(anonymous) 0x40bd1d…fbb1ff Create alert
8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
86.8%
Resolved
74
Trades
445
lifetime
Volume
$10.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.67K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-30 01:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
67% 90% -$28
Politics
19% 77% +$20
Sports
14% — —
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +292 $291 100¢ $291 $0 10-27 04:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +203 $198 99¢ $202 +$4 10-28 18:50
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +195 $162 78¢ $152 -$10 10-28 22:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +608 $119 24¢ $143 +$24 10-28 18:48
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +129 $120 98¢ $126 +$6 10-27 22:43
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +108 $108 99¢ $107 $0 10-29 02:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +95 $65 84¢ $80 +$15 10-29 09:49
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +76 $75 99¢ $75 +$0 10-27 22:53
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +73 $59 84¢ $62 +$3 10-22 03:11
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +62 $61 98¢ $61 +$0 10-26 03:32
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +53 $52 94¢ $50 -$2 10-22 02:35
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +46 $41 86¢ $40 -$2 10-26 03:56
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +28 $28 97¢ $28 $0 10-22 03:11
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +28 $26 94¢ $26 $0 10-22 03:46
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? No +27 $23 84¢ $23 $0 10-29 16:31
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +23 $22 98¢ $22 +$0 10-24 00:33
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +22 $21 94¢ $21 +$0 10-22 02:46
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No +21 $20 96¢ $21 +$1 10-26 16:22
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +25 $22 80¢ $20 -$2 10-28 19:18
Will AZ win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 10-29 04:36
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +20 $16 78¢ $16 $0 10-26 02:36
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27? No +18 $16 80¢ $14 -$1 10-21 15:10
Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 $0 10-27 04:16
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? No +14 $14 76¢ $11 -$3 10-29 05:15
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026? No +10 $8 96¢ $10 +$2 10-29 14:10
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%? No +8 $7 100¢ $8 +$1 10-29 08:48
Will the Philadelphia 76ers finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Eastern Conference? No +12 $10 64¢ $8 -$3 10-27 07:37
Will The Drama win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +8 $7 100¢ $7 $0 10-29 12:27
Will Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +8 $6 82¢ $7 +$1 10-29 19:04
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 10-29 04:06