Parched-Mechanism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$82

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 05-20 18:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 38% -$4

Other

40% 40% -$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:30 UTC	1	$7	13	0	+13	Down	-$7	03-26 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$7	10	0	+10	Down	+$3	05-20 18:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 09:30 UTC	2	$6	12	12	+0	Down	+$4	03-24 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-20 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	05-20 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-20 18:08
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:10 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	03-26 19:15
highest temperature in paris on march 23 2026 16c	2	$3	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	03-23 06:44
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 66 67f	2	$2	78	78	+0	No	+$0	03-22 11:39
highest temperature in nyc on march 24 2026 44 45f	2	$2	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-24 12:02
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:25 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	03-26 19:30
highest temperature in atlanta on april 23 2026 82 83f	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 05:28
highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 21corhigher	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	04-23 17:03
highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 82 83f	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	04-24 19:12
highest temperature in seattle on march 24 2026 50 51f	2	$2	10	10	+0	No	$0	03-24 12:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:55 UTC	2	$1	4	4	+0	Up	-$1	03-24 11:59
highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 12c	2	$1	5	5	+0	No	-$1	03-22 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:40 UTC	2	$1	2	2	+0	Up	-$1	03-24 11:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:45 UTC	2	$1	3	3	+0	Up	-$1	03-24 11:48
highest temperature in nyc on march 23 2026 52 53f	2	$1	4	4	+0	No	-$1	03-23 06:45
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:15 UTC	2	$1	3	3	+0	Up	-$1	03-26 19:19
highest temperature in seattle on march 22 2026 46 47f	2	$1	26	26	+0	No	-$1	03-22 11:39
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 28?	1	$1	20	0	+20	Yes	-$1	04-28 18:09
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 14c	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	03-21 13:07
highest temperature in atlanta on april 23 2026 88 89f	1	$1	157	0	+157	No	-$1	04-23 17:11
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:20 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	03-26 19:20
highest temperature in tokyo on march 24 2026 14c	1	$1	139	0	+139	No	-$1	03-23 22:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:50 UTC	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	03-24 11:53
highest temperature in seoul on march 22 2026 9c	1	$1	167	0	+167	No	-$1	03-21 13:07
highest temperature in singapore on march 24 2026 31c	1	$1	15	0	+15	No	-$1	03-23 22:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 18:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf2e209…
05-20 18:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa68073…
05-20 18:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x02b0b5…
05-20 18:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdd541c…
05-20 18:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3514b6…
05-20 18:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x497ddb…
05-20 17:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0927cd…
05-20 17:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa9b79d…
04-28 18:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1585d5…
04-28 18:09:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 28?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6023df…
04-28 18:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x09123c…
04-28 08:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x53bcaf…
04-28 08:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5b0640…
04-27 21:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7e81f4…
04-27 11:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x579277…
04-24 19:12:34	highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 82 83f	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x605a2d…
04-24 05:28:42	highest temperature in atlanta on april 23 2026 82 83f	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x43f113…
04-23 20:46:24	highest temperature in atlanta on april 23 2026 82 83f	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xeb7ed9…
04-23 17:11:34	highest temperature in atlanta on april 23 2026 88 89f	Yes	BUY	157	1¢	$1	0xe6ab48…
04-23 17:08:20	highest temperature in san francisco on april 23 2026 64 65f	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x005de1…
04-23 17:03:58	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 21corhigher	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xbe9acd…
04-23 13:27:00	highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x130029…
04-23 13:26:56	highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 72 73f	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe3a5f3…
03-26 19:31:47	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xfe5c0c…
03-26 19:30:23	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x154ab4…
03-26 19:28:29	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6a26cb…
03-26 19:20:55	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3a470c…
03-26 19:19:25	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x8c3813…
03-26 19:15:43	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x913774…
03-26 19:15:25	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6ee040…
03-26 19:13:45	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa85cb3…
03-24 12:02:43	highest temperature in seattle on march 24 2026 50 51f	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x6333d4…
03-24 12:02:35	highest temperature in nyc on march 24 2026 44 45f	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x0e2c65…
03-24 11:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x14edd0…
03-24 11:58:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x66c1cd…
03-24 11:53:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1b3e01…
03-24 11:48:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xff2384…
03-24 11:45:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5496c4…
03-24 11:43:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xd69d8a…
03-24 11:40:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb67099…
03-24 09:33:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x94025b…
03-24 09:33:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xea0740…
03-23 22:01:47	highest temperature in tokyo on march 24 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	139	1¢	$1	0x80f788…
03-23 22:00:51	highest temperature in singapore on march 24 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x6bd6bf…
03-23 21:59:13	highest temperature in seattle on march 24 2026 50 51f	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8f6c9a…
03-23 21:55:29	highest temperature in nyc on march 24 2026 44 45f	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x992aea…
03-23 06:45:05	highest temperature in nyc on march 23 2026 52 53f	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xbc9788…
03-23 06:44:59	highest temperature in paris on march 23 2026 16c	Yes	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x560978…
03-22 11:41:47	highest temperature in nyc on march 23 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x905906…
03-22 11:40:29	highest temperature in paris on march 23 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x837fe7…
03-22 11:39:45	highest temperature in seattle on march 22 2026 46 47f	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x334eac…
03-22 11:39:43	highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 12c	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xd8d0e9…
03-22 11:39:39	highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 66 67f	Yes	SELL	78	2¢	$1	0xd309db…
03-21 13:23:45	highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb8e4aa…
03-21 13:08:59	highest temperature in seattle on march 22 2026 46 47f	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x597d96…
03-21 13:07:59	highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x18fc13…
03-21 13:07:05	highest temperature in seoul on march 22 2026 9c	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x31da97…
03-21 13:05:17	highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 66 67f	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x7a81fb…