Annual-Chinchilla — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$183

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-25 04:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

64% — —

Crypto

36% 50% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	4	$2.2K	1,118	1,118	+0	No	$-2	04-16 04:18
will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	4	$1.1K	538	538	+0	open	—	01-05 04:33
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$1.0K	518	518	+0	open	—	01-05 05:09
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 740plus	2	$1.0K	517	517	+0	open	—	01-05 05:29
will us gdp growth in 2025 be between 0pt5 and 1pt0	2	$1.0K	516	516	+0	open	—	01-05 06:02
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	2	$901	451	451	+0	open	—	01-11 07:17
bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	20	$887	600	600	+0	open	—	03-17 18:14
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$600	300	300	+0	open	—	04-16 05:58
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	04-16 05:21
bitcoin up or down on april 17 2026	1	$255	500	0	+500	open	—	04-17 04:22
btc updown 15m 1767593700	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	01-05 06:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 08:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-14 02:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-20 03:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-20 03:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-14 03:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-25 03:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-25 04:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 04:51:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8a5b07…
05-25 03:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x18518e…
05-20 03:32:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x7e1049…
05-20 03:31:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4b2c8c…
05-20 03:11:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xce49f2…
05-14 03:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x077458…
05-14 02:37:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6becbb…
05-08 08:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcb61c5…
05-08 07:56:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x420f74…
04-17 04:22:40	bitcoin up or down on april 17 2026	Up	BUY	500	51¢	$255	0x0efaf7…
04-16 05:58:38	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x8a3bad…
04-16 05:31:02	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x9bd5e0…
04-16 05:21:10	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x59da4e…
04-16 05:18:52	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x100d10…
04-16 04:18:18	Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	559	100¢	$557	0x7133b9…
04-16 04:05:30	Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	559	100¢	$558	0x11c60c…
04-16 04:04:20	Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	559	100¢	$558	0x8ec71a…
04-16 03:53:22	Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	559	100¢	$559	0xb4f05b…
03-17 18:14:11	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x6d3896…
03-17 10:43:19	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xc6c358…
03-17 10:43:09	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x78dcff…
03-17 10:43:07	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x691527…
03-17 10:43:05	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	26	65¢	$17	0xa6cf5d…
03-17 10:42:39	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	26	65¢	$17	0xa8ff6d…
03-17 10:42:29	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x11e674…
03-17 10:42:01	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	26	65¢	$17	0xfee8d1…
03-17 10:41:59	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	45	65¢	$29	0xf4c4b0…
03-17 10:41:47	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	55	65¢	$36	0xddb300…
03-17 10:20:51	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	SELL	300	66¢	$198	0xddaa5f…
03-17 10:17:47	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	136	64¢	$87	0xa2b324…
03-17 10:17:13	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$7	0xfc6d75…
03-17 10:17:13	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0xfb9682…
03-17 10:16:55	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	45	64¢	$29	0xf91c24…
03-17 10:16:55	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xef9f85…
03-17 10:16:55	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xcb1c54…
03-17 10:16:55	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	26	64¢	$17	0x5151ce…
03-17 10:16:55	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	26	64¢	$17	0x2e86bb…
03-17 09:07:43	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xac1726…
01-11 07:17:14	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	SELL	451	100¢	$450	0x3cfb77…
01-11 06:40:22	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	BUY	451	100¢	$451	0x44a1a9…
01-05 06:32:01	btc updown 15m 1767593700	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x737ef8…
01-05 06:26:05	btc updown 15m 1767593700	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x92d6ec…
01-05 06:02:29	will us gdp growth in 2025 be between 0pt5 and 1pt0	No	SELL	516	100¢	$515	0x2f884c…
01-05 05:40:51	will us gdp growth in 2025 be between 0pt5 and 1pt0	No	BUY	516	100¢	$516	0x0dfd22…
01-05 05:29:35	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 740plus	No	SELL	517	100¢	$516	0xac17aa…
01-05 05:19:21	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 740plus	No	BUY	517	100¢	$516	0xcfcb6d…
01-05 05:09:49	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	SELL	518	100¢	$516	0xf5031e…
01-05 05:07:27	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	518	100¢	$517	0xf8a6c1…
01-05 04:33:07	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	SELL	518	100¢	$517	0x9bc76f…
01-05 04:19:09	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	518	100¢	$518	0x086727…
01-05 04:08:39	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6883fb…
01-05 04:08:01	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2214a2…