Primary-Thrill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$225

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

2,661

Trades

4,800

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 11-02 23:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 44% -$196

Other

3% 38% -$14

Sports

0% 0% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$25	16	16	+0	Down	+$7	05-25 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	9	$24	26	26	+0	Up	+$2	10-18 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$23	16	16	+0	Up	+$6	05-25 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	7	$23	21	20	+1	Down	-$2	05-31 18:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$23	18	18	+0	Up	+$5	05-27 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$23	15	15	+0	Down	+$7	10-30 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$22	17	17	+0	Up	+$4	05-25 09:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$19	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	05-25 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	06-01 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	3	$18	17	11	+6	Up	+$6	05-25 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$18	12	12	+0	Down	+$7	10-30 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Down	+$7	11-02 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$17	15	10	+4	Up	+$4	05-25 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$17	11	11	+0	Down	+$6	11-02 17:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 22:00 UTC	6	$17	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	07-15 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$5	10-30 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$6	11-02 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$5	10-30 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$6	10-30 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	11-02 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	4	$16	24	24	+0	Down	-$2	10-25 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	11-02 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	11-02 17:15
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	10-29 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	10-30 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	11-02 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	11-02 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	10-30 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$6	10-30 10:30
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	1	$15	60	0	+60	Islam Makhachev	-$15	08-15 12:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 00:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7b1e92…
11-02 23:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x804bac…
11-02 23:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2acf7a…
11-02 21:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6ad627…
11-02 21:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x093e44…
11-02 21:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x57985c…
11-02 20:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x3881c0…
11-02 19:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x82cff8…
11-02 19:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x623694…
11-02 17:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x6104ff…
11-02 17:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x054541…
11-02 17:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$6	0x0a720f…
11-02 17:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x33f681…
11-02 17:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x8b8142…
11-02 16:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x298012…
11-02 16:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7f4e79…
11-02 16:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x323d38…
11-02 16:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x69d5ee…
11-02 13:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x8f3322…
11-02 13:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xd1e904…
11-02 13:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6028a9…
11-02 13:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcca776…
11-02 12:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x760d23…
11-02 10:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xf2288d…
11-02 10:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x62467e…
11-02 09:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x67a0c6…
11-02 09:15:58	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x43e995…
11-02 08:51:27	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc83bc3…
11-01 22:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xd31bc3…
11-01 22:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xb60ed0…
11-01 19:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x673e00…
11-01 16:46:39	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbfefe3…
11-01 16:26:55	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xace531…
11-01 16:19:31	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfb4bfd…
11-01 16:15:34	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x00bdc5…
11-01 16:03:52	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xba62b1…
11-01 13:25:30	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x95bde5…
11-01 11:45:54	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x447f86…
11-01 11:15:12	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4fbc68…
11-01 11:00:51	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6a522a…
11-01 00:18:46	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9bf093…
10-31 16:15:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8b6923…
10-31 15:56:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf38080…
10-31 15:46:19	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcdac0a…
10-31 14:29:25	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2b870b…
10-31 14:26:58	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x55cbfb…
10-31 11:15:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x31edb7…
10-31 09:52:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xab53c0…
10-31 09:15:09	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-31 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdeb370…
10-31 09:03:31	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-31 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xeb65b6…
10-31 07:50:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf881a0…
10-31 06:15:30	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x93cae4…
10-31 06:00:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x87544b…
10-31 05:46:12	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbe5db2…
10-31 04:15:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x830c32…
10-31 04:03:37	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x36d8d8…
10-31 02:50:10	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5316d0…
10-31 02:30:10	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xab8947…
10-31 02:15:37	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3fc937…
10-31 01:00:27	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0xcb2c58…
10-31 00:43:30	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6fff8d…
10-31 00:31:55	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd1a16f…
10-30 19:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbfe45f…
10-30 19:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xbeec3a…
10-30 18:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x8973c9…
10-30 13:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x8d5b99…
10-30 13:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x771ef5…
10-30 12:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x562675…
10-30 12:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0086cd…
10-30 11:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe61692…
10-30 11:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x02aeb3…
10-30 11:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9cbe9c…
10-30 11:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$6	0xd0a96f…
10-30 10:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xef7221…
10-30 10:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x8665f7…
10-30 09:15:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xba8219…
10-30 09:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdf7cf2…
10-30 09:01:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x60965a…
10-30 08:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x2b788a…
10-30 08:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xed3aa3…
10-30 08:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa48ccc…
10-30 08:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x593b39…
10-30 08:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0fd7fa…
10-30 07:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x566954…
10-30 03:17:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x87dc7d…
10-30 02:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdafd40…
10-30 02:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x5784bb…
10-30 01:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5938b8…
10-30 00:30:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x4892e8…
10-30 00:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x17db65…
10-30 00:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$5	0xf34f3d…
10-29 23:45:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2a9a19…
10-29 23:30:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xf471d3…
10-29 21:45:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3cc9d1…
10-29 21:00:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x0c500c…
10-29 19:55:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x388e6d…
10-29 16:00:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd28838…
10-29 15:09:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x71da05…
10-29 15:00:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x647d04…
10-29 13:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0ceb41…