Reasonable-Usage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.06K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

3,521

Trades

17,543

lifetime

Volume

$492.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-27 10:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 81% +$4,068

Other

0% 67% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 06:10 UTC	5	$11.4K	11,500	+11,500	Up	+$115	04-22 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	7	$11.4K	11,500	+11,500	Up	+$115	04-25 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	39	$11.4K	11,500	+11,500	Up	+$115	04-25 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	9	$11.4K	11,500	+11,500	Down	+$115	04-26 02:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 04:30 UTC	9	$11.4K	11,500	+11,500	Up	+$115	04-20 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	13	$11.4K	11,500	+11,500	Down	+$115	04-25 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:55 UTC	2	$9.9K	10,007	+10,007	Up	+$100	04-23 12:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 01:10 UTC	106	$9.9K	10,000	+10,000	Up	+$100	04-13 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:30 UTC	1	$9.9K	10,000	+10,000	Up	+$100	04-15 05:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 04:40 UTC	24	$9.9K	10,000	+10,000	Up	+$100	04-15 04:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 07:50 UTC	8	$9.9K	10,000	+10,000	Down	+$100	04-13 07:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 04:20 UTC	97	$9.9K	10,000	+10,000	Up	+$100	04-13 04:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 01:00 UTC	47	$9.9K	10,000	+10,000	Down	+$100	04-13 01:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 08:25 UTC	105	$7.7K	7,790	+7,790	Up	+$78	04-18 08:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:25 UTC	82	$7.6K	7,666	+7,666	Up	+$77	04-12 20:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 11:35 UTC	128	$6.8K	6,839	+6,839	Up	+$68	04-13 11:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 04:00 UTC	39	$6.6K	6,634	+6,634	Up	+$66	04-23 04:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 04:00 UTC	81	$5.2K	5,303	+5,303	Up	+$53	04-13 04:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:15 UTC	51	$5.1K	5,200	+5,200	Down	+$52	04-12 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	43	$3.5K	3,496	+3,496	Down	+$35	05-03 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	44	$2.7K	2,723	+2,723	Up	+$27	04-29 08:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:30 UTC	9	$2.7K	2,700	+2,700	Down	+$27	04-12 19:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:50 UTC	53	$2.7K	2,700	+2,700	Up	+$27	04-12 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$2.5K	2,500	+2,500	Down	+$25	04-25 08:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 18:05 UTC	1	$2.2K	2,200	+2,200	Up	+$22	04-12 18:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 17:40 UTC	41	$2.2K	2,200	+2,200	Up	+$22	04-12 17:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 17:45 UTC	45	$2.2K	2,200	+2,200	Up	+$22	04-12 17:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:05 UTC	71	$2.2K	2,176	+2,176	Down	+$22	04-12 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	11	$2.0K	2,069	+2,069	Up	+$21	05-02 21:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:20 UTC	49	$1.7K	1,756	+1,756	Up	+$18	04-12 21:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:31:36	Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A	B8	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3308f1…
10-27 10:22:50	Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A	K27	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x5f4c84…
10-14 10:51:05	cs2 9z aur1 2026 10 14 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd41aaf…
10-14 10:50:13	cs2 9z aur1 2026 10 14 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa2921c…
10-14 10:27:46	cs2 9z aur1 2026 10 14 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xcbe48f…
10-14 09:47:07	cs2 9z aur1 2026 10 14 game1 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x24ea3f…
10-04 17:39:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0xc9f699…
10-04 17:39:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x49a1b0…
10-04 17:39:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0x76ba6f…
10-04 17:33:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xeb6ea7…
10-04 17:28:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0x578eb0…
10-04 17:28:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x3c481a…
10-04 17:28:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4dc35c…
10-04 17:28:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0xb9f3a1…
10-04 17:14:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	61	99¢	$61	0x6cf7da…
10-04 17:14:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x691111…
10-04 17:14:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x4b36b6…
10-04 17:08:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xbf6201…
10-04 17:08:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x958256…
10-04 17:08:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x8868dc…
10-04 16:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x47d9e9…
10-04 16:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x124119…
10-04 16:03:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8fba8d…
10-04 16:03:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	94	99¢	$94	0x1b7f15…
10-04 16:03:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x014863…
10-04 15:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0xb4d88a…
10-04 15:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb9452e…
10-04 15:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa36cd6…
10-04 15:43:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0xac5cf3…
10-04 15:43:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	69	99¢	$69	0x33a635…
10-04 15:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf67d1e…
10-04 15:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x66f26d…
10-04 15:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7b8382…
10-04 15:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x03a107…
10-04 15:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	87	99¢	$87	0xc5be9e…
10-04 14:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x3c98db…
10-04 14:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xaba6b0…
10-04 13:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0xb66548…
10-04 13:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xbf5010…
10-04 13:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x726ffc…
10-04 13:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xc2fe7c…
10-04 13:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3f906f…
10-04 13:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdd3d34…
10-04 13:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xd8e22b…
10-04 13:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0x692a63…
10-04 13:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4e2c01…
10-04 12:24:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xdae543…
10-04 11:28:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x7a6f58…
10-04 11:28:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x25cf09…
10-04 11:10:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x066728…
10-04 11:09:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x58c647…
10-04 11:09:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x802170…
10-04 11:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1b5a9e…
10-04 11:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0xa49029…
10-04 10:44:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0xb8f486…
10-04 10:44:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$73	0x5dcbeb…
10-04 10:38:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xbf3ce3…
10-04 10:38:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x89f89f…
10-04 10:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5392bc…
10-04 10:24:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9a2a88…
10-04 10:04:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc3102b…
10-04 09:43:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x582eb5…
10-04 09:18:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdba235…
10-04 09:18:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x93f140…
10-04 09:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x24b24f…
10-04 08:48:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x10feea…
10-04 08:43:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x69aba2…
10-04 08:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0f4ebd…
10-04 07:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xc495c5…
10-04 07:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xbd15d1…
10-04 07:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf57db0…
10-04 07:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xb25317…
10-04 07:13:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xc33e71…
10-04 07:13:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x1a732d…
10-04 06:58:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8931db…
10-04 06:22:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x12d0d0…
10-04 06:15:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x35ced2…
10-04 05:38:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4221f1…
10-04 05:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0cb86a…
10-04 05:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x6d018b…
10-04 03:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x432e80…
10-04 02:48:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x617ea9…
10-04 02:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x98823a…
10-04 02:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x684ab7…
10-04 02:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5413ae…
10-04 02:29:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0e6282…
10-04 02:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x745176…
10-04 01:45:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf5ca22…
10-04 01:45:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x2c58d5…
10-04 01:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5570dc…
10-04 01:45:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6820ed…
10-04 01:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x852e3c…
10-04 00:58:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x278faf…
10-04 00:58:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x662775…
10-04 00:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x58c792…
10-04 00:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa57f9b…
10-04 00:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xab0eed…
10-03 23:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xcec081…
10-03 23:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0ee5c3…
10-03 21:48:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf28457…