Expensive-Territory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$470

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

448

Trades

466

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-29 15:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 90% -$6

Other

46% 77% -$451

Sports

0% 58% -$8

Politics

0% 33% -$6

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 gal	1	$400	440	+440	No	+$40	03-18 13:31
uwcl fcb rma 2026 04 02 rma	1	$392	413	+413	No	+$21	04-02 14:41
lal bar lev 2026 02 22 bar	1	$333	375	+375	Yes	+$41	02-21 20:58
rus csk soc 2026 04 12 soc	1	$270	287	+287	Yes	-$270	04-12 09:27
ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 lev	1	$268	291	+291	No	+$23	03-17 11:26
lal bar vil 2026 02 28 vil	1	$247	281	+281	No	+$34	02-28 10:19
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 atm1	1	$200	244	+244	Yes	-$200	04-07 20:08
bitcoin above 62k on march 4	1	$200	200	+200	Yes	+$0	03-04 11:25
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	1	$200	215	+215	No	+$15	02-01 10:40
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	1	$200	200	+200	No	+$0	03-17 11:08
bitcoin above 74k on march 27	1	$200	200	+200	No	+$0	03-27 11:13
ethereum above 2400 on march 19	1	$200	200	+200	No	+$0	03-19 10:53
ethereum above 2500 on march 23	1	$200	200	+200	No	+$0	03-23 11:34
bitcoin above 54k on march 3	1	$200	200	+200	Yes	+$0	03-02 11:23
lal rea gir 2026 04 10 gir	1	$186	207	+207	No	+$21	04-10 14:51
ethereum above 2500 on february 10	1	$150	150	+150	No	+$0	02-10 10:47
bitcoin above 80k on february 15	1	$150	150	+150	No	+$0	02-15 11:01
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	1	$120	120	+120	No	+$0	01-31 10:28
atp alcaraz khachan 2026 02 19	1	$112	120	+120	Alcaraz	+$8	02-19 10:48
atp popyrin sinner 2026 02 18	1	$109	112	+112	Sinner	+$3	02-18 11:10
atp alcaraz rinderk 2026 02 16	1	$105	109	+109	Alcaraz	+$4	02-17 10:26
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 liv1	1	$100	128	+128	Yes	+$28	03-18 13:29
lal rea elc 2026 03 14 elc	1	$100	111	+111	No	+$11	03-14 17:16
tur fen kas 2026 02 23 kas	1	$100	109	+109	No	+$9	02-23 11:24
lal bar sev 2026 03 15 bar	1	$100	130	+130	Yes	+$30	03-15 10:32
atp alcaraz bublik 2026 04 10	1	$100	103	+103	Carlos Alcaraz	+$3	04-10 14:48
lal bar mal 2026 02 07 bar	1	$100	116	+116	Yes	+$16	02-07 11:11
fif egy esp 2026 03 30 esp	1	$100	116	+116	No	-$100	03-31 14:30
lal bil bet 2026 03 22 bet	1	$100	102	+102	No	+$2	03-22 19:07
bitcoin above 58k on february 28	1	$100	101	+101	Yes	+$1	02-28 10:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 15:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb48eb5…
07-29 15:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$0	0x0e513d…
07-21 09:07:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9d0c53…
07-12 12:12:53	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0xf944e6…
06-21 18:27:19	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x9ec61b…
06-18 12:44:02	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x927fc6…
06-15 11:32:51	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x20e0c4…
06-13 14:21:01	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x295ffb…
06-11 11:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on June 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xadda2c…
06-09 10:58:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on June 10?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x703323…
06-07 17:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde2f54…
06-06 09:55:06	Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C or below on June 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeffec6…
06-05 10:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 6?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x238659…
06-04 10:23:24	atp stromba henning 2026 06 03	Philip Henning	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xceb282…
06-04 10:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x433829…
06-01 12:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x853a5f…
05-31 09:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a02da…
05-29 19:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x91bdd9…
05-27 11:20:34	Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x7693d0…
05-25 12:18:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x066f71…
05-24 10:03:46	Will FK Kudrivka win on 2026-05-24?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x9e4a59…
05-24 10:03:19	Roland Garros ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5e8e33…
05-24 10:02:57	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Botswana vs Mali	Botswana	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4bf4c0…
05-23 10:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 24?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc3b988…
05-21 18:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e84ed…
05-21 16:43:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xae6de8…
05-20 18:41:40	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x476de5…
05-15 08:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 16?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbc6cc7…
05-11 12:30:43	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xc7b8b3…
05-11 10:42:29	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	Jannik Sinner	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x28d250…
05-09 14:27:04	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x41c316…
05-07 09:57:10	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x096696…
05-06 19:00:19	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x96b8c4…
05-06 11:06:04	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x97050d…
05-06 11:03:50	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xfd506f…
05-04 09:38:14	Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x7dc5cd…
04-28 14:30:16	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xcf61dc…
04-15 12:33:42	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xce592e…
04-14 16:10:31	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x7d656a…
04-13 15:54:01	epl mun lee 2026 04 13 lee	No	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xf88a7a…
