x467fc2…
05-18 23:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x8b5d74…
05-18 23:44:26	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x25dc6c…
05-18 23:44:21	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xed8c73…