Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.4%

Resolved

Trades

934

lifetime

Volume

$4.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 04-24 13:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-0

Politics

46% 100% +$0

Sports

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	17	$186	219	219	+0	open	—	03-20 18:29
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	29	$175	246	246	+0	open	—	03-16 14:01
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	14	$122	568	568	+0	open	—	03-08 22:21
will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	20	$114	167	75	+93	open	—	04-14 07:22
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	11	$86	80	80	+0	open	—	01-28 21:31
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	9	$81	55	55	+0	open	—	04-16 19:57
boxing tyson fury vs arslanbek makhmudov	4	$77	60	60	+1	open	—	04-12 05:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$75	82	82	+0	open	—	04-14 10:11
will israel strike gaza on january 27 2026	4	$73	70	70	+0	open	—	01-28 10:53
will alexandria ocasio cortez be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	7	$71	379	35	+344	open	—	01-30 17:09
will israel strike gaza on january 28 2026	6	$71	47	47	+0	open	—	01-30 17:08
will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	9	$70	179	167	+11	open	—	03-30 23:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$69	140	140	+0	open	—	04-14 07:20
will 50 59 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	23	$69	191	100	+91	open	—	04-14 07:33
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	23	$65	227	227	+0	open	—	04-21 14:17
will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	3	$58	31	31	+0	open	—	01-30 16:20
will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	9	$57	129	31	+98	open	—	04-06 14:30
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	4	$56	56	56	+0	open	—	03-22 08:07
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 12 2026	10	$54	90	90	+0	open	—	04-12 23:18
us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	9	$50	89	89	-0	open	—	03-18 10:02
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	23	$49	103	55	+48	open	—	02-13 09:25
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	8	$47	42	42	+0	open	—	03-27 20:47
will jay z be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	7	$47	123	39	+84	open	—	01-30 16:49
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	14	$46	591	49	+542	open	—	04-07 13:29
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	13	$45	60	49	+11	open	—	03-05 06:56
gc settle above 5100 jan 2026	2	$41	23	23	+0	open	—	01-29 09:33
will usd reach 1pt5m iranian rials by january 31	5	$41	30	30	+0	open	—	01-27 17:17
will israel strike lebanon on january 29 2026	3	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	01-28 15:44
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	2	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	03-04 22:58
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	9	$39	43	38	+5	open	—	04-24 11:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-24 13:52:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x7a6b7c…
04-24 11:09:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	22¢	$4	0xbfdcea…
04-24 11:06:28	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0x9b8975…
04-24 11:05:54	Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xf162e1…
04-24 08:16:46	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xe15092…
04-24 08:15:40	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x646032…
04-24 00:17:42	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x9d19e8…
04-24 00:17:38	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xb98072…
04-24 00:17:20	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x8ea382…
04-23 23:03:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x425a2f…
04-23 22:34:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xe4cbc0…
04-23 20:42:08	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x201716…
04-23 20:39:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0x163129…
04-23 20:38:56	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	18	69¢	$13	0x024a25…
04-23 10:57:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0x267fa5…
04-23 08:21:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	75	4¢	$3	0x9f391b…
04-23 07:50:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0xe3be51…
04-23 07:49:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x38ae7a…
04-22 22:15:14	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0xe005e0…
04-22 15:18:40	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x8fedce…
04-22 12:39:02	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x243e78…
04-22 12:17:16	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x1b1fd0…
04-22 12:16:16	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xd21ec8…
04-22 12:16:16	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x191b2b…
04-22 12:14:12	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xfabc6f…
04-22 10:28:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x925a64…
04-22 10:24:42	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x239668…
04-22 10:23:48	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x39028e…
04-22 10:11:44	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x97b119…
04-22 09:46:10	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0x07ebda…
04-22 06:57:44	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xcb0527…
04-21 20:19:58	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x4e9363…
04-21 20:16:42	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x8dab53…
04-21 18:43:08	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x9b72fd…
04-21 18:41:42	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xf53078…
04-21 18:34:58	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x6f027d…
04-21 14:17:14	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	Yes	SELL	177	0¢	$0	0x9ad858…
04-21 14:10:12	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x4968bc…
04-21 14:07:40	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xdb4852…
04-21 14:06:14	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x12e308…
04-21 14:06:02	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xc20df7…
04-21 14:06:02	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x19d575…
04-21 14:01:48	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x91378a…
04-21 13:11:50	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x4a07e9…
04-20 08:48:26	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x740c09…
04-19 23:10:20	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xcff8a1…
04-19 19:10:34	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	Yes	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xaafb20…
04-19 07:51:30	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x2b82d3…
04-19 07:48:02	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xeb085e…
04-17 15:35:20	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x419bf5…
04-17 15:34:36	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6cc6ea…
04-17 15:27:08	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x1b7574…
04-17 15:26:26	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xfe12a6…
04-17 14:55:52	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x6a4628…
04-17 14:50:20	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x8db75f…
04-17 14:42:56	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x798476…
04-17 14:41:48	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x4baf4f…
04-17 14:40:20	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x9c48d9…
04-17 13:53:10	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x0b19c4…
04-17 13:52:56	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xa30bd7…
04-17 13:52:44	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xe745df…
04-17 13:52:22	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be less than 4 on april 19 2026	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xa2a9ba…
04-17 06:18:22	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8b6d29…
04-17 05:58:46	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3179b2…
04-16 19:57:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x0d5df7…
04-16 16:10:38	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0x6a6ccb…
04-16 16:07:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xf54c49…
04-16 16:06:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x845cfc…
04-16 15:58:14	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7cb7a0…
04-16 15:58:04	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9c66b2…
04-16 15:57:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x73163d…
04-16 15:52:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x363f08…
04-16 15:52:42	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xa4b01d…
04-16 15:16:02	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcf52b5…
04-16 15:15:10	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x02b37f…
04-16 15:07:12	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x4dac0c…
04-16 15:07:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3946c6…
04-16 15:06:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x57a9ea…
04-16 15:04:40	US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xadabd9…
04-16 15:02:36	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x2a1cf7…
04-16 14:56:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x4b0483…
04-16 14:00:38	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb01c1e…
04-16 11:42:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xaf0f90…
04-16 11:31:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x4b0fcf…
04-16 11:25:50	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xa1b487…
04-16 11:24:02	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0xbe2e01…
04-16 10:47:12	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x490381…
04-16 10:45:14	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf66f2c…
04-16 08:04:28	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x22006f…
04-16 08:02:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0xad864f…
04-16 07:17:36	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be less than 4 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x2e66fa…
04-15 21:44:18	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xcf47a5…
04-15 21:23:32	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x8f37f0…
04-15 21:09:34	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x1ec12e…
04-15 14:56:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8346c8…
04-15 14:55:54	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x596684…
04-15 14:33:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xc4e460…
04-15 14:31:22	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be less than 4 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x26bbca…
04-15 12:11:44	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa535e5…
04-15 11:55:08	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa85145…