04-12 09:27:59	rus csk soc 2026 04 12 soc	No	BUY	287	94¢	$270	0xd1efbe…
04-12 09:26:29	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2f1940…
04-10 14:51:37	lal rea gir 2026 04 10 gir	No	BUY	207	90¢	$186	0x5772e5…
04-10 14:48:33	atp alcaraz bublik 2026 04 10	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x1bc8ad…
04-09 18:49:45	highest temperature in london on april 10 2026 16corbelow	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9e8cd5…
04-09 14:37:09	bitcoin above 68k on april 9	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda29f3…
04-08 14:30:55	bitcoin above 68k on april 8	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5e3079…
04-07 20:08:47	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 atm1	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0xef4974…
04-07 20:03:27	atp duckwor mmoh 2026 04 06	Michael Mmoh	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xef9898…
04-07 20:02:45	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 draw	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x623977…
04-06 14:23:41	Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3dffd5…
04-06 14:23:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf98bc2…
04-06 14:22:27	elc swe lei 2026 04 06 swe	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x602df9…
04-06 14:21:41	elc ips bir 2026 04 06 bir	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x490c94…
04-06 14:00:19	bitcoin above 72k on april 6	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x302415…
04-06 13:58:33	bitcoin above 72k on april 6	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb69143…
04-06 13:57:35	bitcoin above 66k on april 6	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xee3e2f…
04-05 13:50:15	highest temperature in paris on april 6 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x65ac31…
04-05 13:49:51	highest temperature in paris on april 6 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1ac9b6…
04-05 13:49:33	highest temperature in paris on april 6 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe26480…
04-05 13:49:13	highest temperature in paris on april 6 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf1753f…
04-05 13:40:21	bitcoin above 64k on april 5	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xae8655…
04-04 09:09:33	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x895458…
04-04 09:08:27	bun fre bay 2026 04 04 fre	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x1353d7…
04-04 09:08:07	lal rso lev 2026 04 04 lev	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x0f41d1…
04-04 09:07:45	lal mad bar 2026 04 04 mad	No	BUY	87	69¢	$60	0x96a2bc…
04-04 09:07:27	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 mal	No	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0x07546a…
04-03 09:38:47	atp damas rincon 2026 04 02	Miguel Damas	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc5ae61…
04-03 09:38:21	atp aguilar mannari 2026 04 02	Daniel Merida Aguilar	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x86d0a9…
04-03 09:35:21	bitcoin above 70k on april 3	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x17acba…
04-02 14:41:29	uwcl fcb rma 2026 04 02 rma	No	BUY	413	95¢	$392	0x73c514…
04-02 14:38:25	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xddfc60…
04-02 14:38:15	will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x814aea…
04-02 14:36:31	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x65d703…
04-01 13:59:53	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa374c8…
04-01 13:59:43	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8fd237…
04-01 13:58:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdb06c6…
04-01 13:57:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x644ade…
04-01 13:54:31	bkligend sas bas2 2026 04 01	Saski Baskonia	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x7bd118…
04-01 13:53:33	atp berini baena 2026 03 30	Roberto Carballes Baena	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf8da9e…
04-01 13:52:19	ethereum above 2200 on april 1	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x62b8a0…
04-01 13:51:53	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x669b5d…
04-01 13:51:43	bitcoin above 72k on april 1	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x68f889…
03-31 14:30:31	fif egy esp 2026 03 30 esp	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x1b3249…
03-31 14:27:13	bitcoin above 70k on march 31	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x123464…
03-30 14:50:49	fif ger gha 2026 03 30 gha	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x8f2552…
03-30 14:49:41	fif ksa ser 2026 03 30 ksa	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x4c8822…
03-30 14:49:05	atp bennan halys 2026 03 30	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xdc95a1…
03-30 14:47:11	bitcoin above 64k on march 30	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xad7a54…
03-29 15:02:02	will seoul have less than 30mm of precipitation in march	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd56ff2…
03-29 15:01:30	cwbb nd uconn 2026 03 29	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x2dafb3…
03-29 14:59:28	atp lehecka sinner 2026 03 29	Jannik Sinner	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe86771…
03-29 14:58:58	nba lac mil 2026 03 29	Bucks	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9aaf49…
03-29 14:57:52	atp rocha sanchis 2026 03 29	David Jorda Sanchis	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x867a4a…
03-28 18:56:06	highest temperature in ankara on march 29 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe80494…
03-28 18:55:50	highest temperature in ankara on march 29 2026 9c	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb25069…
03-27 11:21:43	highest temperature in tokyo on march 28 2026 11corbelow	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ca355…
03-27 11:21:29	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa03d21…
03-27 11:21:17	will the us tariff rate on china be 35 or greater on march 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d9074…
03-27 11:20:59	will mark zuckerberg be 2nd richest person on march 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98aa55…